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Europe’s Runaway Train Towards Full Digitization Of Money & Labor

Authored by Peter Koenig via The Saker blog, The other day I was in a shopping mall looking for an ATM to get some cash. There was no ATM. A week ago, there was still a branch office of a local bank – no more, gone. A Starbucks will replace the space left empty by […]


Citi’s “What If?” Scenarios: Part 2

Yesterday we published the first set of 7 “What If” scenarios that didn’t make it into the Citi Credit team’s (already rather gloomy) year-ahead forecast. Because while Citi’s “base case” was clearly bearish (our summary can be found here), what was left unsaid was even more unsettling, if not troubling. As the bank’s credit team […]


US Tax Cut and Rate Hikes Threaten China Currency

Authored by Valentin Schmid via The Epoch Times, Seven was the line in the sand. But the Chinese yuan never crossed that line vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar. It only crept up to 6.96 yuan per dollar on Dec. 16, 2016, before starting an impressive comeback, down to 6.5 in the middle of this year. Last […]


The 10 “Grey Swans” Events For 2018

One of the traditional push backs against attempts to predict “black swan” events is that they are by default unpredictable, rendering the entire exercise moot. However, for the second year in a row, Nomura’s Bilal Hafeez has found a loophole, or rather loop-animal: the grey swan. As Hafeez writes, while he would like to be […]


Trump Set To Accuse China Of “Economic Aggression” On Monday

Just a few short days after Chinese regulators gave the greenlight to petro-yuan futures trading, signaling an escalation in the war against dollar hegemony, President Trump is reportedly set to accuse China of "economic aggression" in efforts to "undermine international order" during his national security strategy speech on Monday. The last week has more intriguing […]


Frontrunning: December 15

Some GOP Senators Press for Late Changes in Tax Bill (WSJ) Here’s Where the GOP Tax Plan Stands Right Now (BBG) Harvard Endowment Chief Pushed for Steeper Devaluation of Assets (WSJ) Net neutrality repeal gives Democrats fresh way to reach millennials (Reuters) With Fox Deal, Disney Adds Hulu to Its Digital Kingdom (WSJ) Treasury Yields […]


The WTO: Useless For Trade, Useful For The State

Authored by Carmen Elena Dorob?? via The Mises Institute, This week WTO officials will gather in Buenos Aires for their 11th ministerial conference. There is very little hope that any of the deals on the agenda will be reached, as both the WTO’s negotiations and its dispute settlement system have long been paralyzed by political bickering […]


China Unveils Plan To Combat Trump Tax Reform: “We’ll Have Tough Battles”

With Donald Trump’s historic tax reform on the verge of passage, and with the Fed continuing its rate hiking cycle so far undeterred, and according to the Fed’s own dot plot still having another 7-8 rate hikes to go, China is getting nervous because, as the WSJ reports, it fears “a double whammy sapping money […]


“Here’s What’s In It”: Goldman Explains All You Need To Know About The Current State Of Tax Reform

To the delight of Donald Trump, just before 2am on Saturday morning the Senate passed the Republican Tax bill in a 51-49 vote, and with tax reform legislation now passing both chambers of Congress it looks very likely to become law by year-end, probably within the next two weeks according to Goldman Sachs which now […]


Michael Hudson: America’s Monetary Imperialism

Authored by Michael Hudson via Counterpunch.org, In theory, the global financial system is supposed to help every country gain. Mainstream teaching of international finance, trade and “foreign aid” (defined simply as any government credit) depicts an almost utopian system uplifting all countries, not stripping their assets and imposing austerity. The reality since World War I […]


Frontrunning: November 30

The thinking behind Kim Jong Un’s ‘madness’ (Reuters); U.S. warns North Korean leadership will be ‘utterly destroyed’ in case of war (Reuters) Senate tax drama enters complicated end-game gambit (Reuters) Corporate Tax Rate in Flux as Senate Prepares to Vote (WSJ) The Senate Tax Bill Has Something for Every Republican to Hate (BBG) Bitcoin Mania: […]


“It Could Reshape The Global Trading System For Decades” – US Rejects China’s Bid “Market Economy” Status

The US has filed a legal submission to the WTO as a third party, intervening in a case that China has brought against the European Union. The US rejects China’s argument that under the 2001 agreement, which confirmed China’s WTO status, it would should automatically be considered a “market economy” fifteen years after joining. The […]


“It Could Reshape The Global Trading System For Decades” – US Rejects China’s Bid For “Market Economy” Status

The US has filed a legal submission to the WTO as a third party, intervening in a case that China has brought against the European Union. The US rejects China’s argument that under the 2001 agreement, which confirmed China’s WTO status, it would should automatically be considered a “market economy” fifteen years after joining. The […]


Frontrunning: November 29

North Korea Missile Launch Shows Ability to Reach D.C. (WSJ) Senate Republicans shove tax bill ahead as Democrats fume (Reuters) British negotiators still working on Brexit deal: Treasury minister (Reuters) Trump Retweets Anti-Muslim Videos From Far-Right U.K. Group (BBG) Bitcoin Futures Provoke Pushback From Market Cops (BBG) Saudis Free Detainees in Sign of Resolutions in […]


TPP Moving Ahead Without US As Trump Fooled By “Warm” Welcome In Asia

In his speech (see here) at the Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation Summit (APEC) on Friday, Trump slammed China, the WTO and his predecessor’s Trans Pacific Partnership (TPP) trade agreement as issues holding back his America-first “Indo-Pacific dream”. Without referencing it specifically, Trump criticised the TPP which he said would “tie our hands, surrender our sovereignty […]