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How The Asset Bubble Could End – Part 2

Authored by Pater Tenebrarum via Acting-Man.com, Read Part 1 here… Contradictory Signals Special antennae that help traders catch upcoming opportunities. Available from the same outfit that sells the soup-cooling spoon (Acme Inc).   There is just one more positioning indicator we want to mention: after surging by around $126 billion since March of 2016, NYSE […]


Gold Hangs Above 2016 Low Despite BTC (Now in BitCon Futures), Brexit Deal,Tax Bill, and Fund Pukers

The only thing that truly trends is humans extrapolating their rates of return emotionally. Everything else will regress to the mean at some point.   Investors are being given a gift and do not see it. Every rally in stocks should be used to lighten exposure to a crash  and every corresponding dip in gold should be bought […]


UK Trader Fined 60,000 Pounds For Outsmarting Algos

Yet another UK trader is being punished by overzealous regulators for an accomplishment that should instead have earned him accolades: Outsmarting the machines. In a case that echoes some of the circumstances surrounding the scapegoating of former UK-based trader Nav Sarao, former Bank of America Merrill Lynch bond trader Paul Walter has been fined 60,000 […]


Stocks Sink As Tax-Cut Hopes Fade, Junk Bonds Hit 8-Month Lows

Sell the news? Stocks are slumping (following Japan’s overnight volatility) as traders await tax-cut legislation from the House Ways and Means Committee (and The Senate will also release its own version). High-Tax companies are underperforming…   And Junk bonds just hit the lowest since March…   Whether this selling due to disappointment in what is […]


“Investors Can’t Stop Buying Every Dip”: The WSJ Explains Why Markets Soar To New Highs Every Day

International equity markets seem to effortlessly surge to brand new record highs with each passing day.  As we note fairly frequently, declines have grown shallower over the past two years and the S&P 500 has now gone 246 trading days without trading more than 3% below its record high, the longest streak ever for the […]


Machine Learning’s “Overhyped” Potential Is Headed Toward The “Trough Of Disillusionment”

Bloomberg’s series on automation on Wall Street has certainly given the hundreds of thousands of highly educated individuals employed in the US financial services industry a lot to think about, like, for example, ‘will my job be here in ten years when it’s time for my oldest to head to college?’” However, Bloomberg’s latest installment […]


No Vol And No Volume – Even The WSJ Questions Equity Melt-Up

It’s encouraging to see that one mainstream media outlet questioning the recent market melt-up which wasn’t just notable for the lack of volatility, but also a severe lack of volume. The new normal seems to be “No vol and no volume”, although we saw a bit of a regime shift today, before the normal reversal. […]


These Are The Wall Street Jobs Most Threatened By Robots

Cashiers at fast food restaurants aren’t the only workers who should fear being imminently replaced by kiosks and artificial intelligence. Advances in machine-learning software could soon render many high-paying Wall Street jobs obsolete – jobs that will no doubt quickly disappear as electronic trading in equities and foreign exchange markets squeezes trading revenue, forcing banks […]


Can Stocks Avoid Unlucky (Year) Number 7?

Via Dana Lyons' Tumblr, The 4th quarter of years ending in “7″ have historically exhibited the stock market’s worst quarterly performance of the decadal cycle. Exactly 3 months ago, we published a post highlighting what we discovered to be serially poor historical performance in the stock market during the 2nd half of years ending in […]


Black Monday 2.0: The Next Machine-Driven Meltdown

Authord by Ben Levisohn via Barrons, In the rise of computer-driven trading, some hear echoes of the stock market’s 1987 crash. Beware the feedback loop… Black Monday. Although the event to which those two words refer occurred 30 years ago, they still carry the weight of that day—Oct. 19, 1987—when the Dow Jones Industrial Average […]


DARPA Asks HFT Traders How Hackers Will Crash The Market

Having been responsible for the biggest flash crashes in recent years, it is no surprise that when it comes to the market’s growing structural vulnerabilities, high frequency traders have emerged as the primary authority on how to crash the market in the blink of an eye. Which is perhaps why none other than the Pentagon […]


One Bored Trader Finds More Ways To Get Into Trouble

Authored by Kevin Muir via The Macro Tourist blog, Another day, and another steady grind higher in US stock markets. In all my years trading, I can’t recall a non-summer or non-holiday period that has been as boring as the past couple of weeks. I mean, B-O-R-I-N-G. The ironic part of this snoozefest? There has […]


Extremes Are Everywhere

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, This past weekend, I discussed what appears to be the markets ongoing melt-up toward its inevitable conclusion. Of course, that move is supported by the last of the “holdouts” that finally capitulate and take the plunge back into a market that “can seemingly never go down.” But therein lies the […]


The Biggest Stock Market Crashes Tend To Happen In October

Authored by SeasonalCharts.com's Dmitri Speck via Acting-Man.com, October is the Most Dangerous Month The prospect of steep market declines worries investors – and the month of October has a particularly bad reputation in this respect.   Bad juju month: Statistically, October is actually not the worst month on average – but it is home to […]


Chinks In The Armor (And How To Protect Your Portfolio From A Market Decline)

Authored by Bryce Coward via Knowledge Leaders Capital blog, Indicators of market breadth are often useful in confirming or telegraphing important trend changes in equity markets. In simple terms, indicators of market breadth measure the level of participation of individual stocks in the general trend of the market. At bear market lows, almost all stocks […]