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SocGen Thinks Emerging Markets Are Breaking Down: Here’s Why

With Goldman Sachs publishing at least one, and in most cases two or more weekly reports urging its clients to keep pouring capital into emerging market assets, whether equities, bonds or FX, it is no surprise that Emerging Markets remain the big winners in 2017, up 10% points more than developed this year. However, as […]


The “Exit” Problem

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, Last week, I discussed the issue of “bubbles” in the market. To wit: “Market bubbles have NOTHING to do with valuations or fundamentals.”   Hold on…don’t start screaming “heretic” and building gallows just yet. Let me explain.   Stock market bubbles are driven by speculation, greed, and emotional biases – therefore […]


US Futures Hit New All Time High Following Asian Shares Higher; European Stocks, Dollar Mixed

U.S. equity index futures pointed to early gains and fresh record highs, following Asian markets higher, as European shares were mixed and oil was little changed, although it is unclear if anyone noticed with bitcoin stealing the spotlight, after futures of the cryptocurrency began trading on Cboe Global Markets. In early trading, European stocks struggled […]


A Gift From The Oldies

By Chris at www.CapitalistExploits.at I bumped into a friendly bloke at my local gym last week. Jim is his name. Jim tells me he just started because, and I quote, “my doctor says I’m going to die unless I do something”. Now, I assure you it doesn’t take a doctor to figure this out. One glance in […]


No Risk Of Recession?

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, Review I have been traveling a lot the last couple of weeks, so a big “Thank You” goes to Michael Lebowitz for “pinch hitting” for me. This week, I just want to review a couple of things as we begin to wrap up 2017. Earlier this week, I wrote a […]


The Seven Questions Goldman’s Clients Have About “Rational Exuberance”

In mid-November, just days after Barclays released its 2018 equity outlook with the title “Rational Exuberance”… … Goldman’s David Kostin decided that imitation was the sincerest form of unveiling a non-contrarian year-end forecast, and in presenting his revised S&P price target for 2018 of 2,850 – which accounts for GOP tax reform – “borrowed” the […]


Six Ways US Stocks Are The Most Overvalued In History

Submitted by Mish Shedlock US large cap stocks are the most overvalued in history. Let's investigate six ways. Crescat Capital claims US large cap stocks are the most overvalued in history, higher than prior speculative mania market peaks in 1929 and 2000. Their 25-page presentation makes a compelling case, with numerous charts. It's worth your […]


Everyone In The (Stock Market) Pool?

Via Dana Lyons' Tumblr, The percentage of households’  financial assets currently invested in stocks has jumped to levels exceeded only by the 2000 bubble. Updating one of our favorite data series from the Federal Reserve’s latest Z.1 Release, we see that in the 3rd quarter, household and nonprofit’s stock holdings jumped to 36.3% of their […]


Bitcoin Collapse, Equity ‘Flash Crash’, & The Fed Loses Control: Saxo’s ‘Outrageous Predictions’ For 2018

Via Saxo Bank: We’ve delved deep again this year in penning our annual list of 10 Outrageous Predictions. As usual, we roam the world and ride roughshod over consensus in sniffing out these supposedly highly unlikely events with underappreciated potential – events that could have tremendous implications if they come to pass. Enjoy! 2017 was […]


Gold Hangs Above 2016 Low Despite BTC (Now in BitCon Futures), Brexit Deal,Tax Bill, and Fund Pukers

The only thing that truly trends is humans extrapolating their rates of return emotionally. Everything else will regress to the mean at some point.   Investors are being given a gift and do not see it. Every rally in stocks should be used to lighten exposure to a crash  and every corresponding dip in gold should be bought […]


The Spurious Math Of A Tax-Cut Rally

Authored by 720Global's Michael Lebowitz via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, The term “priced in” is a phrase used frequently by Wall Street and the financial media. This expression is used to describe how much the price of stock or a market has accounted for an anticipated event. For example, consider a pharmaceutical stock that has risen 50% over […]


Axel Merk’s 2018 Outlook: “What Can Possibly Go Wrong?”

Authored by Axel Merk via MerkInvestments.com, With the stock market and Bitcoin reaching all-time highs, what can possibly go wrong? In offering my thoughts on 2018, I see my role in reminding investors to stress test their portfolios. Is your portfolio built of straw, sticks or brick? First, let me allege many investors have portfolios […]


America’s Biggest Bitcoin Exchange Just Broke As Prices Tumbled $4,500 From Highs

Mike Novogratz is on the wires calling Bitcoin a "cultural revolution." GDAX just broke… Additionally, Bitfinex says it is under a significant denial of service attack. As Bitcoin tumbled $4,500 from its highs…   And now the giveback…Bitcoin is down $3000 from its $19,600 highs…but is still up 30% on the day   Bwuahahaha… $19k…on […]


Bitcoin’s Berserker Run Resumes After Exchange Breaks; Novogratz Says “Not Close To The End”

Mike Novogratz – self-described as the "Forrest Gump of Bitcoin" – is on the wires calling Bitcoin a "cultural revolution." "The world is in blockchain speculative phase… not close to the end of the speculative phase"   Novo added that Bitcoin futures will give rise to ETFs and even broader adoption and a "sell-off after […]


Bitcoin Bests $18,000 – Up Over $5000 Today!!

Update: $18,000, that is all! For those keeping track, this is how long it has taken the cryptocurrency to cross the key psychological levels: $0000 – $1000: 1789 days $1000- $2000: 1271 days $2000- $3000: 23 days $3000- $4000: 62 days $4000- $5000: 61 days $5000- $6000: 8 days $6000- $7000: 13 days $7000- $8000: […]