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Santa’s Stock Market Rally: Tears Of Joy, Or Just Tears?

Authored by Charles Hugh Smith via OfTwoMinds blog, Everyone who believes risk has disappeared has fallen for the con. Judging by this year's version of Santa Claus's reliable year-end stock market rally, risk has vanished, not just in stocks but in bonds, junk bonds, housing, commercial real estate, collectible art–just about the entire spectrum of […]


‘Risk’ May Be Low But Uncertainty Over “Unknown Unknowns” Just Hit Record Highs

While the fear-tracking VIX has been languishing near record lows this year, a gauge of so-called ambiguity, meant to chronicle the degree of uncertainty investors have in the probabilities they use to make decisions, has been at all-time highs in recent months, indicating that there’s more fear built into the stock market than common measures […]


These Are The 30 Biggest Risks Facing Markets In 2018

Once upon a time, Wall Street analysts had just two things to worry about: interest rate risk and corporate profits – virtually everything else was derived from these.  Unfortuantely, we now live in the new normal, where central banks step in every time there is even a whiff of an imminent market correction (as BofA […]


Citi Shows What Today’s Artificial Market Looks Like In One Chart

Two weeks ago, in his must-read 2018 credit outlook report (which we urge everyone to read) Citi’s credit strategist Hans Lorenzen made three striking observations. The first had to do with explicit central banker fears that they have now lost control of a market which, no matter what the Fed does or says, no longer […]


Great (Stock) Expectations

Via Dana Lyons' Tumblr, Consumers’ expectations for stock market gains have never been higher – or more assured. Since the August stock market low, bulls have had it pretty good. Rally participation has been excellent, as has price structure for the most part. Outside of a textbook successful test of The Most Important Level In […]


Citi’s Shocking Admission: “There Is A Growing Fear Among Central Bankers They’ve Lost Control”

Earlier we showed a variation on a VIX chart from Citi’s Hans Lorenzen which, if it doesn’t impress, or scare you, then nothing probably will. However, leaving readers unimpressed – and unscared – will not satisfy Lorenzen, which is why the credit strategist who works together with the godfather of rational doom, Matt King, and […]


The “Other” Side of Asymmetry You Never Hear About

By Chris at www.CapitalistExploits.at Everyone’s heard of “The Big Short”. We’ve Hollywood to thank for that, and thank them I will. After all, who didn’t love Margot Robbie explaining how it all worked? Even Mrs. Chris liked her. Of course, our heroes correctly bet against these mortgage backed securities smoking piles of isht and now they […]


Art Cashin Lays Out Risks in Current Market

Content originally published at iBankCoin.com We’re likely to trade rangebound until 3:30, at which point the market will either spring higher or fall to pieces. Art lays out three primary risks to this tape. 1. Political uncertainty 2. Credit market worries, highlighted by the fact that JNK is down 7 days in a row 3. […]


WTI Jumps Above $56 – Highest Since July 2015

Having legged higher at the opens of Asia, Europe, and US markets, WTI is extending gains overnight on middle-east tensions… Brent is trading above $62 amid anti-corruption drive led by Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, which may consolidate his control in OPEC’s largest oil producer, and WTI has pushed abocve $56 “We have political uncertainty, risk […]


WTI Spikes Over $57 For The First Time Since July 2015

Having legged higher at the opens of Asia, Europe, and US markets, WTI is extending gains overnight on middle-east tensions… Brent is trading above $62 amid anti-corruption drive led by Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, which may consolidate his control in OPEC’s largest oil producer, and WTI has pushed above $57 as producers such as Nigeria, […]


The “Fat Pitch” & Miss

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, While I remain long and invested in the markets on behalf of my clients, I focus and write about the significant risks that are currently present. I am fully aware a laissez-faire attitude towards these risks is ultimately likely to destroy large portions of my clients hard-earned, and irreplaceable, […]


How A Quant Hedge Fund Surpassed Renaissance And DE Shaw To Become A $50 Billion Behemoth

In a time when traditional long/short, macro and other fundamental-analysis based hedge funds are losing the war to ETFs and passive investing… … one group of funds is thriving, and none more so than quant powerhouse Two Sigma which according to the FT, has quietly grown assets under management mark over $50 billion “putting it […]


These Are The Top Geopolitical Risks According To The World’s Largest Asset Manager

Like many others, the world's largest money manager with $5.9 trillion in (ETF) investments, BlackRock, is not too worried about a market which no matter what, promptly rebounds from any and every selloff, and seems to close at all time highs day after day as if by magic. To be sure, BlackRock's employees are delighted: […]


What Goldbugs Have Been Waiting For: Goldman’s New Primer On Gold

The good news is that Goldman believes “precious metals remain a relevant asset class in modern portfolios, despite their lack of yield” and disagrees with Ben Bernanke and the naysayers “They are neither a historic accident or a relic. Indeed, by looking at each of the physical properties of an ideal long-term store of value…we […]


One Trader Warns: “Don’t Confuse Risk-Asset-Buying With Calm”

CNBC's Joe Kernen nonchalantly commented this morning that "Dow futures are indicated higher… Just like every other morning," and that just about sums up the current utopia as consumer and business surveys spike irrepressibly in line with a seemingly unstoppable meltup in US equity markets. However, as former fund manager Richard Breslow warns this morning, […]