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Russia’s Military Is Leaner, But Meaner

Authore by Leonid Brershidky via Bloomberg.com, During Russian President Vladimir Putin's annual press conference on Thursday, a friendly journalist asked Putin whether the escalating tension in relations with the U.S. and the crumbling of arms control treaties would draw Russia into an unsustainable arms race. "We will ensure our security without engaging in an arms race," the president replied, […]


3-(Mis)Statements About Tax Reform

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, With the passage of the Tax Cut And Jobs Act on Wednesday, I wanted to address a few of the questions and misinformation currently circulating about the impact of tax cuts on the U.S. economy. Over the last couple of months, I have been repeatedly asked why I am […]


The Big Problem With The GOP Tax Cut, Charted

While the jury will be out for years whether the Trump tax cuts will boost the economy (they already had an outsized impact on markets, pushing the Dow by nearly 5,000 points higher since Trump’s election), there are several key problems that remain outstanding. The first one, as the following JPMorgan chart shows, is that […]


The Coming Fiscal Derailment – Stockman Explains Why FY 2019 Will Sink The Casino

Authored by David Stockman via Contra Corner blog, Since last November 8th the Russell 2000 has risen by 30% and the net Federal debt has expanded by an astounding $1.0 trillion dollars. In a rational world operating with honest financial markets those two results would not be found in even remotely the same zip code; and especially not in month #102 of […]


Lavishing Money On The Pentagon

Authored by Jonathan Marshall via ConsortiumNews.com, It seems like it’s always Christmastime at the Pentagon where the stockings are full and budget-cutting is for those domestic social-program guys… Wise parents who celebrate Christmas advise their young children not to make unreasonably grandiose requests of Santa. After all, he has to squeeze down a rather narrow […]


Weekend Reading: Ignorance Is No Excuse

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, The “tax bill cometh.” According to the press, this is going to be the single biggest factor to jump-starting economic growth since the invention of the wheel. Interestingly, even the Fed’s economic projections are suggesting that economic growth will pick up over the next two years from the impact of […]


Stocks, Bonds, & Bullion Still Uncertain As Rand Paul Clarifies Statement On “No” To Higher Deficits

Update: Rand Paul attempted to clarify his comments by tweeting: Tax cuts – people keeping more of their money – are never the problem. The problem is spending. We should obey our rules, stop the deficit spending, and shrink government. But that seemed to have sparked more selling as it suggests that any bill that […]


Tax-Reform Opponents Blast Treasury Report As “Nothing More Than One Page Of Fake Math”

Yesterday, we highlighted a one-page report prepared by the Treasury Department which claimed that – in what was perhaps one of the most unrealistically optimistic budget projections to ever be produced by the US government agency – the Senate’s version of the Republican tax plan would, somehow, bolster GDP to a 2.9% real growth rate […]


Treasury Forecasts Tax Reform Will Lead To Longest Period Without Recession In History

One week ago, in its latest assessment of the current state of tax reform in the aftermath of the Senate’s passage of the tax bill, Goldman analysts calculated that while growth impact from tax reform had increased fractionally to around 0.3% in 2018 and 2019 “reflecting the slightly larger amount of tax cuts in the […]


Weekend Reading: Recession Risk Hidden In Tax Bill

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, Since the election, equity bulls have been pinning their hopes on “tax cuts” as the needed injection to support currently elevated stock prices. Stocks have advanced sharply since the election on these expectations, and while earnings have recovered, primarily due to the rise in oil prices, whatever economic growth […]


Futures Surge As Johnson, Daines Greenlight Tax Bill

After a planned series of votes on the Trump tax plan were called off last night, GOP senators were scrambling to assuage the concerns of Republican holdouts who suddenly decided that the tax bill would blow out the deficit after one proposal – a so-called “trigger” that would automatically raise taxes if revenue targets aren’t […]


Lessons From Squanto

Authored by MN Gordon via EconomicPrism.com, Governments across the planet will go to any length to meddle in the lives and private affairs of their citizens.  This is what our experiences and observations have shown.  What gives? For one, politicians have an aversion to freedom and liberty.  They want to control your behavior, choices, and decisions.  […]


Stockman On America’s Fiscal Sundown, Part 1

Authored by David Stockman via Contra Corner blog, The Senate Finance Committee tax bill is not supply side and it's not even a tax cut; it's a gimmick-ridden policy mongrel that smells to high heaven of political desperation and cynicism. Contrary to the Donald's delusional promise that the American people will get some tax cut sugar plums for Christmas, […]


Weekend Reading: It’s The Debt, Stupid

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, As I noted last Friday, the recently approved budget was an anathema to any fiscally conservative policy. As the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget stated: “Republicans in Congress laid out two visions in two budgets for our fiscal future, and today, they choose the path of gimmicks, debt, […]


3 Myths About Tax Cuts

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, On Friday, I touched on the proposed “tax cut/reform” bill introduced by the House Ways and Means committee which is chaired by Congressman Kevin Brady. Some of the key highlights of the “House plan”  are as follows (courtesy of Zacks Research): No change to 401(k) contribution caps Repeal the […]