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How To Survive Today’s Bubbly Market

Authored by James Rickards via Bonner & Partners, To paraphrase one of the great gems of Wall Street wisdom, “Nothing infuriates a man more than the sight of other people making money.” That’s a pretty good description of what happens during the late stage of a stock market bubble. The bubble participants are making money […]


How The Asset Bubble Could End – Part 2

Authored by Pater Tenebrarum via Acting-Man.com, Read Part 1 here… Contradictory Signals Special antennae that help traders catch upcoming opportunities. Available from the same outfit that sells the soup-cooling spoon (Acme Inc).   There is just one more positioning indicator we want to mention: after surging by around $126 billion since March of 2016, NYSE […]


Bitcoin Has A “Whale” Problem: 1,000 Investors Control Nearly Half The Market

If Jay Gould were alive today, he would've traded bitcoin. Perhaps the most blatant hypocrisy perpetrated by bitcoin evangelists is their insistence that bitcoin and other digital currencies represent a return to a truly democratic financial system beyond the control of banks and other special interests, where players small and large can earn enormous profits […]


Bubble Dynamics and Market Crashes

Authored by James Rickards via The Daily Reckoning, To paraphrase one of the great gems of Wall Street wisdom, “Nothing infuriates a man more than the sight of other people making money.” That’s a pretty good description of what happens during the late stage of a stock market bubble. The bubble participants are making money […]


The Greatest Fear Today: The Lack Of Fear

Authored by James Rickards via The Daily Reckoning, Market crashes often happen not when everyone is worried about them, but when no one is worried about them. Complacency and overconfidence are good leading indicators of an overvalued market set for a correction or worse. Prominent magazine covers are notorious for declaring a boundless bull market […]


Machine Learning’s “Overhyped” Potential Is Headed Toward The “Trough Of Disillusionment”

Bloomberg’s series on automation on Wall Street has certainly given the hundreds of thousands of highly educated individuals employed in the US financial services industry a lot to think about, like, for example, ‘will my job be here in ten years when it’s time for my oldest to head to college?’” However, Bloomberg’s latest installment […]


The Biggest Stock Market Crashes Tend To Happen In October

Authored by SeasonalCharts.com's Dmitri Speck via Acting-Man.com, October is the Most Dangerous Month The prospect of steep market declines worries investors – and the month of October has a particularly bad reputation in this respect.   Bad juju month: Statistically, October is actually not the worst month on average – but it is home to […]


The Era Of Complacency Is Ending

Authored by James Rickards via DailyReckoning.com, Physicists say a “subcritical” system that’s waiting to “go critical” is in a “phase transition.” A system that is subcritical actually appears stable, but it is capable of wild instability based on a small change in initial conditions. The critical state is when the process spins out of control, […]


Quant Fund Run By Three 20-Somethings Trades $1 Billion A Day

Financial markets are increasingly being dominated by quantitative and passive traders (even as quant forms have underperformed this year). We highlighted this dichotomy earlier this year in a post titled “Quants Dominate The Market; Unexpectedly They Are Also Badly Underperforming It:” “Two days ago, JPM's head quant made a striking observation: "Passive and Quantitative investors […]


Volatility Makes A Comeback

Authored by James Rickards via The Daily Reckoning, Volatility has languished near all-time lows for months on end. That’s about to change. For almost a year, one of the most profitable trading strategies has been to sell volatility. Since the election of Donald Trump stocks have been a one-way bet. They almost always go up, […]