Industrial War Machine Complex – Buy Bitcoin Defeat Corrupt Governments Everywhere!!


Archives by tag

Bubble Watch: The Fed KNOWS We’re in a 1999-Type Mania…

The Fed raised rates another 0.25% the week before last. This marks the 5th rate hike since the Fed embarked on its policy tightening in December 2015 and the fourth rate hike in the last 12 months. The Fed’s latest statement also indicates it plans on raising rates three more times in 2018. It is […]

TINA’s Dead – US Equities Are No Longer ‘Cheap’ To Bonds

For almost 7 years, asset-gatherers and commission-takers have exclaimed "There Is No Alternative" to stocks, given how low interest rates are. However, given the recent buying-panic in stocks, TINA is now dead BAB is back (Bonds Are Better)… In a sign the U.S. equity rally may be looking stretched, Bloomberg notes that the forward dividend yield […]

Dear Janet Yellen: Here Is Your Own Watchdog Warning About Financial Stability Risks In “Red And Orange”

In the most interesting exchange during Janet Yellen’s final news conference, CNBC’s seemingly flustered Steve Liesman asked Janet Yelen a question which in other times would have led to his loss of FOMC access privileges: “Every day it seems the stock market goes up triple digits on the Dow Jones: is it now, or will […]

The Seven Questions Goldman’s Clients Have About “Rational Exuberance”

In mid-November, just days after Barclays released its 2018 equity outlook with the title “Rational Exuberance”… … Goldman’s David Kostin decided that imitation was the sincerest form of unveiling a non-contrarian year-end forecast, and in presenting his revised S&P price target for 2018 of 2,850 – which accounts for GOP tax reform – “borrowed” the […]

The Mean-Reverting History Of Profit Growth

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, As the markets push once again into record territory the question of valuations becomes ever more important.  While valuations are a poor timing tool in the short term for investors, in the long run, valuation levels have everything to do with future returns. Yesterday, Doug Kass penned an interesting […]

Goldman Bets On “Rational Exuberance”: Unveils Its S&P Price Targets, Sees Bull Market Lasting Until 2020

Just days after Barclays released its 2018 equity outlook with the title “Rational Exuberance”… … Goldman’s David Kostin decided that imitation is the sincerest form of flattery and in presenting his S&P price target* for 2018 (and 2019 and 2020), and has named his preview report the same: We footnoted price target, because once again […]

Something Wicked Part 2 – The Roach Motel

Authored by 720Global's Michael Lebowitz via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, In Something Wicked This Way Comes, we provided an in-depth look at how stock repurchases are distorting McDonald’s (MCD) earnings per share and making the company look more profitable than it truly is. When such financial wizardry is considered alongside the growing popularity of passive investment strategies and […]

FANG Stocks Suffer Longest Losing Streak Since Election As Earnings Hopes Slide

The so-called FANG group of stocks (FB, AMZN, NFLX, GOOGL) fell for the fifth day yesterday – the longest losing streak since right after the election.   Worst 5-day drop in almost 4 months, sliding back to 3-week lows…   NFLX is the biggest loser in the last 5 days (down 5%) and while TSLA […]

After 16 Months Without a 5% Market Pullback, Goldman’s Clients Want To Know Just One Thing

It’s confusing to be a Goldman clients these days. One month after the investment bank reported that its Bear Market Risk indicator had jumped to 67%, a level it hit most recently before the dot com bubble crash and just before the global financial crisis and prompted Goldman to ask “should we be worried now”… […]

Morgan Stanley Sees “Greater Risk For A Correction Than We’ve Seen In A While”…But There’s A Catch

As U.S. equity markets casually melt up to all new highs with each passing day, Morgan Stanley Equity Strategist Michael Wilson, whose 2,550 year-end price target from back in August was just breached in a matter of months, says he’s getting somewhat concerned given Fed tightening, tax cut legislation that looks increasingly unlikely to pass, […]

Yellen Doubles Down: “Valuations Are At High Levels Historically”

On the heels of San Franciso Fed Governor John Williams' warning  that The Fed "doesn't want there to be excesses in financial markets… " Janet Yellen has reiterated her concerns that markets are a bit toppy… Market valuations “are at high level in historical terms” when assessed on metrics akin to price-earnings ratios, warned Fed […]

Bogle, Buffett, Shiller & Tobin – Valuations Are Expensive

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, During my morning reading, I ran across a couple of very interesting articles that tied a common theme relating to the current risks in the financial markets. Via Zerohedge: 88-year-old investing icon John “Jack” Bogle, founder of the Vanguard Group, said: “The valuations of stocks are, by my standards, […]

Jack Bogle Slams Wall Street’s “Unrealistic” Earnings Guesses, Says Market Valuations “Rather High”

88-year-old investing icon John "Jack" Bogle, founder of the Vanguard Group, says that the market seems to be "fully valued," and suggests investors adjust their asset allocation. In an interview with The Street, Bogle said: "The valuations of stocks are, by my standards, rather high," adding that "my standards, however, are high." When considering stock […]

This Time Isn’t Different & The Lack Of Value

Authored by Vitality Katsenelson via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, We are having a hard time finding high-quality companies at attractive valuations. For us, this is not an academic frustration. We are constantly looking for new stocks by running stock screens, endlessly reading (blogs, research, magazines, newspapers), looking at holdings of investors we respect, talking to our large network […]

The One Question Goldman’s Clients Are Asking This Week: “Where To From Here?”

Two weeks ago, Goldman’s clients were so worried about an imminent crash, the investment bank’s chief equity strategist, David Kostin enumerated no less than 7 reasons why, as Goldman itself admitted, “the question every client asks: Is an equity correction imminent?” As a reminder, the reasons – summarized – were the following: History. Many investors […]