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Traders On Hold As “Super Thursday” Looms

Yesterday’s brief late night dip in ES has been promptly bought with US equity futures fractionally lower, Asian shares inching higher on Thursday and Europe unchanged ahead of today’s Super Thursday, where we get the Republican tax bill revealed shortly before noon, the BoE’s rate hike announcement, and Trump appointing Jay Powell as the next […]


World Stocks Soar To New Record Highs As Oil, Metals Surge Ahead Of The Fed

US equity futures have hit a new records, helped by surging Asian and European stocks which have all started November on a euphoric note. Surging commodity prices, optimism about tax reform and hope for a new dovish Fed chair all combined to drive global stock markets to record highs on Wednesday, with the MSCI’s world […]


S&P Futures Slide After Chinese Stock And Bond Rout; Spain Rebounds, Dollar Drops

U.S. futures slid 0.2% as investors await a barrage of announcements including Wednesday’s Fed decision, Friday’s jobs report and, most importantly Trump’s imminent announcement of who the next Fed chairman will be, although after the latest trial balloons, Jay Powell is now largely priced in. Asian equities edged modestly higher despite a tumble in Chinese […]


S&P Spikes Into The Close After Politico Reports Again Powell Is Leading Fed Candidate

One week after Politico reported for the second time that Trump, and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin, were leaning toward Fed governor Jerome “Jay” Powell for Fed Chair, Politico’s Ben White and Josh Dawsey decided to triple down, and with minutes left until the close, Politico reported – for the third time in three weeks – […]


One of the Two Most Powerful Fed Officials Just Issued an Inflation Decree

The Fed is no longer even trying to hide the fact that it WANTS inflation. In the last month, the Fed has attempted to feign ignorance about the true nature of inflation. Fed Chair Janet Yellen even went so far as to claim the Fed doesn’t “fully understand” inflation during a Q&A session in September. […]


Fed To Trump: It’s Our Stock Market Bubble, Not Yours

President Trump continues to exuberantly promote the "unprecedented" stock market rally since his election… It would be really nice if the Fake News Media would report the virtually unprecedented Stock Market growth since the election.Need tax cuts — Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) October 11, 2017 But just how 'unprecedented' is it? The answer is not […]


Did the Fed’s #2 Quit to Avoid Blame for the Coming Inflationary Storm?

Inflation is coming. Vice-Fed Chair Stanley Fischer recently resigned unexpectedly from the Federal Reserve. Many were left wondering why Fischer would give up his role as the Fed’s second in command, arguably the second most powerful Central Banking position in the world. Wonder no more: The current soft patch of inflation will not last, the […]


Watch Live: Janet Yellen Addresses Community Bankers In St.Louis

Update: Yellen didn’t discuss her outlook for interest rates or the economy in her prepared remarks. Bloomberg reports that Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen said the U.S. central bank has been working to ensure that regulations are tailored to the size, complexity and roles of the lenders it oversees. “For community banks, which by and large avoided […]


Dollar Surges, Bonds Dump Ahead Of Trump Tax Plan

S&P futures are set for a higher open (+ 0.1%) despite the expected hit to the Dow from Nike which is down over 3% on unexpectedly poor revenue growth, as European stocks gain while Asian shares dropped. Like yesterday when the big story was the jump in the USD ahead of Yellen's (rather hawkish) speech, […]


Watch Live: Yellen Explains “The Mystery Of Inflation’s Shortfall This Year”

On the heels of Bostic ("we didn't blow any bubbles") Brainard ("some barriers to growth are structural") this morning and Kashkari ("no inflation"), Evans ("need more data"), and Dudley ("inflation's coming soon") yesterday; it is Fed Chair Janet Yellen's turn to speak this afternoon on "Inflation, Uncertainty and Monetary Policy" as the dollar extends its […]


Watch Live: Hawkish Yellen Says Fed May Have Misjudged Inflation, Labor Market

Update: In her prepared remarks, Yellen crucially said, “A more important issue from a policy standpoint is that some key assumptions underlying the baseline outlook could be wrong in ways that imply that inflation will remain low for longer than currently projected.” As Bloomberg explains, she is stating a bit more clearly than before that […]


Euro Tumbles Ahead Of Yellen, Macron Speeches As Stocks Shake Off Korean Crisis

S&P futures are flat after Monday’s drop in the S&P 500 where a rout in Apple weighed on tech companies and tensions with North Korea persist; Asian stocks are modestly lower while Europe has shaken off the Korean crisis and is in the green on the back of a sharp drop in the EURUSD which […]


Janet Yellen Had Breakfast With Ivanka Trump On July 17, Fed Schedule Reveals

Fed Chair Janet Yellen had a breakfast meeting with Donald Trump’s daughter, Ivanka, on Monday, July 17 from 8am to 9am, at the U.S. central bank, according to Fed public schedules, posted earlier this month on the Fed website. Bloomberg first reported the encounter. Eight days after the one-hour meeting in a private dining room […]


Crashing Dollar Sends European Stocks, US Futures Reeling; Yuan Has Best Week On Record

European stocks dropped, Asian and EM market rose, and S&P were lower by 0.3% as investors assessed the latest overnight carnage in the USD which plunged to the lowest level since the start of 2015, sending the USDJPY tumbling to 107, the euro extending gains to just shy of $1.21 and a slowdown in China’s […]


Global Stocks Slide As Geopolitical Headwinds, Hurricanes Grow

Global risk sentiment remained gloomy coming into Wednesday, with global European and Asian stocks sliding on growing concerns about North Korea and political inaction in the US, another hurricane bearing down on the US and the American debt ceiling looming. Industrial metals dropped as the latest Chinese commodity bubble appears to have peaked. Shortly before […]