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Technically Speaking: This Is Nuts

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, Since the election, markets have accelerated the pace of the advance as shown in the chart below. The advance has had two main story lines to support the bullish narrative. It’s an earnings recovery story, and; It’s all about tax cuts. There is much to debate about the earnings […]


Great (Stock) Expectations

Via Dana Lyons' Tumblr, Consumers’ expectations for stock market gains have never been higher – or more assured. Since the August stock market low, bulls have had it pretty good. Rally participation has been excellent, as has price structure for the most part. Outside of a textbook successful test of The Most Important Level In […]


3 Post-Thanksgiving Charts

With trading volume crashing last week and no one left in markets but Johnny 5 and VIX-selling Target employees, perhaps the signals from 'other' professional markets mean more than the record highs… Remember last week was the most seasonaly bullish period of the year and how critical it is that stocks surge to hold confidence […]


Robert Shiller: 1987 Could Happen Again

By Robert Shiller, first published in the NYT Oct. 19, 1987, was one of the worst days in stock market history. Thirty years later, it would be comforting to believe it couldn’t happen again. Yet that’s true only in the narrowest sense: Regulatory and technological change has made an exact repeat of that terrible day […]


Personal Recollections From The Crash Of 1987: “There Was No ‘Smart Money’ That Day!”

Via LyonsSharePro.com, The following guest post is a first-hand account of the events surrounding the Crash of 1987 by JLFMI President, John S. Lyons. Personal Recollections of the Crash of 1987 on its 30th Anniversary “There was no ‘smart money’ that day.” What do the assassination of President John F Kennedy, the beginning of Desert Storm […]


The Dangers Of Performance-Chasing

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, In this past weekend’s newsletter, I addressed three of my concerns for the markets going forward. “Chart 2) One of the hallmarks of a late-stage bull market cycle is the acceleration in price as investors capitulate by “jumping in” as prices accelerate. While the long-term moving averages currently suggest the bull cycle is […]


“A Volatile Autumn”: Buckled Up For Structured Criticality

Submitted by Gary Evans of Global Macro Monitor We’re baaaccck!. We warned in our last post before leaving on holiday, “Look for some large sigma event, which is always the case when we are off the desk.”    How about a vol spike caused by worries over a nuclear exchange?   Nuclear war! The potential implosion […]