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Bubble Watch: The Fed KNOWS We’re in a 1999-Type Mania…

The Fed raised rates another 0.25% the week before last. This marks the 5th rate hike since the Fed embarked on its policy tightening in December 2015 and the fourth rate hike in the last 12 months. The Fed’s latest statement also indicates it plans on raising rates three more times in 2018. It is […]


Equity Mania Reaches Fever Pitch As Even Famed “Value Investors” Throw In The Towel On Shorts

Once upon a time, the chart below would have resulted in value investors loading up on short positions, or at the very least moving money to the sidelines, while poking fun at the ‘momo’ crowd for once again convincing themselves that “this time is different” as they chased equities ever higher.  Alas, as Bloomberg points […]


Dear Janet Yellen: Here Is Your Own Watchdog Warning About Financial Stability Risks In “Red And Orange”

In the most interesting exchange during Janet Yellen’s final news conference, CNBC’s seemingly flustered Steve Liesman asked Janet Yelen a question which in other times would have led to his loss of FOMC access privileges: “Every day it seems the stock market goes up triple digits on the Dow Jones: is it now, or will […]


Liesman Asks Yellen: “Is The Fed Worried By The Market Going Up Triple Digits Every Day?”

CNBC's Steve Liesman: "Every day it seems the stock market goes up triple digits… is it now, or will it soon become a worry for the central bank that valuations are this high?" Yellen's response appeared very similar to Bernanke's "contained" moment: '"The stock market has gone up a great deal this year,'' and asset […]


Liesman Asks Yellen If The Fed Is Worried By The “Market “Going Up Triple Digits Every Day” Yellen; Here Is

CNBC's Steve Liesman: "Every day it seems the stock market goes up triple digits… is it now, or will it soon become a worry for the central bank that valuations are this high?" Yellen's response appeared very similar to Bernanke's "contained" moment: '"The stock market has gone up a great deal this year,'' and asset […]


The Seven Questions Goldman’s Clients Have About “Rational Exuberance”

In mid-November, just days after Barclays released its 2018 equity outlook with the title “Rational Exuberance”… … Goldman’s David Kostin decided that imitation was the sincerest form of unveiling a non-contrarian year-end forecast, and in presenting his revised S&P price target for 2018 of 2,850 – which accounts for GOP tax reform – “borrowed” the […]


Earnings Don’t Matter After All!

Via The Knowledge Leaders Capital blog, Our long-time readers are familiar with the work of Professor Baruch Lev of the NYU Stern School of Business, whose research forms the basis for the Knowledge Leaders investment strategy. In his decades-long study of financial records, Lev first discovered a link between a firm’s knowledge capital and its […]


Small Caps Are Now More Expensive Than At The Peak Of The Tech Bubble

Everyone knows that tech stocks are – or at least until investors realized that tax reform is a fiasco for the tech sector, were – the darlings of the market, resulting in the biggest concentration of hedge fund holders with a record number of HFs holding the 5 FAANG stocks; at the same time far fewer […]


The Mean-Reverting History Of Profit Growth

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, As the markets push once again into record territory the question of valuations becomes ever more important.  While valuations are a poor timing tool in the short term for investors, in the long run, valuation levels have everything to do with future returns. Yesterday, Doug Kass penned an interesting […]


Uber Reports Massive $1.5 Billion 3Q Loss As Two Investors Drop Out Of New Financing Round

Following an embarrassing revelation from about a weak ago that Uber concealed a massive cyberattack – in which hackers stole personal data from 57 million customers for more than a year – and paid the hackers $100,000 to keep quiet (not to mention the plethora of other scandals of late), investors in the private company […]


Tax Reform Rotation

Authored by Kevin Muir via The Macro Tourist blog, I have often said that as traders, it is not our job to pass judgment on what should be, but, instead, to take advantage of what is. I will try to stick to that mantra when discussing the US tax “reform” package, but I must admit, […]


Unicorn-holed: Softbank Coalition To Buy Uber Shares At A 30% Discount

And the hits keep coming for the unicornest unicorn in all of unicorn-land… Back in the summer, we suggested – for numerous reasons – that Uber's next round of financing may come at a significant discount to its current $69 billion valuation. Overnight, headlines hit that SoftBank was said to have learned of last year's […]


Francesco Filia: The World’s Twin Asset Bubbles Could Collapse Under Their Own Weight

In this week's MacroVoices podcast, Erik Townsend interviews Francesco Filia, a fund manager at Fasanara Capital. After exchanging pleasantries, Townsend begins the interview by asking Filia, an analysts who's widely regarded for his research about how post-crisis monetary policy has impacted distorted markets, about the different metrics he uses to determine whether a certain asset […]


These Are The 7 Companies Amazon May Purchase Next

On Monday, a Morgan Stanley report that Amazon was contemplating “disrupting” the Healthcare Distribution sector slammed stocks in the industry, sending the sector sharply lower. Fast forward two days, when Amazon’s disruption appears to have started earlier than even MS anticipated, after a CNBC report that AWS CEO Andy Jassy is planning to announce that […]


Goldman Bets On “Rational Exuberance”: Unveils Its S&P Price Targets, Sees Bull Market Lasting Until 2020

Just days after Barclays released its 2018 equity outlook with the title “Rational Exuberance”… … Goldman’s David Kostin decided that imitation is the sincerest form of flattery and in presenting his S&P price target* for 2018 (and 2019 and 2020), and has named his preview report the same: We footnoted price target, because once again […]