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Hedge Fund Behind Mystery “Bitcoin To $50,000” Bet Revealed

The crypto space was thrown into chaos today as the price of bitcoin and its peers plunged overnight, cementing the pioneering digital currency's worst week since December 2013, only to rebound dramatically into the close, wiping out virtually all losses. Also today, just as the rout was nearing its trough, we shared a story from […]


Mystery Trader Places Massive Bet That Bitcoin Will Hit $50,000 Next Year

Contrary to what casual observers might believe, the Cboe and CME weren’t the first exchanges to offer trading and clearing of bitcoin derivatives in the US – that distinction belongs to a relatively obscure company called LedgerX, which received permission from the CFTC over the summer to create the first swap execution facility – or […]


Someone Just Made $60 Million Betting That The Crowd Is Wrong

Over the weekend we warned that just as everyone was convinced that the yield curve can only flatten from here, and was positioned massively on the long side of the 30Y future, the opposite was about to happen, and in a tweet highlighting the record net spec long positioning in 30Y futures, we said “here […]


CBOE Website Crashes As XBT Trading Begins, First Trading Halt As Bitcoin Price Surges

Update: At precisely 8:31pm ET, the CBOE instituted the first ever XBT trading halt, which lasted for two minutes according to a notice on Cboe’s website. XBT contracts have since resumed trading. As a reminder, the Cboe can halt trading for 2 minutes after 10% swings, and 5 minutes at 20%, an attempt to prevent […]


Bitcoin Futures Top $18,000, Soar 20% From Open – Halted for Second Time

Update: At 10:05pm ET,  the CFE halted trading in Cboe Bitcoin Futures (XBT), in accordance with CFE Rule 1302(i)(ii) which defines the threshold for the halt as a 20% surge. XBT will re-open for trading approximately five (5)minutes from the time of the halt. Bitcoin Futures have topped $18,000 for the first time… It was […]


Small Caps Are Now More Expensive Than At The Peak Of The Tech Bubble

Everyone knows that tech stocks are – or at least until investors realized that tax reform is a fiasco for the tech sector, were – the darlings of the market, resulting in the biggest concentration of hedge fund holders with a record number of HFs holding the 5 FAANG stocks; at the same time far fewer […]


Eric Peters: “Today’s Central Bank Vol Suppression Will End In Spectacular Fashion”

After his provocative admission published earlier that he now checks “Breitbart daily and InfoWars too… You can no longer understand America unless you do“, One River’s CIO Eric Peters published the following anecdote revealing an earlier moment of his life, when as a currency trader, he learned a valuable lesson following the spectacular blow up […]


Flynn Flush Rescues ‘VIX Elephant’ As ’50 Cent’ Backs Up The Truck

The “VIX Elephant” has awakened. And “50 Cent” is back. That's the mysterious-sounding ointroduction to a notable market insight from Bloomberg this mornig as they note the turmoil surrounding Mike Flynn headlines – spiking VIX and slamming stocks – provided two big options market 'whales' with some relief and room to move… First, the trader […]


Deutsche Bank Explains The Five Biggest “Market Conundrums”

While pundits contemplate whether the bitcoin bubble is bigger, smaller or the same size as the dot com bubble, few are willing to admit that day to day events in the equity market are just as ridiculous, bubbly and bizarre as what takes place in the crypto realm. To address this lack of coverage, yesterday […]


Eric Peters: “We Are Investing As If 1987 Will Happen Tomorrow, Because It Will”

Excerpted from the latest weekend notes from One River Asset Management, courtesy of CIO, Eric Peters Speculation “People are no longer investing, they’re speculating,” said the CIO. “Is that wrong?” he asked, not waiting for an answer. “Depends on what you’re speculating in.” Investors are implicitly worried about further price gains, they’re not really forecasting […]


“It’s A Vicious Cycle”: Goldman Abandons Equity Options Market-Making As Vol Collapses

October is historically the most volatile month of the year, but in 2017 – the average volatility of US equity markets dropped to an all-time record low…   … And you know something's wrong when, just like in early 2007 when the crash in vol killed the swaptions industry – just before all hell broke […]


Personal Recollections From The Crash Of 1987: “There Was No ‘Smart Money’ That Day!”

Via LyonsSharePro.com, The following guest post is a first-hand account of the events surrounding the Crash of 1987 by JLFMI President, John S. Lyons. Personal Recollections of the Crash of 1987 on its 30th Anniversary “There was no ‘smart money’ that day.” What do the assassination of President John F Kennedy, the beginning of Desert Storm […]


October Realized Volatility Is Now The Lowest On Record

After September was declared the lowest volatility month on record, October is starting auspiciously, if only for the vol sellers. After last week stocks rose again on renewed hopes of a Trump tax deal and following a payrolls report which showed the hottest wage inflation since the financial crisis, the S&P 500 closed the week […]


Minsky, Myopia, & Why The S&P 500 Is A Bloated Corpse

Authored by Raul Ilargi Meijer via The Automatic Earth blog, According to Hyman Minsky, economic stability is not only inevitably followed by instability, it inevitably creates it. Complacent humans being what they are. If he’s right, and would anyone dare doubt it, we’re in for that mushroom cloud on the financial horizon. We know that […]


It Has Never Been Cheaper To Hedge A Market Crash Using This One Trade

In mid-August, at the height of the North Korea geopolitical turbulence, and amid uncertainty about the Fed balance sheet unwind, fears of a government shutdown and the US debt ceiling, as well as the fate of Trump tax reform and Obamacare repeal, when the VIX soared following a series of missile launches by Kim Jong […]