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Homebuilder Optimism Soars To Highest Since 1999… There’s Just One Thing

And so it appears that America’s homebuilders – cock-a-hoop over tax reform (which caps the mortgage interest deduction?) – aren’t concerned about affordability, about rising rates, and stagnant incomes. In fact they have not been this optimistic since December 1999. There’s just one thing… as University of Michigan consumer confidence data shows, for the ‘average […]


Facebook Really Is Bad For You, Researchers Say

Apparently, Chamath Palihapitiya was on to something when he revealed earlier this week that he felt “tremendous guilt” for the role that he played in Facebook’s success as a social-media company. To wit, Facebook's director of research David Ginsberg and research scientist Moira Burke published a blog post this week explaining that, in some instances, […]


Vampires, Zombies, And ‘Hooking-Up’: 37 Examples Of Real College Courses That Are Almost Too Crazy To Believe

Authored by Michael Snyder via The American Dream blog, You just can’t make this stuff up.  All over America we push our young people to get good grades so that they can get “a college education”, but then once they get through college many of our young people are completely unequipped to deal with the […]


The Rude Awakening Of Slumbering Bulls

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, Near the end of each year, Barron’s magazine highlights the outlooks for the next year from 10, or so, Wall Street strategists. As noted recently by Sentiment Trader: “Strategists are a little more optimistic than the Big Money was, forecasting a gain of around 7% for the S&P 500 […]


As Stocks Soar To Record High, Americans’ Consumer Confidence Tumbles In November

Despite soaring stock market values and an endless array of postive survey data from various estabishment-based entities, University of Michigan confidence tumbled in November. Consumer sentiment in the U.S. cooled for a second month. While current conditions managed to improve, expectations for the future slumped… “Perhaps the most important changes in early December were higher income […]


Key Events In The Coming Week: Jobs, Brexit, PMI, IP And More

The first full week of December is shaping up as rather busy, with such Tier 1 data in the US as the payrolls report, durable goods orders and trade balance. We also get UK PMI data and GDP, retail sales across the Euro Area, as well as central bank meetings including Australia RBA and BoC […]


Great (Stock) Expectations

Via Dana Lyons' Tumblr, Consumers’ expectations for stock market gains have never been higher – or more assured. Since the August stock market low, bulls have had it pretty good. Rally participation has been excellent, as has price structure for the most part. Outside of a textbook successful test of The Most Important Level In […]


Army Tests New ‘AI-Controlled-Exoskeleton’ Super-Soldier

Lockheed Martin’s Fortis Knee Stress Release Device (K-SRD) – an AI controlled exoskeleton is designed to turn U.S. soldiers into super-machines. The Army is currently testing the technology at Fort A.P. Hill running it through normal tasks of combat infantry– in order to see if productivity increase. The Fortis exoskeleton, which weighs 85-pounds, looks like […]


UMich Consumer Confidence Slides In November As Faith In Stocks Falters

Having hit the highest level since Jan 2004 in October, November’s final print shows the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index fell from 100.7 to 98.5, as both hope and current conditions slipped. Expewctations for inflation dipped. Consumers saw inflation rate in the next year at 2.5 percent after 2.4 percent the prior month. Inflation rate over […]


Key Events In The Coming Holiday-Shortened Week

It’s a relatively quiet, holiday-shortened (in the US) week, in which volumes are expected to grind lower as we head into the Thanksgiving holiday. In the US, existing home sales will be reported on Tues, expected to edge up to 5.4mn saar in Oct from 5.39mn in Sep. One day later, we get the durable […]


Key Events In The Coming Week: Taxes, Inflation, Yellen, Draghi, Kuroda And Brexit

This week’s economic calendar features several key data releases and Fedspeak. The main data release in US include: CPI inflation, retail sales, industrial production, housing data and monthly budget statement. We also get the latest GDP and CPI reading across the Euro Area; the employment report in the UK and AU, Japan GDP, China IP, […]


From “BTFD” To “Sell The Rip”: Global Stocks Slide, Nikkei Tumbles, Pound Plunges

S&P futures gave up early gains and were trading down -0.2%, as Donald Trump completes his first Asian tour and as pressure mounts on U.K. Prime Minister Theresa May, sending the pound plunging. European stocks fell, tracking many Asian shares as the Nikkei plunge accelerated. In Europe, the Stoxx 600 fell as much as 0.4%, […]


Consumer Confidence Unexpectedly Drops On Inflation, Rate-Hike Fears

UMich consumer sentiment declined from 100.7 to 97.8 in the preliminary November print, disappointing expectations of a small rise as anticipation of a pickup in inflation and higher interest rates weighed on the gauge. Even with the decline, sentiment was the second-highest since January, reinforcing other reports that Americans remain optimistic about employment and the […]


“This Looks More Frightening”: Global Stock, Bond Selloff Accelerates Amid Risk-Parity Rumblings

Yesterday’s Japan flash-crash inspired selling continues for a second day, with global equities – and bonds – sliding early Friday on concerns U.S. tax reform – and corporate tax cuts – will be delayed after Senate Republicans unveiled a plan that differed significantly from the House of Representatives’ version. After suffering their biggest plunge in […]


Will Americans Die Young Enough To Save Pension Plans?

Authored by Doug French via The Mises Institute, “Pension fund problems worsen in 43 states” says the Bloomberg headline. Laurie Meisler writes, New Jersey, Kentucky and Illinois continue to lose ground and now have only about one third of the money they need to pay retirement benefits. And three states had double-digit declines in their pension funding […]