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Proposed Legislation: Fannie And Freddie Are Here To Stay – There Is No Alternative

Since the US government nationalized the two GSEs in 2008 in a $187 billion bailout of the mortgage giants, there have been consistent calls for them to be wound down and for the private sector to fill the void. As we discussed, this view is, or was, shared by new Fed Chairman, Jay Powell. Mr. […]


Moody’s Warns U.S. Office Real Estate At “Cyclical Tipping Point” That Will Devastate CMBS Market

We’ve frequently written about the growing supply problem in the major commercial real estate markets across the country (for example: NYC Commercial Real Estate Sales Plunge Over 50% As Owners Lever Up In The Absence Of Buyers).  Now it seems that Moody’s is also growing somewhat concerned that growing supply, combined with waning demand and […]


Can A 16 Year Old Math Genius And Semi-Naked Women Sell The First Ever ICO Tranche

As a product, we may have just encountered the most brilliant Initial Coin Offering ever. As a marketing ploy meant to reach the broadest number of financially astute investors who are just dying to see a quadruple-digit IRR on their prudent investment, this is certainly the pinnacle of genius. We are still in awe of […]


Signs Of The Top? Chinese Demand For 10x Levered Structured Products Surges In US… Again

In the run up to the ‘great recession’ of 2008/2009, it was unsuspecting European and Asian buyers that supplied the marginal capital required to turn America’s plain vanilla, fed-induced housing bubble into a turbo-charged, global financial time bomb by indiscriminately scooping up highly-levered structured mortgage products with absolutely no idea what was behind those products. […]


So Why Did Capital One “Suddenly” Exit Mortgage Lending??

Last week, Capital One Financial (COF) announced that is was formally withdrawing from the residential mortgage loan market.  Some observers mistook this announcement for news, thinking that COF had actually been engaged in residential lending in a serious way.  Housing Wire, for example, reported that COF had “suddenly” exited the mortgage and home equity business. […]


“They’re Ba-ack!” – Citi Says Synthetic CDOs May Reach $100 Billion In 2017, 5x Increase In 2 Years

35-year-old Jia Chen of Citibank probably has no idea where that title quote above came from.  That’s because she was roughly 4 years old when Poltergeist II hit theaters back in 1986… …that said, Citibank, as we noted a few weeks back, has every confidence that Jia is the perfect person to put in charge […]


How Much Is Equity Research Actually Worth? Probably Less Than You Thought

Over the past several months, investment banks all across Europe have scrambled to put a price tag on their equity research after years of giving it way as a ‘freebie’ in return for trading commissions. Of course, for wall street’s titans of finance, you know, the same guys who will look you straight in the […]


CLOs – “Safe” CDOs – Are Booming Again

Last week we explained how junk bond managers were buying increasing amounts of equities to “juice” their portfolios and propel their funds higher in the performance rankings. While this struck us as a relatively recent development, the tried-and-trusted method of trading more risk for more yield is going gangbusters in the CLO (Collateralized Loan Obligations) […]


Surging Windstream Spreads Remind Wall Street Why Synthetic CDO’s Are A Bad Idea

Just a couple of weeks ago, we wrote a post about Citibank and the 35 year old they recently put in charge of once again making the bank into a powerhouse in the Synthetic CDO market.  Less than a decade after being forced to take a taxpayer funded bailout to avoid an embarrassing bankruptcy filing, […]


Goldman Is Allowing Its Clients To Bet On The Next Financial Crisis

Just over a decade ago, as the S&P was hitting all time highs and there was a line around the block of 30-some year old hedge fund managers, desperate to put other people’s money in various ultra risky investments just so they could pick a few excess bps of yield over Treasurys – a situation […]


“This Is The Craziest Mortgage Scheme I’ve Ever Seen”

Authored by Simon Black via SovereignMan.com, The Great Financial Crisis happened because Wall Street was financing homes for people who couldn’t afford them. Leading up to the GFC, there was a voracious appetite from investors for “AAA”-rated mortgage debt. So lenders would make lots of loans to subprime borrowers and sell them to Wall Street. […]


3 Uncommon Signs That An Economic Collapse Could Happen Soon

Originally published The Birch Gold Group, via Alt-Market.com, As stocks continue to climb and the U.S. economy sustains its third longest period of expansion in history, market forecasters are seeking clues for when our next crisis may strike. So far, three uncommon signals have them worried. Here’s an explanation of the three uncommon signs causing […]


Chris Whalen On The CDO-Redux & Inevitable “Catastrophic Systemic Risk Event”

Authored by Chris Whalen via The Institutional Risk Analyst, “The great wheel of circulation is altogether different from the goods which are circulated by means of it. The revenue of the society consists altogether in those goods, and not in the wheel which circulates them”   Adam Smith, 1811 This week in The Institutional Risk […]


S&P Wants You To Know They “Stress Tested” Subprime Auto ABS Structures And They’re “Very Stable”

The same firm that ‘assured’ us all back in 2006 that RMBS, CDOs, synthetic CDOs and CDO-squared structures were all very safe products and well deserving of their AAA ratings would now like for you to know that they’ve “stress tested” subprime auto ABS facilities and found that they’re “very stable.”  According to the Auto […]


Citi’s Bringing Back The Synthetic CDO…But In A Way That “Insulates It From Any Losses”

Less than a decade after being forced to take a taxpayer funded bailout to avoid an embarrassing bankruptcy filing, Citibank, proving that they learned precisely nothing from the so-called ‘great recession,’ has put a 35 year old in charge of once again making the bank into a powerhouse in the Synthetic CDO market.  But please […]