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The 10 “Grey Swans” Events For 2018

One of the traditional push backs against attempts to predict “black swan” events is that they are by default unpredictable, rendering the entire exercise moot. However, for the second year in a row, Nomura’s Bilal Hafeez has found a loophole, or rather loop-animal: the grey swan. As Hafeez writes, while he would like to be […]


Is Bitcoin The Answer?

Authored by Paul Tustain via BullionVault.com, Governments have abused and distorted our money. How about a 'Bitcoin standard'…? THIS is a subsection of a book that's coming later. It seemed worth publishing now,  writes Paul Tustain, founder and chairman of BullionVault and co-founder of WhiskyInvestDirect. What is money? Strangely, for something with which we are all so familiar, […]


Wall Street Bonuses Set To Shrink Again This Year

Bankers were thrilled last year when Wall Street bonuses climbed for the first time in years after falling more than 15% in 2015. But unfortunately, even with equity markets around the world at record highs in 2017, volatility across asset class plunged this year – with the Dow seeing its least volatile year on record […]


All You Need To Know About Today’s CME Bitcoin Futures Contract Launch

Following last week's 'successful' launch of Cboe Bitcoin futures, CME will begin trading of their own 'more institutional' Bitcoin futures contract today. Here are some of the differences between the products to be offered by the exchange operators. CONTRACT UNIT The Cboe Bitcoin Futures Contract will use the ticker XBT and will equal one bitcoin. […]


Jeffrey Gundlach Warns “The Goldilocks Era Is Over”

Authored by Robert Huebscher via AdvisorPerspectives.com, Easy monetary policies during the post-crisis period have propelled equity prices higher and driven bond yields lower. But as central banks reverse their quantitative easing (QE) and raise rates, this “Goldilocks era” will come to an end, according to Jeffrey Gundlach. Gundlach is the founder and chief investment officer […]


$19,000: Bitcoin Hits New All Time High After Burst Of Asian Buying; Bigger Than Wells, Wal-Mart

Having traded in a relatively narrow – for bitcoin – range of $16,500-$17,500 over the past week, the world’s most popular cryptocurrency jumped to new all time highs following the latest unexplained burst of buying out of Asia, with another Saturday surge in volumes emerging out of Japan and Korea. Bitcoin is now up over […]


Bank Of America: “This Is The First Sign That A Bubble Has Arrived”

Lately, fund flow data has all the credibility of a NYT presidential poll two days before the Trump defeats Hillary.  On one hand, you have Lipper reporting that investors pulled $16.2bn from U.S.-based equity funds in the past week, the largest withdrawals since December 2016. The same Lipper also reported that taxable-bond mutual funds and […]


Kolanovic Unveils His 2018 Outlook: The “Frogs Are Almost Boiled” So Start Hedging

Barely two months after JPMorgan’s Marko Kolanovic previewed the next financial crisis, which he dubbed the “Great Liquidity Crisis”, and which would be catalyzed by the following liquidity disrupting elements: Decreased AUM of strategies that buy value assets Tail risk of private assets Increased AUM of strategies that sell on “autopilot” Liquidity-provision trends Miscalculation of […]


Goldman Sets 100% Margin Requirement On “Some” Bitcoin Futures trades

Goldman Sachs has become the latest brokerage to raise its margin requirements for clients who wish to trade the new bitcoin futures launched by the CBOE late Sunday, following in the footsteps of Interactive Brokers, which initially prohibited clients from taking a short position in the futures contracts and later demanded more than a double […]


Dear Janet Yellen: Here Is Your Own Watchdog Warning About Financial Stability Risks In “Red And Orange”

In the most interesting exchange during Janet Yellen’s final news conference, CNBC’s seemingly flustered Steve Liesman asked Janet Yelen a question which in other times would have led to his loss of FOMC access privileges: “Every day it seems the stock market goes up triple digits on the Dow Jones: is it now, or will […]


One Bank Believes It Found The Identity Of Who Is “Propping Up The Bitcoin Market”

Back in May when the Chinese domination over Bitcoin was ending, we predicted that it would shift over to Japan, specifically, we said that “just as the Chinese bubble frenzy in bitcoin is fading, it may be replaced with a new one, in which thousands of Mrs. Watanabe traders shift their attention away from the […]


What To Expect From The ECB

Submitted by RanSquawk ECB Monetary Policy Decision Due At 12:45 GMT, 13:45 CET, 07:45 EDT, On Thursday 14th December 2017, Press Conference Due At 13:30 GMT, 14:30 CET, 08:30 EDT Unanimous expectations look for the ECB to leave its three key rates unchanged.  As a reminder October’s announcement revealed that the Bank will be trimming […]


China Regulators Complete Final ‘Drill’ In Preparation For Petro-Yuan Futures Trading

Amid all the chatter of Venezuela and Russia potentially creating oil-backed cryptocurrencies, the "huge news" of China's launch of the Petro-Yuan has fallen off the front page… until now. This week saw the Shanghai Futures Exchange complete its fifth yuan-back oil futures contract trading drill successfully… As Bloomberg reports, 149 members of Shanghai International Energy […]


Bloomberg Pronounces The Early Death Of The Traditional Long-Short Hedge Fund Model

Bloomberg has apparently just taken it upon itself to pronounce the early, unceremonious demise of the traditional Long/Short Hedge Fund model after seemingly declaring that stocks will continue to march higher in perpetuity, with minimal volatility, thus rendering traditional financial analysis and stock picking about as obsolete as a Motorola pager from 1982.  Of course, […]


What Causes Asset Bubbles?

As we showed yesterday, the price of bitcoin has finally surpassed "Tulips" in the global bubble race. Overnight the former Bridgewater analysts Howard Wang and Robert Wu, who make up Convoy Investments, released their thoughts on what happens next… and most importantly, what causes asset bubbles… When we see a dramatic rise in asset prices, […]