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This Time Is Different – Part II: What Bitcoin Really Is

Authored by Mark Jeftovic via Medium.com, To me and many others, bitcoin is not a technical revolution as much as it is a triumph of political and economic incentives. -Two Bit Idiot   “Systems like Ethereum (and Bitcoin and NXT, and Bitshares, etc) are a fundamentally new class of cryptoeconomic organisms?—?decentralized, jurisdictionless entities that exist […]


We Give Up! Government Spending And Deficits Soar Pretty Much Everywhere

Authored by John Rubino via DollarCollapse.com, A recurring pattern of the past few decades involves governments promising to limit their borrowing, only to discover that hardly anyone cares. So target dates slip, bonds are issued, and the debts keep rising. This time around the timing is especially notable, since eight years of global growth ought […]


This Time Is Different – Part I: What Bitcoin Isn’t

Authored by Mark Jeftovic via Medium.com, “[Bitcoin] won’t end well, it’s a fraud…worse than tulip bulbs…[but] if you were a drug dealer, a murderer, stuff like that, you are better off doing it in bitcoin than U.S. dollars,” — Jamie Dimon: CEO, JP Morgan   Headline: JPMorgan Guilty of Money Laundering, Tried To Hide Swiss […]


Best Beige Book Anecdotes: “It’s No Longer Possible To Build A Starter Home For Under $200K In Cleveland,” And More

While many, and certainly the FOMC, tends to gloss over the periodic Beige Book report, it does provide a snapshot of the US economy, if not in quantiative terms, then in qualitative anecdotes, some of which can be rather amusing at times. First, here are the big picture economic assessments of the Nov. 29 Beige […]


As Bitcoin Nears $10,000 “Central Banks Kept Up At Night”

The price of the largest cryptocurrency soared 16% over the weekend, bursting through $8,000 and $9,000 at a record pace and nearing the Maginot Line so many predicted at $10,000. image courtesy of CoinTelegraph $0000 – $1000: 1789 days$1000- $2000: 1271 days$2000- $3000: 23 days$3000- $4000: 62 days$4000- $5000: 61 days$5000- $6000: 8 days$6000- $7000: […]


Key Events In The Coming Week: Taxes, Inflation, Yellen, Draghi, Kuroda And Brexit

This week’s economic calendar features several key data releases and Fedspeak. The main data release in US include: CPI inflation, retail sales, industrial production, housing data and monthly budget statement. We also get the latest GDP and CPI reading across the Euro Area; the employment report in the UK and AU, Japan GDP, China IP, […]


Falling Productivity of Debt, Gold and Silver Report 15 Oct 2017

Last week, we discussed the ongoing fall of dividend, and especially earnings, yields. This Report is not a stock letter, and we make no stock market predictions. We talk about this phenomenon to make a different point. The discount rate has fallen to a very low level indeed. Discount in stocks is how you assess […]


Stocks Up and Yields Down, Gold and Silver Report 8 Oct 2017

Many gold bugs make an implicit assumption. Gold is good, therefore it will go up. This is tempting but wrong (ignoring that gold does not go anywhere, it’s the dollar that goes down). One error is in thinking that now you have discovered a truth, everyone else will see it quickly. And there is a […]


China’s Shadow-Lending Ecosystem Could Be As Large As $40 Trillion, PBOC Guesses

Authored by Deep Throat at Deep Throat Blog Today, I'd like to take some time to revisit a couple of related topics that we first started discussing a few years ago. I am, of course, referring to the burgeoning increases in China's Debt levels, Shadow Bank Assets (loans) and M2, along with a high-level analysis […]


Watch Live: Janet Yellen Addresses Community Bankers In St.Louis

Update: Yellen didn’t discuss her outlook for interest rates or the economy in her prepared remarks. Bloomberg reports that Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen said the U.S. central bank has been working to ensure that regulations are tailored to the size, complexity and roles of the lenders it oversees. “For community banks, which by and large avoided […]


Richter: “The Pricing Of Risk Is Kaput”

Authored by Wolf Richter via WolfStreet.com, US Treasury Yield v. Euro “Junk Bond” Yield. A new record in central-bank engineered absurdity.  US Treasury Securities with longer maturities fell this morning, with the 10-year Treasury yield rising above 2.37% early on and currently trading at 2.34%. This is still low by historical standards, and it’s still in […]


Key Events In The Coming Week: A Negative Payrolls Number And Non-stop Fed Speakers

While central banks step away from the spotlight, as does Asian data and markets with China and South Korea both taking a weeklong break, there will be a bevy of central bank speakers to “explain” what is going on while it will be a busy week data wise, with the US employment trade balance report […]


Stocks Hit New All Time High Just After Bullard Says “Valuations Are Stretched”

With the Fed finally admitting it is confused by the “mystery” of inflation, it has also become painfully clear how perplexed it is by the biggest asset bubble in history that the Fed and its central bank peers have blown. But don’t call it a humorless bubble. Case in point, on Wednesday afternoon, St. Louis […]


Full Jackson Hole Agenda Released

While virtually nobody expects anything market shattering, or even moving, to be released during either Janet Yellen’s or Mario Draghi’s speeches tomorrow (recall from our preview what UBS said: “Don’t expect news at Jackson Hole. Chair Yellen has told us what she wants to about normalization, for now. Financial stability matters, but it isn’t new” […]


Why Doesn’t This Household Debt Worry Anyone?!

With all the attention going to political tensions between the USA and North Korea and the interest rate policies and monetary policies established by the various central banks around the world, we would almost forget to keep track of how the ‘real’ economy is doing. And then we aren’t talking about GDP results or theoretical […]