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Moody’s To State & Local Governments – Prepare For Climate Change Or Lose Access To Cheap Credit

The 2017 Atlantic hurricane season, which officially began on June 1 and ends today, featured the highest number of major hurricanes since the 2005 season and was only the second time that two Category 5 hurricanes made landfall. However, it was by far the costliest hurricane season on record, with a preliminary total of $368.7 […]


Small Cap Stocks: Time To Get Your Rally Caps On?

Small cap stocks tend to offer a bit more risk and reward. That equates to higher beta, which in turn tends to mean stronger returns when the broader market is healthy and weaker returns when the broader market is in the doldrums. So where are we now?  Likely at an important juncture. Small cap stocks […]


Moody’s Boosts Modi: India Gets First Sovereign Credit Upgrade Since 2004

Moody’s upgrade to India’s credit rating comes as a much-needed boost for India’s Prime Minister, Narendra Modi, who has been criticised for the fallout from the goods and services tax (GST) and demonetisation reforms. Indeed, Moody’s argued that Modi’s reforms will help to stabilize India’s rising debt levels. According to Reuters. Moody's Investors Service upgraded […]


10 Reasons To Worry

Via LPLResearch.com, One of the oldest market sayings is: “markets climb a wall of worry” – needless to say, it is sometimes good to be cautious. We listed some of our worries recently in What Might Scare Markets, but the action in the S&P 500 Index over the past year—and so far in November—has that […]


S&P Downgrades Venezuela To “Selective Default” After Bondholder Meeting Devolves Into Total Chaos

Creditors had little expectations from today’s ad hoc meeting with “soon-to-default” Venezuela, and with good reason: not only was the meeting attended by several sanctioned Venezuelan officials, potentially jeopardizing the legal status of any bondholders who voluntarily appeared at the Caracas meeting meant to “restructure and refinance” Venezuela’s massive debt load, but it was nothing […]


Hindenburg Omen Sighted As Stocks Suffer First Weekly Loss In 2 Months

Credit markets to stocks this week…   Before we start – let's celebrate. As @BespokeInvest notes, we're making history today: first 12 month period in the history of the S&P 500 without a 3% drawdown. The VIX is also the lowest on record using a rolling 12 month average.   All major indices ended the […]


A 52-“Weak” High For Stocks?

Via Dana Lyons' Tumblr, While the S&P 500 his on an impressive string of new highs, a number of them have come on questionable breadth. When it comes to analyzing the quality of a stock market rally, we are big on breadth, or the internals, of the market. The more participation there is on the […]


“Black Swan” Anxiety Has Never Been Higher

The Fed's Williams warns that they "don't want there to be excesses in financial markets… " Two quick things… The market has almost never been this expensive… As Peter Boockvar warns: "Almost there. S&P 500 price to sales ratio is just 4% from March 2000 peak." And investors have never been more concerned about 'black […]


Investors “Most Euphoric” In 23 Years Despite Korea, Crap Data, Crude Crash, & Coming Storms

The market…   Trannies ended the week lower (first down-week in 7 weeks), Dow outperformed on the week (4th week up in a row)… The S&P record-high streak is over…   Nasdaq managed to close in the green and a new record high today…   Investors have not been this 'euphoric' of the S&P 500 […]


Bond Market Bulls Embrace China Debt Downgrade

It appears credit ratings agencies simply get no respect… Four months after Moody's downgraded China to A1 from Aa3, unwittingly launching a startling surge in the Yuan as Beijing set forth to "prove" just how "stable" China truly is through its nationalized capital markets, S&P followed suit this week when the rating agency also downgraded […]


Pound Flash Crashes After Moody’s Downgrades UK To Aa2

In an otherwise boring day, when Theresa May failed to cause any major ripples with her much anticipated Brexit speech, moments ago it was Moody’s turn to stop out countless cable longs, when shortly after the US close, it downgraded the UK from Aa1 to Aa2, outlook stable, causing yet another flash crash in the […]


Quad Witch ‘Pins’ S&P At Exactly 2500 Despite Dismal Data, Nukes, & Terrorism

So to be clear, this week we had: Hurricane Irma crushes Florida North Korea test fires ICBMs across Japan (again) Economic data misses across the globe (China and US most notably) Terrorism in UK and France And the result – drum roll please – new record highs for The Dow, The S&P, and The Nasdaq… […]


This Is How Trump Is Going To Be Blamed For The Next Financial Crash

Authored by Mac Slavo via SHTFplan.com, On Wednesday there were a lot of Trump fans who were celebrating the latest progress in the stock market. For the first time in over 100 years, the DOW gained 4,000 points over the course of 200 working days. That’s 4,000 points since Trump was elected, so it’s easy […]


“The Best Of Times” – Stocks Surge To 2nd Longest Dip-less Streak In History

The S&P 500 has not seen a drawdown of more than 3% since the election last November. As PensionPartners' Charlie Bilello notes, this is the second longest run in history… The Dow has hit 31 all-time highs in 2017 and has done so with no more than a 3% pullback.   Additionally, Bilello notes this […]


US Stock Buybacks In Biggest Slide Since The Financial Crisis

In light of today’s euphoric market reaction, which has seen the VIX plunge by over 3 vols, or 20% lower, to just over 12 and sent both the Nasdaq and S&P higher by 1% on relief that there were no mushroom clouds of the weekend, the jury is out whether last week’s sharp risk off, […]