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Warren Buffett’s Favorite Indicator Just Flashed a Major Warning

It is clear stocks are in a massive bubble based on their Price to Sale (P/S valuation). What about the economy? Warren Buffett once famously stated that his favorite means of valuing stock was the stock market capitalization to GDP ratio. Below is a chart for this metric. As you can see, the stock market […]

Uninvestable Tesla

Tesla is an uninvestable stock for me, not just because of its high valuation but also because it fails our fairly basic quality test, which I shamelessly borrowed from Warren Buffett: Would I still buy this stock if right after the purchase the stock market were to close for ten years? If you are a big Tesla […]

Doug Kass’ 15 Surprises For 2018: FANG Crackdown, Gold All-Time-Highs, Stocks Slump

Authored Doug Kass of Seabreeze Partners Management, "The missing step in the standard Keynesian theory [is] the explicit consideration of capitalist finance within a cyclical and speculative context . . . finance sets the pace for the economy. As recovery approaches full employment . . . soothsayers will proclaim that the business cycle has been […]

The View From 2017’s Bridge: What Clive Hale Learned This Year

Authored by Clive Hale via The View From The Bridge blog, As long time readers will know we do not put much credence in end of year forecasts; nor in fact forecasts in general; the Fed and the Met Office being stand out examples. As an alternative to what is going to happen in 2018 […]

What Causes Asset Bubbles?

As we showed yesterday, the price of bitcoin has finally surpassed "Tulips" in the global bubble race. Overnight the former Bridgewater analysts Howard Wang and Robert Wu, who make up Convoy Investments, released their thoughts on what happens next… and most importantly, what causes asset bubbles… When we see a dramatic rise in asset prices, […]

Wisconsin Governor Pushes Forward With Plan To Drug Test Food Stamp Recipients

Anyone looking to take advantage of the federal food stamp program in the state of Wisconsin may soon have to pee in a cup before rushing to the grocery store each month for their taxpayer subsidized sugary beverages and assortment of Hostess baked goods.  As the StarTribune points out today, Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker took […]

Bloomberg Has Identified Buffett’s Successor At Berkshire Hathaway (It Thinks)

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Second Cockroach: Canadian Mortgage Lender Crashes After Admitting Mortgage Fraud

Back in April/May, Canada's biggest mortgage lender, Home Capital Group, crashed its way into the headlines, coming clean over its balance sheet-full of liar loans, suffered a bank run, and was forced  to take emergency liquidty from taxpaying pensioners, and was eventually bailed out by good old Warren Buffett. "Probably nothing…" Well just when everyone […]

Signs Of A Market Top? This Pole Dancing Instructor Is Now A Bitcoin Guru

Pole dancing instructor Dee Heath built a successful fitness business in western Sydney teaching “stripper fitness” classes that seem to be in vogue among millennial women. But recently, Heath has discovered a new passion: Investing in digital currencies. Heath has spent $5,800 on Bitcoin since July and has more than tripled her investment. "Look, I […]

Flynn Flush Rescues ‘VIX Elephant’ As ’50 Cent’ Backs Up The Truck

The “VIX Elephant” has awakened. And “50 Cent” is back. That's the mysterious-sounding ointroduction to a notable market insight from Bloomberg this mornig as they note the turmoil surrounding Mike Flynn headlines – spiking VIX and slamming stocks – provided two big options market 'whales' with some relief and room to move… First, the trader […]

Katy Perry Asks Warren Buffett For His Thoughts On Cryptocurrency

Popstar Katy Perry set crypto twitter aflame Tuesday when she posted a picture of her and investing legend Warren Buffett with the caption: “nbd asking Warren Buffet [sic] his thoughts on cryptocurrency.”   nbd asking Warren Buffet his thoughts on cryptocurrency @ Berkshire Hathaway https://t.co/erKvhd6WRj — KATY PERRY (@katyperry) November 29, 2017   The post […]

George Soros’ $18 Billion Tax Dodge Exposed

Authored by Stephen Moore op-ed via The Wall Street Journal, The wealthy have tucked billions into private nonprofits… where the IRS can’t touch it. Congress is still scrambling to find ways to pay for its tax cut, so perhaps it should pay closer attention to last month’s news that George Soros had transferred $18 billion […]

“Granite Islands And Backsplashes”: Even Doublewide Trailers Are No Longer “Affordable”

Since the early 1900s, millions of Americans have relied on trailers as a source of no-frills, affordable housing.  In fact, roughly 22 million Americans live in trailer parks today, but the industry is hardly the stable source of affordable housing that it used to be…a lesson that 73-year-old Judy Goff of Naples, Florida recently discovered […]

Spitznagel Warns “Not All Risk Mitigation Is Created Equal”

Authored by Mark Spitznagel via PIOnline.com, There is a movement today among pension funds toward systemic risk mitigation – or "safe haven" – strategies. This makes great sense as a potential solution to the widespread underfunding problem. Many pension funds still haven't fully recovered from the crash of 2008, and can't afford another. Moreover, truly […]

Finnish Fund Manager Launches ‘Buffett-In-A-Box’ A.I.-Based Fund… There’s Just One Thing

Amid the empty-vessel-driven "deep-learning", "artificial-intelligence", and "algorithmic" narratives-du-jour, more and more fund managers are jumping on the bandwagon. The latest is Finnish fund manager FIM, who is introducing the first investment fund in the Nordic region, where a self-learning algorithm gets to pick all the stocks. As Bloomberg reports, targeting returns of 3 percentage points […]