WarMachines.com

Industrial War Machine Complex – Buy Bitcoin Defeat Corrupt Governments Everywhere!!


WarMachines.com

Archives by tag

What You’re Not Being Told About The Real Economy

Authored by Jeffrey Snider via Alhambra Investment Partners, The year 2000 was a transition year in a lot of ways. Though Y2K amounted to mild mass hysteria, people did have to get used to writing the date with 20 in front of the year rather than 19. It was a new millennium (depending on your […]


Preview Of Tomorrow’s Jobs Report: Here’s What Wall Street Expects

What a difference a year makes: last December, just as the ECB was about to shock the market with the announcement of its first €20 billion QE tapering, macroeconomic data mattered, especially since the Fed’s tightening intertia appeared to truly be data-dependent, if only for a very short period of time. Fast forward one year, […]


October Payrolls, Average Hourly Earnings Miss Big Despite Strong Upward Revisions

Well, with virtually everyone expecting a 300K+ payrolls number after last month’s negative hurricane-distorted print, and with whispers of a 400K print floating around, it only made sense that not only would payrolls disppoint, printing at 261K, one standard deviation below the 310K consensus estimate (and that even with a whopping 89,000 waiters and bartenders […]


September “Hurricane” Payrolls Tumble 33,000, First Drop In Seven Years, As Wages Surge Due To Labor Shortages

As noted earlier, Wall Street was completely clueless ahead of today’s payroll, with most expecting a small positive print but two brave forecasters went so far as to predict that the recent hurricanes would result in a negative print, and sure enough, moments ago the BLS reported that in September, the US economy lost 33,000 […]


Previewing The September “Hurricane-Disrupted” Jobs Report

Tomorrow’s hurricane-affected September jobs report will be… confusing. That is the (lack of) consensus from Wall Street analysts, who expect an average print of 80,000 (down from the 3-month average of 185K), however with huge variance on either side, with 4 economists predicting a loss of jobs, three expecting a print higher than 150K and […]


If You Like Your Stagnant Wages, You Can Keep Your Stagnant Wages

Ever since the great recession of 2008/2009, economists have grown increasingly perplexed by the lack of real wage growth in the U.S. economy despite improving unemployment trends.  Even with a 4.4% unemployment rate, real wage growth has been elusive and hovered between negative 1% and positive 1% for years now.   Of course, it all […]


Where The August Jobs Were: Who Is Hiring, And Who Isn’t

As expected, last month‘s one-time, outlier surge in leisure & hospitality, and education & health jobs was not only revised lower, but is fully gone in the month of August. Furthermore, while according to the original July report not a single category had lost jobs, that is no longer the case as the chart below […]


Ugly Jobs Report: August Payrolls Miss, Slide To 156K; Hourly Earnings Also Disappoint

We warned readers yesterday to “Prepare For Disappointment” with today’s jobs report, and sure enough that’s precisely what we got when moments ago the BLS reported that in August just 156K jobs were created, a big miss to the 180K expected, and following a sharp downward revision to June and July, which were revised to […]


August Payrolls Preview: Prepare For Disappointment

If there is one common theme across sellside previews of tomorrow’s nonfarm payrolls number, expected at 180K after a surprising jump to 209K in July, it is to brace for disappointment, or in Wall Street parlance, “downside risks.” And it’s not because of Harvey which hit the US far too late in the month to […]