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Stockman Slams “Bubble Finance And The Era of No-See-Um Recessions”

Authored by David Stockman via Contra Corner blog, Today's single most dangerous Wall Street meme is that there is no risk of a stock market crash because there is no recession in sight. But that proposition is dead wrong because it's a relic of your grandfather's economy. That is, a reasonably functioning capitalist order in which the […]


The Rude Awakening Of Slumbering Bulls

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, Near the end of each year, Barron’s magazine highlights the outlooks for the next year from 10, or so, Wall Street strategists. As noted recently by Sentiment Trader: “Strategists are a little more optimistic than the Big Money was, forecasting a gain of around 7% for the S&P 500 […]


It’s Central Bank Bonanza Day: European Stocks Slide Ahead Of ECB; S&P Futs Hit Record High

One day after the Fed hiked rates by 25 bps as part of Janet Yellen’s final news conference, it is central bank bonanza day, with rate decisions coming from the rest of the world’s most important central banks, including the ECB, BOE, SNB, Norges Bank, HKMA, Turkey and others. And while US equity futures are […]


Gundlach Reveals His Favorite Trade For 2018

One day after Stanley Druckenmiller confessional to CNBC that as a result of central planning and markets that make no sense, the legendary hedge fund manager had a “terrible” year, and his “first down year in currencies ever” (he also said many not very nice things about bitcoin), it was Jeffrey Gundlach’s turn to confess […]


The Stock Market & The FOMC – An Astonishing Statistic

Authored by Pater Tenebrarum via Acting-Man.com, An Astonishing Statistic As the final FOMC announcement of the year approaches, we want to briefly return to the topic of how the meeting tends to affect the stock market from a statistical perspective. As long time readers may recall, the typical performance of the stock market in the […]


Uh-Oh Peak Alert: The Blank Check “SPACs” Boom Has Just Surpassed 2007

In 2017, stock issuance by SPACs has made a new post-crisis high, surpassing the last peak in 2007 which saw the equity market peak in October of that year prior to the crisis. Before we go any further, we’d better define a "SPAC" just in case you’re unfamiliar with the acronym, although they are also […]


Another Peak Alert: The Blank Check “SPACs” Boom Has Just Surpassed 2007

In 2017, stock issuance by SPACs has made a new post-crisis high, surpassing the last peak in 2007 which saw the equity market peak in October of that year prior to the crisis. Before we go any further, we’d better define a "SPAC" just in case you’re unfamiliar with the acronym, although they are also […]


Semiconductor Reversal Pattern May Spell Trouble For Bulls!

Since the 2009 stock market lows, investors have looked to the Semiconductor sector for strong returns and market leadership. Just check out the performance numbers vs the broader stock market: Semiconductor ETF (SMH) +494% vs  S&P 500 +262%. With numbers that double those of the S&P 500, it’s fair to say that the Semiconductors have provided important leadership for […]


Stocks Rebound From “Bama Shock”, All Eyes On Yellen’s Last Rate Hike

After an early slide last night following the stunning news that Doug Jones had defeated Republican Roy Moore in the Alabama special election, becoming the first Democratic senator from Alabama in a quarter century and reducing the GOP’s Senate majority to the absolute minimum 51-49, US equity futures have quickly rebounded and are once again […]


The 30-Years Bubble – Why America Ain’t That Rich

Authored by David Stockman via Contra Corner, The entire financial and economic narrative in today's Bubble Finance world is virtually context- and history-free; it's all about the short-term deltas and therefore exceedingly misleading and dangerous. So when a big trend or condition is negative and unsustainable, you generally can't even get a glimpse of it from the so-called "high-frequency" weekly, monthly and […]


Attention Derivatives Traders: Here Are “The Top 17 Themes To Remember From 2017”

Last week, as part of its must read 2018 Outlook piece, Bank of America’s derivatives team pointed out two particularly notable things: the first was BofA’s version of the (central-bank mediated) “feedback loop” diagram that keeps volatility record low and grinding even lower, as selling of vol has become a self-reinforcing dynamic, in which lower […]


BofA’s Derivatives Wizards Reveal “The Top 17 Themes To Remember From 2017”

Last week, as part of its must read 2018 Outlook piece, Bank of America’s derivatives team pointed out two particularly notable things: the first was BofA’s version of the (central-bank mediated) “feedback loop” diagram that keeps volatility record low and grinding even lower, as selling of vol has become a self-reinforcing dynamic, in which lower […]


Emerging markets bull trend could fail here!

  Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) has done very well over the past year, gaining over 30%. The gain is nearly 50% more than the S&P 500 during the same time period. Impressive gain and impressive relative strength compared to the S&P 500! An important bull market test looks to be at hand for EEM this […]


Futures Flat As FOMC Meeting Begins; Brent Jumps Over $65 For First Time Since 2015

E-mini futures are modestly in the green this morning, though net of fair value the S&P index is poised for another record high open as the FOMC begins its last meeting for 2017 in which it is expected to raise rates by 25bps. European stocks gain while Asian equities slide led by weakness in Chinese […]


Stocks Soar To Most-Overbought In 22 Years But Bitcoin Futures Debut Dominate

Bitcoin futures are here…   Small Caps and Trannies were today's biggest losers as Nasdaq led…   The S&P 500 has not been this overbought since 1995…   VIX briefly topped 10 after the NYC bomb explosion…but was clubbed into the close..   Utes ramped oddly in the afternoon but Energy stocks and Tech were […]