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Bitcoin In 2018: “There Will Be At Least 4 Crashes Of 40% Or More”

By Nicholas Colas via DataTrekResearch.com, When you see something titled “Bitcoin 2018 Predictions”, you are probably most interested in just one thing: “Where will it go?” So let’s start there, but then add some other observations on a variety of topics. #1: We expect bitcoin will trade for between $6,470 and $21,600. Here’s how we […]


To Avoid Liquidation Panic, HNA Assures Deutsche Shareholders It’s A “Long-Term Investor”

The notoriously acquisitive Chinese conglomerate HNA – which recently had a sharp falling out with Beijing resulting in a margin call "shocksave" – is facing a serious cash crunch in 2018 as nearly a quarter of its $100 billion in debt – a large chunk of which was accumulated during a multi-year buying spree that […]


“Are Central Bankers About To Lose Control?” The WSJ Asks And Citi Answers

In an article published by the WSJ today, which was originally titled “Are Central Bankers About to Lose Control?” but after some shoulder taps was renamed to the far more neutral “Can Central Banks Keep Control of Interest Rates?” author Jon Sindreu looks at the current Goldilocks state of the market, in which global growth […]


One Bank Is Unsure If Any Humans Still Trade Stocks In Japan, Or Have All Moved To Bitcoin

While the wholesale disappearance of retail traders from stock markets is hardly a novel observation, it has taken on a whole new meaning in Japan, where the lack of carbon-based investors has prompted Deutsche Bank to ask if “Japan’s stocks are still traded at all by humans.” As Deutsche strategist Masao Muraki writes, since the […]


Bubble Watch: The Fed KNOWS We’re in a 1999-Type Mania…

The Fed raised rates another 0.25% the week before last. This marks the 5th rate hike since the Fed embarked on its policy tightening in December 2015 and the fourth rate hike in the last 12 months. The Fed’s latest statement also indicates it plans on raising rates three more times in 2018. It is […]


Bitcoin Bounces Back Again – Beginning Of The End… Or Bump In The Road?

A crypto-Christmas miracle? Bitcoin is now unchanged from the pre-Friday bloodbath, having scrambled higher for the last 24-48 hours as much of the world enjoyed a day off.   The entire crypto space is rallying once again today but the question remains, is this another dead cat bounce on the way to 'zero' or is […]


Was Coinbase’s Bitcoin Cash Rollout A Designed Hit?

Authored by Tom Luongo, There’s an excellent article over on Breitbart that looks at the details of Coinbase’s surprise roll-out of Bitcoin Cash (BCH) as a trading vehicle on their in-house exchange GDAX. It details the whole sordid mess and I would recommend anyone interested in the topic to read it for what it implies. […]


Citi: ‘What If?…”

One month ago, Citi’s credit team laid out its outlook for the coming year in what – in our opinion – was one of the gloomiest reports for the coming year, and included the following fascinating revelation according to which central bankers appears to have lost control: “That seems to be a growing fear among […]


How To Survive Today’s Bubbly Market

Authored by James Rickards via Bonner & Partners, To paraphrase one of the great gems of Wall Street wisdom, “Nothing infuriates a man more than the sight of other people making money.” That’s a pretty good description of what happens during the late stage of a stock market bubble. The bubble participants are making money […]


Twelve Days Of Christmas Fed’s QE Gave To Me – by Michael Carino, Greenwich Endeavors

On the 12th day of Christmas Fed’s QE Gave To Me: TWELVE Fed Districts Dancing ELEVEN Bubbles Bubbling – (11 – Crypto Currencies like the recently famous soon to infamous Bitcoin, Bonds (every one of them), Stocks, Intra-day leverage from high volume trading, Emerging Markets, Short Volatility Trades in a temporarily suppressed volatility environment, Liquidity […]


Hedge Fund Behind Mystery “Bitcoin To $50,000” Bet Revealed

The crypto space was thrown into chaos today as the price of bitcoin and its peers plunged overnight, cementing the pioneering digital currency's worst week since December 2013, only to rebound dramatically into the close, wiping out virtually all losses. Also today, just as the rout was nearing its trough, we shared a story from […]


Here Is The One Commodity That Is More Volatile Than Bitcoin

Normal 0 false false false false EN-US X-NONE X-NONE Normal 0 false false false false EN-US X-NONE X-NONE There has been a lot talk lately – and especially after today's latest crash – regarding how volatile Bitcoin is, and for good reason, Bitcoin’s 30 day realized volatility is a shade under 96% at 95.5%, which […]


What Will Drive The Next Oil Price Crash?

Authored by Tsvetana Paraskova via OilPrice.com, As we roll into 2018, analysts and investors are more optimistic that the oil market will further tighten next year and support higher oil prices, but rising U.S. shale production will likely cap any significant price gains. On the demand side, expectations are that global economic growth will support […]


Bitcoin: Gold Rush in the Wild Wild Math Game

By EconMatters   Bitcoin has become a buzz word in the investing community, not as an alternate currency unit replacing the fiat money, but as an asset class with a spectacular 1,600%+ return this year, valuation almost doubled just in the December month alone. Bitcoin was heading towards $20,000 before pulling back to $15,000 level on […]


If Bitcoin Is A Bubble…

Authored by Erik Norland via CMEGroup.com, Our earlier articles on bitcoin discuss the crypto asset as a currency and a commodity. Both papers focused on the consequences of bitcoin’s defining feature: the asymptotic supply limit of 21 million coins. This gives it an unusual juxtaposition of demand uncertainty and supply certainty (as well as inelasticity). […]