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What To Expect From The ECB

Submitted by RanSquawk ECB Monetary Policy Decision Due At 12:45 GMT, 13:45 CET, 07:45 EDT, On Thursday 14th December 2017, Press Conference Due At 13:30 GMT, 14:30 CET, 08:30 EDT Unanimous expectations look for the ECB to leave its three key rates unchanged.  As a reminder October’s announcement revealed that the Bank will be trimming […]


Frontrunning: December 7

Hamas calls for Palestinian uprising (Reuters) Arabs, Europe, U.N. reject Trump’s recognition of Jerusalem as Israeli capital (Reuters) Trump Jr. Refuses to Discuss Father-Son Talk With Investigators (WSJ) L.A. Fires Halt Filming, Menace Crops, Send Edison Plunging  (BBG) North Korea says U.S. threats make war unavoidable as China urges calm (Reuters) Goldman, BlackRock, and Blackstone: […]


“It’s All One Single, Giant $22 Trillion Position”: How Market Risk Became Systemic Risk

As excerpted from Fasanara Capital’s “Positive Feedback Loops and Financial Instability: the blind spot of policymakers.” The next time a Fed chair or macroprudential regulator argues that “there is no leverage in the market”, send them this. QE and NIRP have two predominant effects on markets: (i) relentless up-trend in stocks and bonds (the ‘Trend […]


Positive Feedback Loops, Financial Instability, & The Blind Spot Of Policymakers

Authored by Francesco Filia of Fasanara Capital, “Learn how to see. Realize that everything connects to everything else.” – Leonardo da Vinci A Dangerous Market Structure is More Worrying than Expensive Asset Valuations and Record Debt Levels Macro-prudential regulations follow financial crises, rarely do they precede one. Even when evidence is abundant of systemic risks […]


Frontrunning: November 16

Senate Panel Approves Tax Plan as GOP Leaders Gird for Fight (BBG) U.S. towns, cities fear taxpayer revolt if Republicans kill deduction (Reuters) After House Victory, Tax-Overhaul Fight Now Goes to Senate (WSJ) Analysts flee Wall Street with gallows humor as research changes loom (Reuters) Tesla Unveils ‘World’s Fastest Production Car’ and Electric Big Rig […]


Watch Live: President Trump Announces Jerome ‘Jay’ Powell As Fed Chair

Having been leaked to most major news organizations last night, President Trump is fully expected to announce that Fed governor Jerome "Jay" Powell is Janet Yellen's replacement as the next bank-friendly Fed chair. Live Feed (due to begin at 1500ET)… Jerome Powell will be the first former investment banker to become Fed Chair (and first […]


President Trump Announces Jerome ‘Jay’ Powell As Fed Chair

Having been leaked to most major news organizations last night, President Trump is fully expected to announce that Fed governor Jerome "Jay" Powell is Janet Yellen's replacement as the next bank-friendly Fed chair. Live Feed (due to begin at 1500ET)… Jerome Powell will be the first former investment banker to become Fed Chair (and first […]


Traders On Hold As “Super Thursday” Looms

Yesterday’s brief late night dip in ES has been promptly bought with US equity futures fractionally lower, Asian shares inching higher on Thursday and Europe unchanged ahead of today’s Super Thursday, where we get the Republican tax bill revealed shortly before noon, the BoE’s rate hike announcement, and Trump appointing Jay Powell as the next […]


Meet New Fed Chair Jerome Powell, In His Own Words

It’s official: according to most news sources, tomorrow Trump will announce that Fed governor Jerome “Jay” Powell is Janet Yellen’s replacement as the next bank-friendly Fed chair. Since Powell has served as Federal Reserve governor for the past five years, starting May 2012, he has had ample opportunities to express his views about the policies […]


Major Correction Coming in Financial Markets

By EconMatters We discuss Herbalife stock (HLF) as basically being the poster child for the Stock Market, Bitcoin Market and a reflection of how Central Banks are all twiddling their thumbs while Rome is burning, they just are about as clueless and irresponsible custodians of financial markets` prudential regulation as one can get. Expect a […]


Dow Futures Over 23,000: Dollar, Global Stocks Jump As China Congress Begins

World stocks stayed near peaks and currencies moved in tight ranges on Wednesday as China’s 19th Communist Party Congress opened while focus in Europe turned to speeches from top euro zone central bankers before next week’s key policy meeting, as well as Catalonia’s ultimatum due on Thursday. S&P futures are solidly in the green as […]


Meet The Next Fed Chair: The Definitive Cheat Sheet

With the race for the next Fed chair in its final stretch as Trump is now expected to make his decision over the next few weeks, and following recent reports from Bloomberg, Politico and the WSJ, the three frontrunners to replace Yellen, according to PredictIt, are Kevin Warsh, Jerome Powell, Gary Cohn and unexpectedly, Neel […]


Spanish Stocks, Bonds, Euro Sink After Catalan Referendum Fiasco; S&P Futures Rise

While S&P futures were modestly higher, rising 0.1% in a quiet session in which China, South Korea, India and Hong Kong were closed for holidays, the Euro, Spanish stocks and bonds were broadly lower as Spain faces its worst constitutional crisis in years following a dramatic, violent crackdown on Sunday’s Catalan independence referendum in which […]


What Housing Bubble? Most Australians Couldn’t Afford $100 Mortgage-Payment Hike

Authored by Mike Shedlock via MishTalk.com A new study shows 57% of Australia mortgage holders could not handle a $100 increase in their loan repayment. Stress has turned up in even the wealthiest cities. But who is truly wealthy? Paper profits on homes with enormous mortgages does not constitute wealth. Please consider $100 Tipping Point […]


A Matter Of “Trust”: A Look Inside China’s Crackdown Of Its $3 Trillion Shadow Banking Industry

As discussed here in mid-August, when China reported its latest credit data, for the first time in 9 months China’s trillion Shadow Banking Industry – defined as the sum of Trust Loans, Entrusted Loans and Undiscounted Bank Loans – contracted. These three key components combined resulted in a 64BN yuan drain in credit from China’s […]