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Frontrunning: December 27

Post-Holiday Rush: Homeowners Line Up to Prepay Tax Bills (WSJ) World stocks rise as metals surge mitigates iPhone X woes (Reuters) White House Considers Former Bush-Era Economists for Fed No. 2 Job (WSJ) More lawsuits over slowing down of older iPhones (Reuters) Barclays Takes $1.3 Billion Hit From U.S. Tax Bill (BBG) Shell, Barclays Detail […]


Citi’s “What If?” Scenarios: Part 2

Yesterday we published the first set of 7 “What If” scenarios that didn’t make it into the Citi Credit team’s (already rather gloomy) year-ahead forecast. Because while Citi’s “base case” was clearly bearish (our summary can be found here), what was left unsaid was even more unsettling, if not troubling. As the bank’s credit team […]


Tory Power Base Takes Another Hit After Theresa May’s Right Hand Man Fired Over Pornography

Tory (lack of) power-base takes another hit. The UK prime minister’s right hand man Damian Green has been fired from his post based on the allegations over pornography usage. In an ongoing saga Damian Green was “asked to quit” after he made “inaccurate and misleading” statements over what he knew about claims pornography was found […]


Brexit Moves To Phase 2 – Sterling Slides As EU Warns Talks Will Be Far More Testing

Following the humiliation of losing the House of Commons vote on Friday, in which MP’s took the final say on the Brexit deal from the executive, UK Prime Minister was in Brussels as EU leaders gave approval for Brexit talks to move to phase 2. At a dinner last night, she was applauded by leaders […]


Frontrunning: December 15

Some GOP Senators Press for Late Changes in Tax Bill (WSJ) Here’s Where the GOP Tax Plan Stands Right Now (BBG) Harvard Endowment Chief Pushed for Steeper Devaluation of Assets (WSJ) Net neutrality repeal gives Democrats fresh way to reach millennials (Reuters) With Fox Deal, Disney Adds Hulu to Its Digital Kingdom (WSJ) Treasury Yields […]


Desperate Britain Forced To Import Russian Gas From Sanction-Targeted Project

We said two days ago that it’s been a tough week for anybody who needs to heat their home or put gasoline in their cars in Britain. The litany of negative events and mishaps includes extremely low temperatures, the shutdown of the Forties pipeline due to a hairline crack and an explosion at one of […]


Trader: UK Does Brexit Best When It Does Nothing At All

From the latest Macro View by current Bloomberg macro commentator and former Lehman trader, Mark Cudmore U.K. Does Brexit Best When It Does Nothing At All: Macro View With apologies to my compatriot Ronan Keating, there’s a non-negligible and rising probability that Brexit doesn’t happen. Ultimately that would be a positive for U.K. assets. An […]


Cameron And Tyler Winklevoss Are World’s First Confirmed Bitcoin Billionaires

The Winklevoss twins are officially the founding members of what we'd like to call the bitcoin billionaires boys club. When Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss settled their lawsuit against Facebook founder Mark Zuckerberg, the twins probably thought they had missed a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to become billionaires. Nearly ten years later, the twins have reached a net […]


Reason For Bitcoin Sudden Plunge Revealed: UK Plans Regulatory Crackdown On Cryptocurrencies

Just after 430pm ET we showed that bitcoin, and the entire crypto space, tumbled, with Bitcoin plunging from session highs just under $12,000 to a low of $10,600 on what appeared at first sight to be no news. However, in retrospect this appears to not have been the case, and as the Telegraph reported just […]


AAA-Rated Oxford University To Issue £250 Million Ultra Long 100-Year Bond

Individual Oxford colleges – there are thirty-eight altogether – have issued bonds in the past, but this will be a first for the ancient University as a whole. Timed to perfection for its upcoming bond issue, Moody’s today assigned a “AAA” credit rating, with a stable outlook, to the 900-year old institution. According to Moody’s, […]


Oxford University To Issue £250 Million Ultra Long 100-Year Bond

Individual Oxford colleges – there are thirty-eight altogether – have issued bonds in the past, but this will be a first for the ancient University as a whole. Timed to perfection for its upcoming bond issue, Moody’s today assigned a “AAA” credit rating, with a stable outlook, to the 900-year old institution. According to Moody’s, […]


UK Banks Can Withstand “Disorderly Brexit” But Need Additional £6BN; $35 Trillion In Derivatives Affected

For the first time since it (belatedly) began conducting stress tests in 2014, none of the UK’s major banks need to raise additional capital. More importantly, the Bank of England and the system could withstand a disorderly Brexit. As Bloomberg recaps, "the stress-test scenario therefore encompasses a wide range of U.K. macroeconomic risks that could […]


Brexit Budget – Grim Outlook As UK Economy Downgraded

Brexit budget – Grim outlook as UK economic forecasts downgrade – UK Chancellor uses housing market policy as smoke-screen for deteriorating economy– UK budget matters more than ever due to BREXIT risks– Policy on stamp duty will fail to aid worsening housing market– Real GDP expected to grow by just 1.5%, 40% less than projections 2 […]


Frontrunning: November 22

Uber Is Facing Yet Another Irate UK Watchdog (BBG) Oil Is Heading Towards a Two-Year High (BBG) Regulators to press Uber after it admits covering up data breach (Reuters) FOMO Fails to Drive European Stocks While Rest of World Parties (BBG) Putin Hosts Assad in Sochi Ahead of Syria Summit (WSJ) UK Sets Aside Extra […]


UK Cabinet Poised To Increase Brexit Divorce Payment By Another 20 Billion Euros

Theresa’s May’s government is poised to concede an improved Brexit settlement offer to gain EU approval to move the negotiations on to the next stage. May reportedly has the backing of senior ministers ahead of a critical cabinet meeting on Monday afternoon. The list of senior ministers is thought to include chancellor, Philip Hammond, Brexit […]