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The 10 “Grey Swans” Events For 2018

One of the traditional push backs against attempts to predict “black swan” events is that they are by default unpredictable, rendering the entire exercise moot. However, for the second year in a row, Nomura’s Bilal Hafeez has found a loophole, or rather loop-animal: the grey swan. As Hafeez writes, while he would like to be […]


European, Asian Stocks Slide But US Futures Rebound As Tax Deal Fears Ease

U.S. equity index futures point to a higher open, having rebounded some 10 points off session lows with the VIX stuck on the edge between single and double digits, while European and Asian shares decline as investors assess central banks’ shift toward tighter monetary policy and concern over tax overhaul ahead of final plan.  It […]


It’s Central Bank Bonanza Day: European Stocks Slide Ahead Of ECB; S&P Futs Hit Record High

One day after the Fed hiked rates by 25 bps as part of Janet Yellen’s final news conference, it is central bank bonanza day, with rate decisions coming from the rest of the world’s most important central banks, including the ECB, BOE, SNB, Norges Bank, HKMA, Turkey and others. And while US equity futures are […]


Key Events In The Coming Week: Yellen’s Swan Song And Final Rate Hike; Draghi’s Silence, US Inflation

After last week’s payrolls report, the year is starting to wind down for economic events and capital markets, but not before one last hurrah for central banks: indeed, it is a very busy week dominated by central bank meetings for the FOMC, ECB, BOE, SNB and Norges Bank. We will also observe the controversial Alabama […]


$1 Trillion Norway Wealth Fund Sees “Red Flag” In Real Estate Market

Back in September, we pointed out that assets managed by Norway’s sovereign wealth fund had surged to over $1 trillion after they made the controversial decision to increase their exposure to global equity bubbles (see: Norway Wealth Fund Assets Surge To Over $1 Trillion On Massive 70% Allocation To Equities).  The move has worked out […]


FX Weekly Preview: EUR Darts Back To Uptrend, But Can It Last

Submitted by Shant Movsesian and Rajan Dhall MSTA of fxdailyterminal.com The key move in the FX majors last week as the upturn in EUR/USD, where the first key area of support on the downside at 1.1500-1.1625 held well to generate the move up into the mid-upper 1.1800's.  In the previous week we also asked whether […]


Norway’s $1 Trillion Wealth Fund Suddenly Considers Dumping $35 Billion Of Oil And Gas Stocks

One of the world’s largest sovereign wealth funds, and one which ironically amassed the overwhelming majority of their wealth via rich oil reserves, is now looking to sell off some $35 billion worth of energy stocks.  According to central bank Deputy Governor Egil Matsen, the move is intended simply to “spread the risks for the […]


Manhattan Office Bubble Fizzles Without Big Chinese Buyers

Authored by Wolf Richter via WolfStreet.com, Sales volume in Q3 plunges 67% from a year ago. Manhattan, the biggest most expensive trophy market in the US for commercial real estate, used to be particularly appealing to exuberant foreign investors, such as Chinese conglomerates. But in the third quarter, sales volume of large office properties (minimum […]


Traders Paralyzed, Markets Flat Ahead Of Today’s Main Event: The ECB’s Taper Announcement

US equity futures and Asian shares are flat this morning with European shares treading water ahead of the ECB’s policy meeting in which it’s expected to announce a tapering to its €60bn in monthly QE. On this busiest day of Q3 earnings season, companies set to report earnings include Alphabet, Microsoft, Amazon and Intel, while […]


Key Events In The Coming Week: ECB Taper, Q3 GDP And Durables

The main even this week will be the ECB’s taper announcement on Thursday where consensus expects the ECB to announce a QE extension of €30bn per month for 9 month until Sep-18, with potential extension after. Net purchases between now and Dec-17 will continue at €60bn per month as planned. To cope with rate hike […]


Mapping The World’s Trillion-Dollar Asset-Manager Club

In the late 1700s, it was the start of the battle of stock exchanges: in 1773, the London Stock Exchange was formed, and the New York Stock Exchange was formed just 19 years later. And while London was a preferred destination for international finance at the time, Visual Capitalist's Jeff Desjardins notes that England also […]


FX Week Ahead: Market In Need Of Brain-Changer, Not Game-Changer

Submitted by Shant Movsesian and Rajan Dhall MSTA at FXDaily.co.uk After the FOMC meeting last week, it was (yet) again apparent that the Fed are still keen to maintain a normalisation path designed to not only get rates back to neutral levels, but also build up the policy tool kit again as well as staving […]


Norway Wealth Fund Assets Surge To Over $1 Trillion On Massive 70% Allocation To Equities

Last December we joked that the Norwegian sovereign wealth fund had responded to sinking returns and withdrawals required to fund budget deficits by allocating another $130 billion in assets to what appeared to be an already massively overpriced equity bubble in return for an extra 40bps of "expected average annual real returns." (see: Norway Buying […]


Norway’s Sovereign Wealth Fund Hits $1 Trillion For First Time Ever

Content originally published at iBankCoin.com For the first time ever, Norway’s sovereign wealth fund, which was launched 20 years ago to invest their oil money, has surpassed $1 trillion. “I don’t think anyone expected the fund to ever reach 1 trillion dollars when the first transfer of oil revenue was made in May 1996. Reaching […]


FX Week Ahead: Central Bank Credibility Slips Yet Again, Fed Up Next

Submitted by Shant Movsesian and Rajan Dhall MSTA from fxdaily.co.uk The past week was not the best for central banks, highlighted by the complete turnaround in sentiment at the BoE, where Carney and Co have now put a 25bp rate hike firmly on the table. Their rationale was that along with curbing the rise in […]