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US Tax Cut and Rate Hikes Threaten China Currency

Authored by Valentin Schmid via The Epoch Times, Seven was the line in the sand. But the Chinese yuan never crossed that line vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar. It only crept up to 6.96 yuan per dollar on Dec. 16, 2016, before starting an impressive comeback, down to 6.5 in the middle of this year. Last […]


Doug Kass’ 15 Surprises For 2018: FANG Crackdown, Gold All-Time-Highs, Stocks Slump

Authored Doug Kass of Seabreeze Partners Management, "The missing step in the standard Keynesian theory [is] the explicit consideration of capitalist finance within a cyclical and speculative context . . . finance sets the pace for the economy. As recovery approaches full employment . . . soothsayers will proclaim that the business cycle has been […]


“Long Bitcoin” Is The Most Crowded Trade On Wall Street… Again

.. at least according to BofA’s latest, just released December monthly Fund Managers Survey, in which 172 participants with $480bn in AUM responded to dozens of questions, among which “what do you think is the most crowded trade.” Back in September, as we reported at the time, for the first time ever the top answer […]


Stephen Roach Warns “Complacency Will Be Tested In 2018”

Authored by Stephen Roach via Project Syndicate, Despite seemingly robust indicators, the world economy may not be nearly as resilient to shocks and systemic challenges as the consensus view seems to believe. In particular, the absence of a classic vigorous rebound from the Great Recession means that the global economy never recouped the growth lost […]


Canada Kills Plan To Buy Boeing Super Hornet Jets Amid Growing Trade Feud

The growing trade feud between the US and Canada escalated overnight when Ottawa announced it was scrapping a plan to buy 18 F-18 Boeing Super Hornet fighter jets amid a deepening dispute with the U.S. aerospace company, Reuters reported. In a snub to the US, Canada’s Liberal government will instead announce that intends to acquire […]


US-China Economic Dialogue Has “Stalled; No Plans To Revive Talks”: Malpass

At the start of the year, one of the often repeated risk factors was that a trade war between China and the US could break out due to Trump’s hardline stance on the US trade deficit with Beijing. Since then, such fears have largely faded as the status quo re-established itself, and trade between the […]


“Very Close To Irrational Exuberance”: Asian Equities Break Above All-Time High As Hang Seng Clears 30,000

Following the new all-time high in US equities, the MSCI Asia Pacific Index broke through its November 2007 peak to make an all-time high in Wednesday’s trading session. This was something we noted could happen yesterday in “SocGen: Asian Equities Are So Awesome, A China Minsky Moment Is ‘Manageable”. The dollar weakened slightly after outgoing […]


‘America First!’ AWOL From Beijing, War With North Korea Looms

Authored by James George Jatras via The Strategic Culture Foundation, There’s no indication that President Donald Trump’s summit with China’s Xi Jinping achieved any breakthrough on North Korea. But why didn’t it? After all, Trump said that China could “fix” the North Korea problem “easily and quickly” and it was just a matter of Xi’s […]


Visualizing How Billionaire Investors Hedge Against Geopolitical Black Swans

Investors must always be comfortable with the idea that the market bears risk. Sometimes this risk flies under the radar and isn’t as pronounced as it probably should be. However, as Visual Capitalists's Jeff Desjardins notes, in other cases, the topic of risk can catapult to the forefront of discussion. There can be specific events […]


Trump Will Own The Next Fed But “All Their Models Are In Ruins”

Authored by James Rickards via The Daily Reckoning, President Trump is expected to nominate the next Federal Reserve chair within a matter of days. As I’ve explained before, Donald Trump has the opportunity to appoint a higher percentage of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve system at one time than any president since […]


Rickards Warns “Prepare For A Chinese Maxi-Devaluation”

Authored by James Rickards via The Daily Reckoning, China is a relatively open economy; therefore it is subject to the impossible trinity. China has also been attempting to do the impossible in recent years with predictable results. Beginning in 2008 China pegged its exchange rate to the U.S. dollar. China also had an open capital […]


Mad, Mad, Mad, MAD World: News in Charts

Global Outlook – Mad, Mad, Mad, MAD World: News in Charts Alarm bells are ringing for economic fundamentalists such as Fathom Consulting. Asset prices look increasingly out of step with fundamentals, and in some cases they look downright bubbly. And other geopolitical developments are similarly alarming. One might even describe them as… Mad: Equity prices […]


UK Slams Tariffs On Bombardier: “This Is Not What We Expect From A Long-Term Partner”

It appears the Commerce Department's preliminary ruling, issued late last night, to slap a 220% tariff on Canadian aircraft manufacturer Bombardier could trigger an all-out trade war between the UK and Canada (on one side) and the US (on the other) as public officials in the UK and Canada blasted the ruling and threatened retaliation […]


Trade War Escalates After US Slaps Canada’s Bombardier Jet With 220% Tariff

The fourth round of Nafta talks began in Ottawa over the weekend, and as US Trade Rep Robert Lighthizer and his Mexican and Canadian counterparts scramble to produce a deal by the end of the year – a self-imposed, “soft” deadline – Boeing inflamed trade tensions by winning a decision to slap a massive tariff […]


Janet Yellen’s 78-Month Plan For The National Monetary Policy Of The United States

Authored by Economic Prism's MN Gordon via Acting-Man.com, Past the Point of No Return Adventures in depravity are nearly always confronted with the unpleasant reality that stopping the degeneracy is much more difficult than starting it.  This realization, and the unsettling feeling that comes with it, usually surfaces just after passing the point of no […]