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Hussman Predicts Massive Losses As Cycle Completes After Fed Warns Markets “Vulnerable To Elevated Valuations”

Buried deep in today's FOMC Minutes was a warning to the equity markets that few noticed… This overall assessment incorporated the staff's judgment that, since the April assessment, vulnerabilities associated with asset valuation pressures had edged up from notable to elevated, as asset prices remained high or climbed further, risk spreads narrowed, and expected and […]


Is Historically Low Volatility About To Surge?

Authored by Dmitri Speck via Acting-Man.com, Suspicion Asleep You have probably noticed it already: stock market volatility has recently all but disappeared. This raises an important question for every investor: Has the market established a permanent plateau of low volatility, or is the current period of low volatility just the calm before the storm?   […]


Stocks, Dollar & Yields Sink After Fed Warns Of “Elevated Vulnerabilities” From High Asset Prices

The initial reactions wre modest but directionally 'correct' given the dovish bias to the Fed Minutes – stocks are up, bonds are up (lower in yield), and the dollar is down. But then traders read the warnings that due to excessively easy financial conditions, "a tighter monetary policy than otherwise was warranted", something Goldman has […]


Salt, Wampum, Benjamins – Is Bitcoin Next?

Authored by Michael Lebowitz via 720Global.com, Currency was first developed about 4000 years ago. Its genius was in the ability to supplant barter thus greatly improving trade and providing a better means for storing value. As illustrated in our title, currency has taken on many different physical forms through the years. Given the recent advances […]


Mapping The Foreign Trade Debate – Where Do ‘You’ Belong?

Via FFWiley.com, Worried that recent U.S.–China trade dialog sounds like a Mayweather–McGregor promotional tour? Concerned that we might be headed for a repeat of the Great Depression era’s race-to-the-bottom tariff wars? Or, maybe you’re relieved that diplomats are no longer being diplomatic? Maybe you think it’s about time Washington stood up for American jobs? However […]


Speculative Positioning Is Back To Extremes

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, In this past weekend’s missive I wrote: “So…Should I “Buy The F*$(@!# NOKO?” My best guess currently is – probably. But not yet.” “In our portfolios, we will wait for confirmation the current sell-off has abated before adding additional risk exposure to portfolios. In recent years, such market tantrums have been very short-lived and […]


Selling VIX Spikes (Explained In 1 Simple Chart)

For the 5th time this year, VIX spiked and was instantly crushed in the last week…   Fears of global thermonuclear war appear to have been rapidly dismissed…   Despite speculative positioning in VIX having never been shorter…   So, apart from the jackboot of central bank money-printing on realized volatility, what is it that […]


Beware The Dead Cat Bounce: “Exuberant Markets Can’t Escape The Shadow Of Negatives”

Treasury yields have erased the knee-jerk losses from retail sales, Nasdaq is now tumbling, and gold is bouncing… This is not the market we saw yesterday that was relieved that the world had not ended and Bloomberg's macro strategist Mark Cudmore is worried that it's not over, warning that "exuberant markets can't escape the shadow […]


JPMorgan Lists Four “Red Flags” Why It Is Starting To Sell Stocks

While most banks have in recent weeks expressed concerns about the recent, near record high levels in the S&P – which is now 67 points above Goldman’s year end price target of 2,400 – few have been willing to go out on a limb and announce they are short the market, and that the bull […]


US Stock Buybacks In Biggest Slide Since The Financial Crisis

In light of today’s euphoric market reaction, which has seen the VIX plunge by over 3 vols, or 20% lower, to just over 12 and sent both the Nasdaq and S&P higher by 1% on relief that there were no mushroom clouds of the weekend, the jury is out whether last week’s sharp risk off, […]


“This Has Never Happened Before”: Goldman Warns Low-Vol Regime Is In Jeopardy

Picking up on something we first noted over a month ago, and following last week’s VIX fireworks, this morning Goldman’s Ian Wright looks at the rapid changes in the volatility landscape – beyond just last Thursday’s near historic surge in the VIX which shot up from single digits to over 17 in 48 hours – […]


VIX Tumbles, S&P Futures, Global Stocks Rebound Sharply As Korea Fears Fade

The VIX tumbled by nearly 3 vols, down to 13.10 last, or over 18% lower and global stocks and S&P futures rebounded sharply on Monday as tensions over an imminent conflict with Pyongyang receded after U.S. officials played down the likelihood of a nuclear conflict with North Korea, recovering from fears of a U.S.-North Korea […]


Shocking Admission From Global Head Of Strategy: “Our Clients Have Given Up On Valuation As A Metric”

For all the recent concerns about an “imminent” nuclear war with North Korea (not happening, according to the head of the CIA), which prompted a stunned reaction from Morgan Stanley which earlier today observed the “70% rise in the VIX index over three days, 2% drop in global equities, and more than a few holidays […]


Passport Global Slammed With Over 60% In Redemptions In Q2

Back in April, we reported that the Long-Short Strategy Fund of John Burbank, one of the handful of investors who made a killing from shorting subprime, and head of what was at the time the $2.4 billion Passport Capital, was shutting down after a series of negative returns: according to HSBC, the fund – which […]