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In An Unexpected Outcome, Trump Tax Reform Blew Up The Treasury Market

Over the past week we have shown on several occasions that there once again appears to be a sharp, sudden dollar-funding liquidity strain in global markets, manifesting itself in a dramatic widening in FX basis swaps, which – in this particular case – has flowed through in the forward discount for USDJPY spiking from around […]


In An Unexpected Outcome, Trump Tax Reform Just Blew Up The Treasury Market

Over the past week we have shown on several occasions that there once again appears to be a sharp, sudden dollar-funding liquidity strain in global markets, manifesting itself in a dramatic widening in FX basis swaps, which – in this particular case – has flowed through in the forward discount for USDJPY spiking from around […]


QE Unwind is Really Happening: Fed Assets Drop To Lowest Level In Over Three Years

Submitted by Wolf Richter of Wolf Street The Fed’s balance sheet for the week ending December 6, completes the second month of the QE-unwind. Total assets initially zigzagged within a tight range to end October where it started, at $4,456 billion. But in November, holdings drifted lower, and by December 6 were at $4,437 billion, […]


2018 Will Be When Central Bank Policy Crashes Into the Wall

The bubble in sovereign bonds is looking dangerously close to popping. And ironically, what could burst it is the very thing Central Banks have been pursuing aggressively for the last 9 years: inflation. As I explain in my bestselling book The Everything Bubble, Treasury yields adjust to account for inflation. The relationship is not perfect as […]


How The Fed Destroyed The Functioning American Democracy And Bankrupted The Nation

Authored by Chris Hamilton via Econimica blog, I hope this article brings forward important questions about the Federal Reserves role in the US and I openly admit this is by no means a comprehensive article…it simply attempts to begin a broader dialogue about the financial and economic impacts of allowing the Federal Reserve to direct America's […]


China Issues First Dollar Bond Since 2004, Bails Out Corporate Liquidity

Despite downgrades from the rating agencies, China is issuing its first sovereign dollar bond issues in 13 years on an unrated basis (what do the agencies know anyway) and at tight spreads to US Treasuries. The 5 and 10-year issues come just over a month since S&P cut the nation’s rating one level to A+ […]


Is A US Default Imminent: Liquidation Panic Grips T-Bills Market

While the politicians and the mainstream media are playing down any concerns about the US debt ceiling, Treasury Bill market participants are seeing chaos as the yield curve has snapped across the Sept-Oct divide with panic-buying in bills that mature ahead of the September-end (Q3-end liquidity needs), and dumping of October bills.   As Treasury […]


About That Debt Ceiling Crisis…

With just one month left until the “X Date”, better known as the first day on which Treasury has exhausted its borrowing authority and no longer has sufficient funds to pay all of its bills in full and on time, and also known as the date the US is technically in default on its debt […]


Tesla Bonds Are Now Riskier Than Ukraine’s

Considering both entities are 'backed' one way or another by the US Government, it is perhaps not a total surprise that the risk of Ukraine government bonds and the risk of Tesla bonds are 'similar'… But the last few days have seen the world's 4th largest automaker (by market cap) trade at a more risky […]