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The Stock Market & The FOMC – An Astonishing Statistic

Authored by Pater Tenebrarum via Acting-Man.com, An Astonishing Statistic As the final FOMC announcement of the year approaches, we want to briefly return to the topic of how the meeting tends to affect the stock market from a statistical perspective. As long time readers may recall, the typical performance of the stock market in the […]


Volatility Traders Suddenly Scared Of (Stock) Heights?

Via Dana Lyons' Tumblr, Despite the S&P 500's jump to new all-time highs, trading in the short-term volatility market is signaling elevated levels of fear. We mentioned yesterday that some strange developments were afoot in the stock market lately. Well, the strangeness continued through yesterday's market action. Today we look at unusual activity in the […]


What Wall Of Worry? US Equity Investors Are The Most Levered-Long Since Brexit

What wall of worry? The S&P 500 Index is heading for its longest streak of monthly gains since 2007, and, as Bloomberg reports, investors are betting there’s more to come. A sudden jump in trading of bullish options on SPY (the ETF tracking the S&P 500), means there has not been more 'investors' holding S&P 500 Calls […]


The Source Of The Next Crisis

Authored by Kevin Muir via The Macro Tourist blog, In 1992, the CBOE hired Robert Whaley to develop a tradeable volatility product on equity index option prices. A year later, in 1993, the VIX was born when the CBOE started publishing real-time quotes on the implied volatility of the calculated S&P 500 index options. In […]


10 Reasons To Worry

Via LPLResearch.com, One of the oldest market sayings is: “markets climb a wall of worry” – needless to say, it is sometimes good to be cautious. We listed some of our worries recently in What Might Scare Markets, but the action in the S&P 500 Index over the past year—and so far in November—has that […]


Goldman Discovers Something Odd: Stock Moves Are Increasing Even As Index Moves Are Decreasing

One wouldn’t know it by looking at the moves in equity indexes, but this earnings season has been unusually volatile for stocks, which however has yet to translate into bigger moves at the macro level. That is the bizarre observation made by Goldman’s derivatives strategist John Marshall (whose team grew by one when ex-Deutsche Banker […]


Summing Up 2017 In Two Record-Breaking Charts

Via LPLResearch.com, What can we say about 2017 that hasn’t been said already, as it continues to smash records? Per Ryan Detrick, Senior Market Strategist, “2017 will likely be remembered for two things: a persistent bullish trend and historically low volatility.” In fact, here are two more records that prove that point. The Nasdaq has […]


Tech Stocks Accounted For 75% Of The Market’s October Return

For some context on the unprecedented dominance of the tech sector on the overall market, here is some perspective from BofA’s Savita Subramanian on October returns, when Tech continued to lead the other ten sectors, generating +7.8% on a total return basis. This translates into a whopping 75% of the S&P 500’s return last month! […]


Here Is Another Thing “The Market Has Never Done Before”

In this historic, for global markets, year we are fast running out of things “the market has never done before.” For today’s entry we go to Deutsche Bank’s Jim Reid who looks at the S&P’s performance in the month of October, and writes that the broad index, which ended the supposedly most volatile month of […]


Just Five Tech Stocks Add Insane $200 Billion In Market Cap In One Day

The Nasdaq is dramatically outperforming the rest of the major US equity indices today…   In fact this this is the biggest Nasdaq outperformance of the S&P since May 2009… “We saw some weakness in the stocks of tech megacaps recently, not so much because of a concern about mediocre earnings but rather because a […]


Why The Next Stock Market Crash Will Be Faster And Bigger Than Ever Before

Authored by Simon Black via SovereignMan.com, US stock markets hit another all-time high on Friday. The S&P 500 is nearing 2,600 and the Dow is over 23,300. In fact, US stocks have only been more expensive two times since 1881. According to Yale economist Robert Shiller’s Cyclically Adjusted Price to Earnings (CAPE) ratio – which […]


Here It Comes: The Longest Streak Ever Without A 3% Correction In US History

Via LPLResearch.com, 2017 continues to break records, as the S&P 500 Index makes new highs amid historically low volatility: The index has now gone 33 consecutive sessions without a 0.5% daily decline, which is the longest streak since 1995. The index’s average daily change on an absolute basis so far this year has been only […]


A 52-“Weak” High For Stocks?

Via Dana Lyons' Tumblr, While the S&P 500 his on an impressive string of new highs, a number of them have come on questionable breadth. When it comes to analyzing the quality of a stock market rally, we are big on breadth, or the internals, of the market. The more participation there is on the […]


Dow Fails To Hold 23,000 As Yield Curve Carnage Continues

The Dow is now up 17% YTD – crushing bonds and bullion – NOTE everything changed when China’s central bank decided that it would remove a reserve requirement for financial institutions trading in FX forwards for clients by cutting it to zero from 20% currently..   But let's not spoil the party! Dow 23,000…   […]