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China’s Raging Against Dying Of The Light (Or Why Peak Employment Is Imminent)

Authored by Chris Hamilton via Econimica blog, China's working age population is clearly defined as those aged 16 to 50 years old for females (55 for "white collar" females) and 16 to 60 years old for males.  China mandates retirement at these outer age limits.  Perhaps of some interest should be that this working age population peaked in 2011 and has […]


China’s Growth Story… Don’t Look For A Happy Ending!

Authored by Chris Hamilton via Econimica blog, Many economists suggest China is on the cusp of significant growth in domestic consumer demand.  That this rising domestic demand coupled with continued growth as the global exporter will push the global economy further.  However, I'll briefly show why neither of these outcomes is remotely likely. Problem #1- China as Consumer: According to the UN […]


Working-Age Depopulation Is Hugely Bullish For Assets… Bearish For Mankind

Authored by Chris Hamilton via Econimica blog, Population growth is the primary, if not sole, contributor to growth in consumption and the resultant economic growth.  But not simply any population, but it is the growing population of the working age or "core" population of 20 to 65 year olds (particularly among the wealthy or developing […]


Is Population Decline Catastrophic?

Authored by Peter St.Onge via The Mises Institute, In the 1970’s we heard the earth was going to get so crowded we’d be falling off. Now the panickers have flipped to population decline. They were wrong in the 70’s, so are they wrong again? Is a declining population catastrophic? Countries from Germany to Japan are […]