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Key Events In The Coming Week: Jobs, Brexit, PMI, IP And More

The first full week of December is shaping up as rather busy, with such Tier 1 data in the US as the payrolls report, durable goods orders and trade balance. We also get UK PMI data and GDP, retail sales across the Euro Area, as well as central bank meetings including Australia RBA and BoC […]


Stocks Hit Record Highs As Tax Hype Trumps Nuclear Doomsday Fears

Wholesale inventories plunge and Kim shoots off some missiles… but Powell panders to TBTF banks and GOP pushes tax bill = so buy mortimer buy…   Overnight saw The National Team step in and save China…   But today's market action was dominated by the usual opening idiocy, tax-reform headlines, Jerome Powell comments, and North […]


Q4 GDP Shocker – Wholesale Inventories Unexpectedly Plunge In October

Against expectations of a 0.4% MoM rise – supporting continued growth in GDP into the fourth quarter – October saw a 0.4% plunge in wholesale inventories. After five straight months of building inventories, October saw a big GDP-stunting slump… The biggest drop was in Motor Vehicles & Parts Dealers which saw a 1% drop in […]


Global Markets Stumble, Spooked By Japanese Stock Fireworks

The overnight fireworks in Japan, which saw the Nikkei plunge by 860 intraday points and sent vol and volumes soaring (before recovering most losses), spooked traders in Asia and around the globe, and U.S. equity futures are red this morning, along with European shares and oil. As one early riser sellside desk notes, the Nikkei […]


Global Stocks Jump Among Earnings Bonanza; Nikkei Closes Above 22,000 For First Time In 21 Years

US equity futures are higher, boosted by a bevy of better than expected earnings out of tech giants Amazon, Intel and Microsoft as Asian stocks and European shares climb amid the dovish sentiment unleashed from Thursday’s ECB update. Asian equities rose as investors bid stocks following strong corporate results from India to Japan. The MSCI […]


Q3 GDP In Question As Inventories Stumble In September

While excuses will fly  – "it was the storms" – which apparently did not interfere with massive beats in housing data, the wholesale and retail inventory data stumbled hard in September. The prints were considerably worse than expected and throw more shade on Q3 GDP growth expectations.   Retail Inventories tumbled 1% MoM in September […]


Traders Paralyzed, Markets Flat Ahead Of Today’s Main Event: The ECB’s Taper Announcement

US equity futures and Asian shares are flat this morning with European shares treading water ahead of the ECB’s policy meeting in which it’s expected to announce a tapering to its €60bn in monthly QE. On this busiest day of Q3 earnings season, companies set to report earnings include Alphabet, Microsoft, Amazon and Intel, while […]


Key Events In The Coming Week: ECB Taper, Q3 GDP And Durables

The main even this week will be the ECB’s taper announcement on Thursday where consensus expects the ECB to announce a QE extension of €30bn per month for 9 month until Sep-18, with potential extension after. Net purchases between now and Dec-17 will continue at €60bn per month as planned. To cope with rate hike […]


Global Markets Bounce As Germany, China, Spain Lift World Stocks, Turkey Crash Ignored

With no North Korean nuclear test over the weeknd contrary to a Friday morning rumor, S&P futures rebounded and edged higher as European stocks gain, led by Spanish shares after mass demonstrations in favor of Spanish unity and speculation Catalonia may back down on unilateral independence demands, while Chinese mainland stocks reopened catching up to […]


Dollar Surge Continues Ahead Of Jobs Report; Europe Dips As Catalan Fears Return

World stocks eased back from record highs and fell for the first time in eight days, as jitters about Catalonia’s independence push returned while bets on higher U.S. interest rates sent the dollar to its highest since mid August; S&P 500 futures were modestly in the red – as they have been every day this […]


Key Events In The Coming Week: A Negative Payrolls Number And Non-stop Fed Speakers

While central banks step away from the spotlight, as does Asian data and markets with China and South Korea both taking a weeklong break, there will be a bevy of central bank speakers to “explain” what is going on while it will be a busy week data wise, with the US employment trade balance report […]


Spanish Stocks, Bonds, Euro Sink After Catalan Referendum Fiasco; S&P Futures Rise

While S&P futures were modestly higher, rising 0.1% in a quiet session in which China, South Korea, India and Hong Kong were closed for holidays, the Euro, Spanish stocks and bonds were broadly lower as Spain faces its worst constitutional crisis in years following a dramatic, violent crackdown on Sunday’s Catalan independence referendum in which […]


Dollar Ends Best Week Of The Year With A Whimper As Global Stocks Push All Time Highs

The dollar rally paused on Friday and looked poised to finish its best weekly gain of the year with a whimper, when in a repeat of the Thursday session the, Bloomberg dollar index first rose more than 0.1% during Asia hours before slumping around the European open as month and quarter-end flows came into play […]


Wholesale Inventories Surge As Plant-Shuttering-Automakers ‘Stock Up’

Wholesale Inventories jumped 1.0% MoM in August, the fourth consecutive build in inventories in a row and the fastest monthly build since Nov 2016. This is the fastest annual growth rate for inventories since June 2015 as it appears producers embrace the idea that ‘if they build it, they will come’. Perhaps most notably, motor […]


Global Bond Rout Accelerates Even As Dollar Rally Fizzles

In a continuation of trading patterns observed over the previous two days, on Thursday the global bond rout deepened in the aftermath of the release of President Trump’s tax-cut plan, Janet Yellen’s recent hawkish comments and renewed optimism over the health of the U.S. economy. While global stocks were mostly mixed as investors tried to […]