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Equity Mania Reaches Fever Pitch As Even Famed “Value Investors” Throw In The Towel On Shorts

Once upon a time, the chart below would have resulted in value investors loading up on short positions, or at the very least moving money to the sidelines, while poking fun at the ‘momo’ crowd for once again convincing themselves that “this time is different” as they chased equities ever higher.  Alas, as Bloomberg points […]


The Seven Questions Goldman’s Clients Have About “Rational Exuberance”

In mid-November, just days after Barclays released its 2018 equity outlook with the title “Rational Exuberance”… … Goldman’s David Kostin decided that imitation was the sincerest form of unveiling a non-contrarian year-end forecast, and in presenting his revised S&P price target for 2018 of 2,850 – which accounts for GOP tax reform – “borrowed” the […]


Six Ways US Stocks Are The Most Overvalued In History

Submitted by Mish Shedlock US large cap stocks are the most overvalued in history. Let's investigate six ways. Crescat Capital claims US large cap stocks are the most overvalued in history, higher than prior speculative mania market peaks in 1929 and 2000. Their 25-page presentation makes a compelling case, with numerous charts. It's worth your […]


Markets Are Unprepared For A Government Shutdown

Authored by James Rickards via The Daily Reckoning, Will Republicans and Democrats agree on a budget, and avoid a government shutdown after midnight Friday? I’d say the odds are 50/50. Actually, I put the odds of a shutdown at about 55%. There’s certainly enough substance here to be wary. The government could shut down because […]


Francesco Filia: The World’s Twin Asset Bubbles Could Collapse Under Their Own Weight

In this week's MacroVoices podcast, Erik Townsend interviews Francesco Filia, a fund manager at Fasanara Capital. After exchanging pleasantries, Townsend begins the interview by asking Filia, an analysts who's widely regarded for his research about how post-crisis monetary policy has impacted distorted markets, about the different metrics he uses to determine whether a certain asset […]


Get Out Now: SocGen Predicts Market Crash, Bear Market For The S&P

While the charade of sellside analysts releasing optimistic, and in the case of Barclays and Goldman “rationally exuberant”previews of the year ahead… … is a familiar, long-running tradition on Wall Street, rarely has the intellectual dishonesty and cognitive dissonance been quite so glaring: take Goldman, which while admitting that valuations have never been higher, and […]


What If The “Exuberance” Is “Irrational”? Then Hold On To Your Hats…

As discussed earlier, Goldman’s entire S&P500 price forecast for 2018 and the next three years is based on two things: tax reform passing, but more broadly, something that David Kostin dubbed “Rational Exuberance”, to wit: “Rational exuberance” best describes our forecast for the trajectory of the S&P 500 during the next several years. Earnings drive […]


Goldman Bets On “Rational Exuberance”: Unveils Its S&P Price Targets, Sees Bull Market Lasting Until 2020

Just days after Barclays released its 2018 equity outlook with the title “Rational Exuberance”… … Goldman’s David Kostin decided that imitation is the sincerest form of flattery and in presenting his S&P price target* for 2018 (and 2019 and 2020), and has named his preview report the same: We footnoted price target, because once again […]


UBS Reveals The Stunning Reason Behind The 2017 Stock Market Rally

It’s 2018 forecast time for the big banks. With Goldman unveiling its seven Top Trades for 2018 earlier, overnight it was also UBS’ turn to reveal its price targets for the S&P in the coming year, and not surprisingly, the largest Swiss bank was extremely bullish, so much so in fact that its base case […]


This Is What A Pre-Crash Market Looks Like

Authored by Michael Snyder via The Economic Collapse blog, The only other times in our history when stock prices have been this high relative to earnings, a horrifying stock market crash has always followed.  Will things be different for us this time?  We shall see, but without a doubt this is what a pre-crash market […]


Is it Time to Buy $GE Yet?

Content originally published at iBankCoin.com Thanks to Jeffrey Immelt, after the financial crisis he divested many of GE’s ‘toxic’ financial divisions at the bottom and legged into the hot oil sector instead. With oil on the rise, Immelt was sure to make a killing, that was up until the business topped — leaving him with […]


Three Easy Pieces

Authored by 720Global's Michael Liebowitz via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, If someone told you that the President of the United States in 2028 would be a Democrat and a woman from the state of New York, could you guess who it might be? We highly doubt it. In 1998, ten years before being elected president, Barack Obama had […]


Central Banks Are Well Behind The Asset Bubble Inflation Curve

By EconMatters We discuss the Tech Earnings and the Gap Ups in the Market Opening today in this video, very reminiscent of the Tech Bubble Days in Financial Markets. It is obvious that Central Banks are way behind the interest rate hiking curve, we should be 300 basis points or 3% higher across the board […]


Washington Is “The New Rome”

Authored by James Rickards via The Daily Reckoning, I just got back from a trip to Washington, or what I call “New Rome” because Washington’s relationship to the rest of America is the same as Rome’s relations with the agrarian and plebeian citizens of its vast domains in late antiquity. Washington is a parasite that […]


Are Markets Being Driven by Fun-Durr-Mentals?

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, This past weekend, I discussed how the current rally since the election has been based on “hopes” for tax cuts and tax reforms as there was little evidence currently to suggest it was based on fundamental underpinnings. To wit: “Do not be mistaken, this ‘rally’ IS all about tax cuts. Despite many […]