WarMachines.com

Industrial War Machine Complex – Buy Bitcoin Defeat Corrupt Governments Everywhere!!


WarMachines.com

Archives by tag

Equity Mania Reaches Fever Pitch As Even Famed “Value Investors” Throw In The Towel On Shorts

Once upon a time, the chart below would have resulted in value investors loading up on short positions, or at the very least moving money to the sidelines, while poking fun at the ‘momo’ crowd for once again convincing themselves that “this time is different” as they chased equities ever higher.  Alas, as Bloomberg points […]


Santa’s Stock Market Rally: Tears Of Joy, Or Just Tears?

Authored by Charles Hugh Smith via OfTwoMinds blog, Everyone who believes risk has disappeared has fallen for the con. Judging by this year's version of Santa Claus's reliable year-end stock market rally, risk has vanished, not just in stocks but in bonds, junk bonds, housing, commercial real estate, collectible art–just about the entire spectrum of […]


Its 2007 Redux – What Is Your Excuse This Time?

Here we go again, again.   The unemployment rate is at a historic low.  GDP is above 3% and with the recently enacted historic tax cuts, poised to go much higher.  Inflation is at the Federal Reserve’s target.  Housing starts and sales are booming and housing supply is at an all-time low.  Equities are hitting […]


Is The GOP Tax Cut Finally Priced In? Here’s What Wall Street Thinks

Having passed the Senate, and – moments ago, for the second time – the House, the Republican Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, aka the Trump Tax Cuts is officially a done deal, just waiting for the President’s signature, at which point the longest “rumor” of 2017 will become the news. But does that mean that […]


“In The End, There Was Absurdity” – The Great Crash Of 2018?

Authored by Tuomas Malinen, op-ed via Huffington Post, Crises always take longer to arrive than you think, and then happen much quicker than they ought to. – Rudiger Dornbusch An eerie calm has taken over the world markets. Volatility is crashing, and economic and political shocks come and go without any noticeable effect on the […]


How The Asset Bubble Could End – Part 2

Authored by Pater Tenebrarum via Acting-Man.com, Read Part 1 here… Contradictory Signals Special antennae that help traders catch upcoming opportunities. Available from the same outfit that sells the soup-cooling spoon (Acme Inc).   There is just one more positioning indicator we want to mention: after surging by around $126 billion since March of 2016, NYSE […]


“What The Hell Is It?” – 74 Cryptocurrency Questions Answered

Authored by Wip via Jim Quinn's Burning Platform blog, It’s hard to think of something so complicated that has become so popular as fast as bitcoin. With the price of the cryptocurrency soaring – and mainstream interest surging – Yahoo Finance recently invited readers to send us their top questions regarding bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. We condensed […]


How The Asset Bubble Could End – Part 1

Authored by Pater Tenebrarum via Acting-Man.com, Another Shoeshine Boy Moment We recently pondered the markets while trying out our brand-new electric soup-cooling spoon (see below). We are pondering the markets quite often lately, because we believe tail risk has grown by leaps and bounds and we may be quite close to an important juncture, i.e.,  […]


2018: Irrational Complacency – “What Is Your Exit Strategy?”

Authored by Alberto Gallo via Algebris Investments, “Your loving give me such a thrillBut your love don’t pay my billsNow give me moneyThat’s what I want”Money – Barrett Strong, 1959 Ten long years after the crisis, volatility and fear seem to have disappeared from financial markets. A synchronous global expansion coupled with persistently loose monetary […]


Doug Kass’ 15 Surprises For 2018: FANG Crackdown, Gold All-Time-Highs, Stocks Slump

Authored Doug Kass of Seabreeze Partners Management, "The missing step in the standard Keynesian theory [is] the explicit consideration of capitalist finance within a cyclical and speculative context . . . finance sets the pace for the economy. As recovery approaches full employment . . . soothsayers will proclaim that the business cycle has been […]


What The Yield Curve Says About The Timing Of The Next Recession

While most financial professionals would enjoy nothing more than to trade bitcoin all day long – after all it only goes up in the long run (for now), while bringing insane volatility with it – the reality for most is that they are confined to such boring, established legacy instruments as Treasurys, which rarely have […]


Someone Just Made $60 Million Betting That The Crowd Is Wrong

Over the weekend we warned that just as everyone was convinced that the yield curve can only flatten from here, and was positioned massively on the long side of the 30Y future, the opposite was about to happen, and in a tweet highlighting the record net spec long positioning in 30Y futures, we said “here […]


“We Got Ourselves A Full-Blown Mania…”

Authored by Kevin Muir via The Macro Tourist blog, I often get asked by younger traders what it was like to trade in the DotCom bubble. When I tell them stories about the madness that prevailed at the time, they shake their heads in disbelief about how stupid my generation could have been. They have […]


Jefferies Fixed Income Revenue Plunges 37% To 2 Year Low

Once upon a time Jefferies was the country’s biggest junk bond trading shop, with a small investment banking group on the side. Now, it’s the other way around. in its latest quarter and fiscal year ended November 30, Jefferies – which is the last public company to announce results in the old bank convention with […]


Bank Of America: “This Is A Sign Of Irrational Exuberance”

Two weeks ago, when discussing a recent Albert Edwards piece, we said that the word that has come to define the new normal better than all others, is “paradox“, as in nothing makes sense, or rather everything makes sense if one only flips logic and reason 180 degrees. A “paradox” was on full display in […]