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Global Stocks Rise To Record Highs As Tax Reform Is “Priced In” All Over Again

Yesterday we joked that with the US House of Representatives set to vote for the GOP tax bill on Tuesday, markets would “price in” the same tax legislation they have been pricing in every day for the past year, all over again… Get ready for US markets to price in tax reform all over again […]


The 10 “Grey Swans” Events For 2018

One of the traditional push backs against attempts to predict “black swan” events is that they are by default unpredictable, rendering the entire exercise moot. However, for the second year in a row, Nomura’s Bilal Hafeez has found a loophole, or rather loop-animal: the grey swan. As Hafeez writes, while he would like to be […]


FX Weekly Preview: Dollar Squeeze A Growing Concern, But Longer Term Bears Likely To Temper It

Submitted by Shant Movsesian and Rajan Dhall MSTA from fxdailyterminal.com Over the past week, the argument that the tax reform aimed at corporates specifically could prompt a period of USD repatriation – much like an amnesty – has been growing in sentiment, and whether one believes in this, remains an upside risk we shouldn’t ignore.  […]


Australian Central Bank – Bitcoin Is Bad But You’d Love A Digital “e-AUD”

Sweden’s Riksbank, the world’s oldest central bank, is exploring the possibility of a digital register-based e-krona; the Reserve Bank of New Zealand is researching whether its physical currency could be replaced by a digital alternative; the Bank of England is trialling blockchain-like systems; the Monetary Authority of Singapore is examining the use of distributed ledger […]


Bitcoin Futures Plunge – Erase Premium To Spot, As Crypto-Space Crumbles

While Ethereum remains solidly higher on the day, the entire crypto space just took a notable leg lower. The day's slide started around 9amET, when a burst of gold buying appears to have reset the correlation between XAU and BTC: Just a few hours later, Bitcoin is back below $16,000 Litecoin – yesterday's big winner […]


Stocks Rebound From “Bama Shock”, All Eyes On Yellen’s Last Rate Hike

After an early slide last night following the stunning news that Doug Jones had defeated Republican Roy Moore in the Alabama special election, becoming the first Democratic senator from Alabama in a quarter century and reducing the GOP’s Senate majority to the absolute minimum 51-49, US equity futures have quickly rebounded and are once again […]


FX Weekly Preview: Looking For A Rise In Vol As The Fed Finally Makes Their Move – So We Can All Move On

Submitted by Rajan Dhall MSTA and Shant Movsesian from fxdailyterminal.com In the absence of key economic data, we tend to see heightened levels of containment in the FX markets, where the heavy presence of system (algo) traders require constant direction in order to drive price action one way or the other.  We have also been […]


Tax Euphoria Fades As Tech Rout Spreads

One look at S&P futures this morning reveals an unchanged market, however it is again the violent sector rotation that is taking place behind the scenes that is the real story, with defensive sectors real estate, retail, food, utilities outperforming while investors continue to bail and book profits on tech stocks after sharp gains since […]


Key Events In The Coming Week: Jobs, Brexit, PMI, IP And More

The first full week of December is shaping up as rather busy, with such Tier 1 data in the US as the payrolls report, durable goods orders and trade balance. We also get UK PMI data and GDP, retail sales across the Euro Area, as well as central bank meetings including Australia RBA and BoC […]


FX Weekly Preview: Tax Cuts, Rising Debt, Fed Hikes And More “Fake” News; USD Vol Rising

Submitted by Shant Movsesian and Rajan Dhall MSTA fxdailyterminal.com After a week when little other than politics has been 'running' the currency and rates markets, we expect more of the same but with the (now) backdrop of tier one data in the US to look to towards the latter end of this week.  US payrolls […]


As Australia’s Housing Bubble Bursts, Optimism For The Year Ahead Crashes To Record Low

Zero Hedge readers might have noted our increasingly bearish tone on all things Australian – economic that is, since the cricket team just whipped the English in the first test match in Brisbane. The focal point of our concern is the housing market and, earlier this month, we discussed how the world’s longest-running bull market […]


FX Weekly Preview: EUR Bursts Higher Again As Year-End Call For 1.2000 Return

Submitted by By Shant Movsesian and Rajan Dhall MSTA of FXdailyterminal.com At the very start of the year, we recall the chorus of projections for EUR/USD to fall below parity, warranted by the euphoria over the Trump administration’s plans for a tax overhaul alongside the reform plans for healthcare, and allied to the assumption that […]


The Party’s Over For Australia’s $5.6 Trillion Housing Frenzy

Early this month, we discussed whether the world’s longest running bull market – 55 years – in Australian house prices had come to an end. This was UBS’s view following the October 2017 monthly report on Australian house prices from CoreLogic suggested that measures to tighten credit standards and dissuade overseas buyers (especially Chinese in […]


Bonds, Futures, Global Stocks All Rise, Boosted By “Germany’s Brexit Moment”; TSY Curve Collapse Continues

S&P 500 futures are higher, continuing on yesterday’s momentum, after European and Asian shares also rose alongside a rebound in oil, as the year-end performance chase appears to be accelerating. There were several different moving parts in a mixed European session, in which early Euro strength gave way to weakness… … which in turn pushed […]


What German Political Turmoil? Global Markets BTFD, Don’t Look Back

US index futures are unchanged, having recovered virtually all overnight session losses alongside the EURUSD following Merkel’s failure to form a government, while European shares rise despite Angela Merkel’s failure to form a new government. In the span of just hours, the goalseeked “hot take” consensus was that Germany’s collapsed coalition talks aren’t expected be […]