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WTI/RBOB Shrug At Bigger Than Expected Crude Draw

WTI/RBOB faded back from yesterday's Libya pipeline headline-driven exuberance ahead of tonight's API inventory data. A bigger than expected crude draw held WTI prices steady but RBOB faded very modestly after API showed a notable gasoline (and distillates) build.   API Crude -6mm (-3.75mm exp) Cushing -1.3mm (-590k exp) Gasoline +3.1mm Distillates +2.8mm Heading into […]


Global Stocks Rise, Copper Soars In Thin Holiday Volumes

European stocks are steady in post-Christmas trading if struggling for traction after a mixed session in Asia, amid trading thinned by a holiday-shortened week and ongoing worries about the tech sector; however a strong rally in commodities – including copper and oil – buoyed expectations for a strong 2018 and helped offset concerns over the […]


The Biggest Factors In Future Oil Production

Authored by Ron Patterson via OilPrice.com, This assessment is based on the data in the 2017 BP Statistical Review of World Energy available here. As such it uses that review’s definition of oil which is crude and condensate and natural gas liquids, uncompensated for their different energy contents or values of refined product components. Figure 1: […]


The Top 8 Unknowns In 2018’s Energy Markets

Authored by Peter Tertzakian via OilPrice.com, It’s that time of year when we flip our calendars to a new start. For pundits like me, it’s customary to make a listicle about the year to come – the usual predictions about things like OPEC, energy consumption, commodity prices and electric vehicle sales in China. But I […]


What Will Drive The Next Oil Price Crash?

Authored by Tsvetana Paraskova via OilPrice.com, As we roll into 2018, analysts and investors are more optimistic that the oil market will further tighten next year and support higher oil prices, but rising U.S. shale production will likely cap any significant price gains. On the demand side, expectations are that global economic growth will support […]


Trump Tax Bill Sparks Worst 2 Days For Stocks & Bonds In 2017

But, but, but… it wasn't supposed to be priced in…   On the day Trannies and Small Caps managed gains…   Futures show stocks dumped again at the open, tried valiantly to bounce back… but failed…   Notably VIX crashed at the open 8.90…   FANG stocks were weak again today…   High-Tax firms outperformed […]


WTI/RBOB Algos Confused As Crude Draws, Gasoline Builds, & Production Jumps Again

WTI/RBOB held gains overnight following API's reported crude draw (despite the gasoline glut) but after DOE confirmed a 5th weekly crude draw and 6th weekly gasoline build, algos were confused with prices chaotic. Production hit a new record high. North Sea and Canadian crude supply disruptions are suppressing U.S. imports and encouraging exports. API Crude […]


WTI/RBOB Extend Gains After Bigger Than Expected Crude Draw

WTI/RBOB inched higher on the day ahead of tonight's API data and then knee-jerked higher as the data showed a much-bigger-than-expected 5.2mm crude draw.   API Crude -5.2mm (-440k exp) Cushing +70k Gasoline +2.001mm (+2.45mm exp) Distillates -2.85mm (+250k exp) A very mixed bag as the series of crude draws continues and gasoline builds… This […]


OPEC vs IEA: Who’s Right On Oil Prices?

Authored by Nick Cunningham via OilPrice.com, Last week, the International Energy Agency made a lot of OPEC brows furrow when it warned that 2018 may not be a very happy new year for the cartel. U.S. shale supply, the IEA said in its December Oil Market Report, is set to grow more than OPEC has […]


The 5 Oil Factors To Watch In 2018

Authored by Nick Cunningham via OilPrice.com, Oil prices are set to close out the year somewhere around 15 percent up, and the oil market looks more stable than it has in years. But what does 2018 have in store? Most analysts believe more of the same – inventory declines, some shale growth, a gradual increase […]


Uh-Oh Canada!

Authored by Nick Cunningham via OilPrice.com, Oil from Canada’s oil sands is now selling at a $27-per-barrel discount relative to WTI, the sharpest difference in more than four years. Western Canada Select (WCS), a benchmark for oil from Alberta’s oil sands, has plunged in December, falling to just $30 per barrel at the end of […]


The Great Oil Swindle

Authored by Chris Martenson via PeakProsperity.com, … is leading us to destruction. When it comes to the story we're being told about America's rosy oil prospects, we're being swindled.  At its core, the swindle is this: The shale industry's oil production forecasts are vastly overstated. Swindle:  Noun  – A fraudulent scheme or action. And the swindle […]


Is The Oil Glut Set To Return?

Authored by Nick Cunningham via OilPrice.com, For the second month in a row, the IEA has poured cold water onto the oil market, publishing an analysis that suggests 2018 could hold some bearish surprises for crude. The IEA’s December Oil Market Report dramatically revises up the expected growth of U.S. shale, which goes a long […]


The ‘Unknown Unknowns’ That Threaten U.S. Shale

Authored by Tsvetana Paraskova via OilPrice.com, Three years after the oil price crash, the U.S. shale patch is on its second growth phase and is expected to continue to increase its production, at least through the next five years. The global oil markets have become increasingly dependent on U.S. tight oil supply – and the […]


WTI/RBOB Steady Despite Huge Gasoline Build, New Crude Production Record

Despite last night's surprisingly large API-reported crude draw, WTI/RBOB prices were sliding in early trading but as the DOE data printed prices stabilized despite a smaller crude draw than API and a much bigger gasoline builds than expected. Production surged on the week to a new record high. Bloomberg's Mitch Martin noted that the Brent […]