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Yield Curve Collapses To 10 Year Lows, Stocks Stumble Amid “Unprecedented” Bullish Sentiment

Bonds and Bullion are bid and the yield curve crashed as the Santa Claus rally fails to appear for a second day…   Gold's gains are S&P's losses as the two converge for the month of December…   For the second day in a row, stocks went nowhere despite the promise of the Santa Claus […]


Gold Jumps To Key Technical Level As VIX Collapses

Traders are dumping equity protection and buting chaos protection as VIX tumbles near the year's lows and Gold jumps back towards its 100-day moving average – and its highest level in a month.   Gold is up 9 of the last 10 days, at its highest since early Dec and testing its 100DMA… ($1292)   […]


Bitcoin Bloodbaths Most In 4 Years As Stocks, Bond Yields, & Bullion Bounce

It was quite a week… Dow, S&P up 5th week in a row VIX up Long Bond's worst week since the election HY Bond down 4th week in a row Bitcoin's worst week since Dec 2013 Gold's best week in 2 months Copper's best 2 weeks since election But cryptocurrencies made all the headlines this […]


Trump Tax Bill Sparks Worst 2 Days For Stocks & Bonds In 2017

But, but, but… it wasn't supposed to be priced in…   On the day Trannies and Small Caps managed gains…   Futures show stocks dumped again at the open, tried valiantly to bounce back… but failed…   Notably VIX crashed at the open 8.90…   FANG stocks were weak again today…   High-Tax firms outperformed […]


How The Asset Bubble Could End – Part 2

Authored by Pater Tenebrarum via Acting-Man.com, Read Part 1 here… Contradictory Signals Special antennae that help traders catch upcoming opportunities. Available from the same outfit that sells the soup-cooling spoon (Acme Inc).   There is just one more positioning indicator we want to mention: after surging by around $126 billion since March of 2016, NYSE […]


Despite Overnight Ramp, Stocks Are Being Dumped At The Open (Again)

Sell the news… again… Nasdaq is now red on the week again…   VIX crashed to 8.90 as cash markets opened…   30Y yields back at the Nov 1st FOMC level…   Some are suggesting the extremely rapid long-squeeze in Treasuries is triggering Risk-Parity unwinds… http://WarMachines.com


Doug Kass’ 15 Surprises For 2018: FANG Crackdown, Gold All-Time-Highs, Stocks Slump

Authored Doug Kass of Seabreeze Partners Management, "The missing step in the standard Keynesian theory [is] the explicit consideration of capitalist finance within a cyclical and speculative context . . . finance sets the pace for the economy. As recovery approaches full employment . . . soothsayers will proclaim that the business cycle has been […]


Nasdaq Tops 7,000 For First Time Ever As VIX Crashes

Having passed 6,000 for the first time in April, Nasdaq has now soared 17% since then to surpass 7,000 today…   As soon as cash markets closed last Friday (quad witch), US equity futures spiked… then spiked again on Sunday night’s open, and again at the US equity cash open this morning…   And VIX […]


Stocks, Yield Curve Slammed After China Hike, Draghi Taper, & Tax Tumult

Did Senators Lee and Rubio (and Hatch) just go full "Leeroy Jenkins"?   A surprise China rate hike (and disappointing retail sales) sparked weakness in Chinese stocks…   Mario Draghi managed to talk the Euro and Bund yields lower (despite attemptting to raise inflation forecasts)…   Since the FOMC meeting, Bonds and Bullion are well […]


Kolanovic Unveils His 2018 Outlook: The “Frogs Are Almost Boiled” So Start Hedging

Barely two months after JPMorgan’s Marko Kolanovic previewed the next financial crisis, which he dubbed the “Great Liquidity Crisis”, and which would be catalyzed by the following liquidity disrupting elements: Decreased AUM of strategies that buy value assets Tail risk of private assets Increased AUM of strategies that sell on “autopilot” Liquidity-provision trends Miscalculation of […]


Gold Pops As Bitcoin Drops, Dollar Snaps Longest Win Streak Since Jan 2016

"Contained"…   Post-FOMC, Gold was the biggest gainer…   US Equities were holding to gains but tumbled in the last few minutes with the S&P turning red…   Nasdaq manged to hold gains after The Fed…   VIX was noisy around CPI early on and snapped higher into the close (breaking above the terrifying level […]


These Were The Biggest Market Shocks In 2017… And What 2018 Has In Store

With 2017 almost entirely in the rearview mirror, the most memorable – and we clearly use the term loosely – and certainly historic feature of the past year was the complete collapse in volatility. In fact, as Bank of America noted last week, by one measure the Dow traded in its tightest trading range in […]


Attention Derivatives Traders: Here Are “The Top 17 Themes To Remember From 2017”

Last week, as part of its must read 2018 Outlook piece, Bank of America’s derivatives team pointed out two particularly notable things: the first was BofA’s version of the (central-bank mediated) “feedback loop” diagram that keeps volatility record low and grinding even lower, as selling of vol has become a self-reinforcing dynamic, in which lower […]


BofA’s Derivatives Wizards Reveal “The Top 17 Themes To Remember From 2017”

Last week, as part of its must read 2018 Outlook piece, Bank of America’s derivatives team pointed out two particularly notable things: the first was BofA’s version of the (central-bank mediated) “feedback loop” diagram that keeps volatility record low and grinding even lower, as selling of vol has become a self-reinforcing dynamic, in which lower […]


Stocks Soar To Most-Overbought In 22 Years But Bitcoin Futures Debut Dominate

Bitcoin futures are here…   Small Caps and Trannies were today's biggest losers as Nasdaq led…   The S&P 500 has not been this overbought since 1995…   VIX briefly topped 10 after the NYC bomb explosion…but was clubbed into the close..   Utes ramped oddly in the afternoon but Energy stocks and Tech were […]