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As Good As It Gets?

Authored by Sven Henrich via NorthmanTrader.com, So they got their tax cut done. In the middle of the night again no less, despite the vast majority of the American people not wanting it. The reason may simply be that the American public is not believing the false narratives that are being sold to them. And […]


In Unprecedented Intervention, Swiss Central Bank Bails Out Firm That Prints Swiss Banknotes

In the most ironic story of the day, the company that makes the paper that Swiss banknotes are printed on was just bailed out by the money-printing, stock-purchasing, plunge-protecting, savior-of-global equities…Swiss National Bank. While The SNB has a long and checkered history of buying shares in companies… as we have detailed numerous times, it is […]


Bank Of America: “This Is The First Sign That A Bubble Has Arrived”

Lately, fund flow data has all the credibility of a NYT presidential poll two days before the Trump defeats Hillary.  On one hand, you have Lipper reporting that investors pulled $16.2bn from U.S.-based equity funds in the past week, the largest withdrawals since December 2016. The same Lipper also reported that taxable-bond mutual funds and […]


Key Events In The Coming Week: Yellen’s Swan Song And Final Rate Hike; Draghi’s Silence, US Inflation

After last week’s payrolls report, the year is starting to wind down for economic events and capital markets, but not before one last hurrah for central banks: indeed, it is a very busy week dominated by central bank meetings for the FOMC, ECB, BOE, SNB and Norges Bank. We will also observe the controversial Alabama […]


FX Weekly Preview: Looking For A Rise In Vol As The Fed Finally Makes Their Move – So We Can All Move On

Submitted by Rajan Dhall MSTA and Shant Movsesian from fxdailyterminal.com In the absence of key economic data, we tend to see heightened levels of containment in the FX markets, where the heavy presence of system (algo) traders require constant direction in order to drive price action one way or the other.  We have also been […]


The End Is Near?

  The End Is Near? Written by Craig Hemke, Sprott Money News & TF Metals Report     For gold investors, the major thorn in our side continues to be the USDJPY so we need to discuss it again.   Over the past weekend at TFMR, we had a discussion about how so many well-intentioned […]


FX Weekly Preview: EUR Bursts Higher Again As Year-End Call For 1.2000 Return

Submitted by By Shant Movsesian and Rajan Dhall MSTA of FXdailyterminal.com At the very start of the year, we recall the chorus of projections for EUR/USD to fall below parity, warranted by the euphoria over the Trump administration’s plans for a tax overhaul alongside the reform plans for healthcare, and allied to the assumption that […]


Tech Stocks Accounted For 75% Of The Market’s October Return

For some context on the unprecedented dominance of the tech sector on the overall market, here is some perspective from BofA’s Savita Subramanian on October returns, when Tech continued to lead the other ten sectors, generating +7.8% on a total return basis. This translates into a whopping 75% of the S&P 500’s return last month! […]


The Deflating Rally

Authored by Sven Henrich via NorthmanTrader.com, Record prices continue to be printed on US indices as the global multiple expansion on the heels of still ongoing record central bank intervention has yet to slow down in a significant way. All central banks were in essence dovish in recent days and weeks, whether the FOMC, the […]


FX Weekly Preview: All Eyes On Yellen, Trump And The Yield Curve

Submitted by Shant Movsesian and Rajan Dhall MSTA from fxdaily.co.uk Looking to the week ahead, we have the FOMC meeting midweek, and for all the expectations that there will no change this time around, the market will be sensitive – to the downside – on any rhetoric in the statement which puts Dec in doubt.  […]


The $2 Trillion Hole: “In 2019, Central Bank Liquidity Finally Turns Negative”

In all the euphoria over yesterday’s “dovish taper” by the ECB, markets appear to have forgotten one thing: the great Central Bank liquidity tide, which generated over $2 trillion in central bank purchasing power in 2017 alone – and which as Bank of America said last month is the only reason why stocks are at […]


Mutual Fund Cash Hits All Time Lows

With the market now deep in what BofA has called a “Icarus Rally” melt-up phase, it is not surprising that retail investor cash levels are among the lowest ever as Joe Sixpack scrambles – as he always did just before the market crashes – to buy everything that institutions have to sell (and as we […]


VXX Short Squeezed As VIX Beta Hits -19, Highest Since September 2008

Whether it is because bond yields finally broke out of 6 month ranges, due to nerves ahead of tomorrow’s ECB tapering announcement, because the SNB is taking a long lunch break, or simply because investors finally realized that stocks have never been more expensive… … but something odd is taking place today: selling, and nowhere […]


Passive Should Never Laugh At Active

Authored by Kevin Muir via The Macro Tourist, I have been meaning to write this post for quite some time. As an ex-ETF trader, I have watched with bemusement as investors have both embraced and shuddered at the wide adoption of ETFs. But most pundits are missing the larger picture. ETFs are just a symptom […]


“There Were No Calls, That’s Absolutely Crazy”: How The Stock Market Died

Something unexpected happened on the market’s relentless trek to all time highs: the market died. At least that is the impression one gets from walking around Wall Street’s formerly busy trading desks (certainly the formerly biggest trading floor in the world, that of UBS, now hauntingly empty) where these days one can hear a pin […]