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Six Ways US Stocks Are The Most Overvalued In History

Submitted by Mish Shedlock US large cap stocks are the most overvalued in history. Let's investigate six ways. Crescat Capital claims US large cap stocks are the most overvalued in history, higher than prior speculative mania market peaks in 1929 and 2000. Their 25-page presentation makes a compelling case, with numerous charts. It's worth your […]


Francesco Filia: The World’s Twin Asset Bubbles Could Collapse Under Their Own Weight

In this week's MacroVoices podcast, Erik Townsend interviews Francesco Filia, a fund manager at Fasanara Capital. After exchanging pleasantries, Townsend begins the interview by asking Filia, an analysts who's widely regarded for his research about how post-crisis monetary policy has impacted distorted markets, about the different metrics he uses to determine whether a certain asset […]


This Is What A Pre-Crash Market Looks Like

Authored by Michael Snyder via The Economic Collapse blog, The only other times in our history when stock prices have been this high relative to earnings, a horrifying stock market crash has always followed.  Will things be different for us this time?  We shall see, but without a doubt this is what a pre-crash market […]


Three Easy Pieces

Authored by 720Global's Michael Liebowitz via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, If someone told you that the President of the United States in 2028 would be a Democrat and a woman from the state of New York, could you guess who it might be? We highly doubt it. In 1998, ten years before being elected president, Barack Obama had […]


Peter Schiff Warns Of “Calm Before The Storm”

Authored by Peter Schiff via Euro Pacific Capital, In light of the 30-year anniversary of the Black Monday Crash in 1987 (when the Dow lost more than 20% in "one day", we should be reminded that investor anxiety usually increases when markets get to extremes. If stock prices fall steeply, people fret about money lost, and […]


Nobel Laureate Richard Thaler: “We Seem To Be Living In The Riskiest Market Of Our Lives”

Robert Shiller isn’t the only Nobel Laureate who’s worried the US stock market is sleepwalking toward disaster. In an interview with Bloomberg’s Jeanna Smialek, Thaler, who was awarded the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences on Monday for his pioneering work in establishing that humans are “predictably irrational”, said that the stock market’s complacency in […]


How To Survive And Thrive In A “Zlatan Ibrahimovic” Market

Authored by Daniel Nevins via FFWiley.com,   REPORTER: “Who will win the World Cup playoff?”   ZLATAN: “Only God knows who will go through.”   REPORTER: “It’s hard to ask him.”   ZLATAN: “You’re talking to him.”    REPORTER: “What did you get your wife for her birthday?”   ZLATAN: “Nothing. She already has Zlatan.”  […]


Stock Market Bubbles In Perspective (Or Why “This Won’t End Well”)

Authored by Howard Ma via Meritocracy Capital, Last week marked the 9th anniversary of the collapse of Lehman Brothers. It was one of the biggest milestones of the Global Financial Crisis (“GFC”) that began approximately a year earlier in 2007. Corporate earnings were abnormally weak during the GFC. I bring that up because a much […]


1987 Versus 2017: Will History Repeat Or Just Echo?

Authored by Sara Potter via FactSet, Last week, I detailed the various factors leading up to the stock market crash of October 19, 1987. As we approach the 30-year anniversary of Black Monday, are there signs that the bull market of 2017 could end in the same way? Let’s compare the financial, economic, and political […]


“Peak PEG” – The S&P Has Never, Ever Been This Expensive

Authored by Francesco Filia via Fasanara Capital, Measuring the Equity Bubble In this brief note we discuss how, on some reasonable metrics, the S&P may qualify as the most expensive in history. When compared to potential economic growth, multiples on the S&P500 exceed even those seen during the Tech Bubble in 2000. To value the S&P index, […]


Weekend Reading: Losing Faith?

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, Last week, I penned the following: “Now, you would suspect the possibility of nuclear war might just be the catalyst to send markets reeling, but looking at the market’s reaction on Thursday, I suspect there will be t-shirts soon reading:   ‘I survived the threat of nuclear war and […]