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US Consumers Tap Out: Personal Savings Rate Plunges To 10 Year Low While Americans Splurge

The latest confirmation that the US consumer is now effectively tapped out came moments ago when the Dept of Commerce reported that in November, Personal Income rose by a lower than expected 0.3% (exp. 0.4%), while US consumers continued to splurge at an accelerated rate, with personal spending rising 0.6%, above the 0.5% expected, as […]

Two More White House Advisers Leave As Staffer “Churn” Continues

One week after Omarosa Manigault Newman left the White House under suspicious circumstances – she was reportedly escorted off the property when she tried to enter the residence after being fired by Chief of Staff John Kelly – two more senior Trump staffers are on their way out. Last night, both Deputy Chief of Staff […]

Who Is Getting Screwed The Hardest?

A very interesting chart has crossed our feed this morning via Teddy Vallee, a consumer analyst, who we pay attention to on occasion… The first half of the chart shows the bottom 50% of Western European’s national income, which has stayed relatively the same for the past 30-years. Meanwhile, in the United States, the bottom 50% of […]

Millennials & Marxism

Authored by Robert Gore via Straight Line Logic blog, Children Learn What They’re Taught Many millennials embrace Marxism. So do their parents and grandparents… From the millennials’ abilities will supposedly flow the wherewithal to fund “needs”: their elders‘ entitlements, debt, and ever-expanding blob of a government. Horror of horrors, polls and studies indicate that many […]

Credit Card Debt Suddenly Surges 18% As U.S. Consumers “Pre-Spend” Tax Relief Savings

With Republicans in Washington D.C. on the verge of passing their first major piece of legislation in the form of comprehensive tax cuts that will allow Americans across the income spectrum to keep a little more of their hard earned cash in 2018, it appears as though eager U.S. consumers may have already “pre-spent” their […]

Proposed Legislation: Fannie And Freddie Are Here To Stay – There Is No Alternative

Since the US government nationalized the two GSEs in 2008 in a $187 billion bailout of the mortgage giants, there have been consistent calls for them to be wound down and for the private sector to fill the void. As we discussed, this view is, or was, shared by new Fed Chairman, Jay Powell. Mr. […]

American Purchases Of “Stuff They Don’t Need” Hits 17 Year High

Anyone who has been paying attention to the New York Fed’s Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit is probably aware that Americans are drowning in debt… …Aggregate household debt climbed $116 billion during the third quarter to $12.96 trillion, edging past its previous peak from Q3 2008. But even as millennials struggle to pay […]

Bitcoin Breakdown: Bigtime Bubble-time

First part of a series.  By @Sellputs, this post first appeard on the Hedge Accordingly.com All the world is a stage—for the Bitcoin Bubble.  Never mind that stocks have soared up 30% in the full year since Donald Trump stunned even himself by winning the presidential election—everybody would rather talk about bitcoin and its brethren.  […]

11 Of 19 Bear Market Indicators Have Now Been Triggered: BofA

Two weeks ago, Bank of America tripped recession-watcher alarms, when it announced out that one of its surest bear-market indicators, one which has never had a false negative, had just been triggered. As we said at the time, according to BofA’s Savita Subramanian in November the S&P 500’s three-month earnings estimate revision ratio (ERR) fell […]

David Stockman Warns “Gold Is The Only Safe Asset Left”

Via Greg Hunter's USA Watchdog blog, Record high stock and bond prices are flashing danger signs to former Reagan White House Budget Director David Stockman. Stockman contends, “I don’t think we are going to have a liquidity crisis.  I think it’s going to be a value reset.  I think there is going to be a […]

Is the Bond Market About to Call the Fed’s Inflationary Bluff?

Perhaps the single biggest development this year, as far as the markets were concerned, was the Fed admitting on the record that it has no idea what is going on with inflation. This represents a kind of endgame for the Fed. Since the early ‘80s, the Fed has been actively understating inflation via a variety […]

Santa’s Stock Market Rally: Tears Of Joy, Or Just Tears?

Authored by Charles Hugh Smith via OfTwoMinds blog, Everyone who believes risk has disappeared has fallen for the con. Judging by this year's version of Santa Claus's reliable year-end stock market rally, risk has vanished, not just in stocks but in bonds, junk bonds, housing, commercial real estate, collectible art–just about the entire spectrum of […]

Bitcoin as a monetary policy tool

If you look from a systemic perspective, Bitcoin has been nothing more than another electronic asset bubble, while not a QE tool explicitly used by the Fed – it has accomplished the same thing, but much faster.  What took decades and years for QE to do in other markets, Bitcoin did inside of a few […]

“Ho, Ho, Hodl – A Visit From Crypto-Claus”: A Blockchain Holiday Poem

From Cameron Crise, a former hedge fund trader and current macro commentator and strategist who writes for Bloomberg. The holidays are a festive time of fun and fantastical fairy tales told to young people, which explain the windfall of riches bestowed upon them. As it’s become something of a tradition for me to close out […]

Its 2007 Redux – What Is Your Excuse This Time?

Here we go again, again.   The unemployment rate is at a historic low.  GDP is above 3% and with the recently enacted historic tax cuts, poised to go much higher.  Inflation is at the Federal Reserve’s target.  Housing starts and sales are booming and housing supply is at an all-time low.  Equities are hitting […]