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2018: Irrational Complacency – “What Is Your Exit Strategy?”

Authored by Alberto Gallo via Algebris Investments, “Your loving give me such a thrillBut your love don’t pay my billsNow give me moneyThat’s what I want”Money – Barrett Strong, 1959 Ten long years after the crisis, volatility and fear seem to have disappeared from financial markets. A synchronous global expansion coupled with persistently loose monetary […]


Greece Is The Patsy For Europe’s Failure (And The Ordeal Is Far From Over)

Authored by Raul Ilargi Meijer via The Automatic Earth blog, I feel kind of sorry this has become such a long essay. But I still left out so much. You know by now I care a lot about Greece, and it’s high time for another look, and another update, and another chance for people to […]


IMF Stress Tests Find $280 Billion Black Hole In Chinese Banks’ Capital

The IMF released a new analysis on the instability stability of the Chinese financial system. Speaking to the media in an online briefing, some of the insights from Ratna Sahay, deputy director of the IMF’s Monetary and Capital Markets Department, hardly advanced our knowledge much. Sahay noted that “Risks are large. Having said that, the […]


An Italian Regulator’s Risk-Sharing Plan To “Cure The Eurozone”

Authored by Mike Shedlock via www.themaven.net/mishtalk, Marcello Minenna, a division head at the Italian securities regulator, emailed his plan to "Cure the Eurozone".  Marcello Minenna, the head of Quantitative Analysis and Financial Innovation at Consob, the Italian securities regulator, pinged me recently with his plan to save the Eurozone. The plan requires debt guarantees with […]


114 Italian Banks (Roughly 23%) Have NPLs Exceeding Tangible Assets

Authored by Mike Shedlock via www.themaven.net/mishtalk, 114 Italian banks have non-performing loans that exceed tangible capital. Ratios above 100% are signs of severe stress… The headline image is from the from ilsole24ore.com. The article is dated March 25, 2017. The translated headline reads "Here are the 114 Italian banks at risk for suffering" The image […]


Bonds, Futures, Global Stocks All Rise, Boosted By “Germany’s Brexit Moment”; TSY Curve Collapse Continues

S&P 500 futures are higher, continuing on yesterday’s momentum, after European and Asian shares also rose alongside a rebound in oil, as the year-end performance chase appears to be accelerating. There were several different moving parts in a mixed European session, in which early Euro strength gave way to weakness… … which in turn pushed […]


Goldman Reveals Its Top Trade Recommendations For 2018

It’s that time of the year again when with just a few weeks left in the year, Goldman unveils its top trade recommendations for the year ahead. And while Goldman’s Top trades for 2016 was an abysmal disaster, with the bank getting stopped out with a loss on virtually all trade recos within weeks after […]


China’s Big Bang Bombshell: Beijing Opens Financial Sector To Foreign Ownership, But Why Now?

That was quick. Trump leaves China (only to go back on the offensive about unfair trade practices in his APEC speech) and just hours later Trump's new Beijing friends announce that foreign firms will be permitted to take majority ownership in Chinese financial firms… well capped at 51% for now anyway. We doubt that this […]


“This Looks More Frightening”: Global Stock, Bond Selloff Accelerates Amid Risk-Parity Rumblings

Yesterday’s Japan flash-crash inspired selling continues for a second day, with global equities – and bonds – sliding early Friday on concerns U.S. tax reform – and corporate tax cuts – will be delayed after Senate Republicans unveiled a plan that differed significantly from the House of Representatives’ version. After suffering their biggest plunge in […]


Is There Any Way Out Of The ECB’s Trap?

Authored by Daniel Lacalle via The Mises Institute, The ECB faces the Devil’s Alternative that Frederick Forsyth mentioned in one of his books. All options are potentially risky. Mario Draghi knows that maintaining the so-called stimuli involves more risks than benefits, but also knows that eliminating them could make the eurozone deck of cards collapse. Despite the […]


Global Stock Meltup Sends Nikkei To 25 Year High

The global risk levitation continues, sending Asian stocks just shy of records, to the highest since November 2007 and Japan’s Nikkei topped 22,750 – a level last seen in 1992 – while European shares and US equity futures were mixed, and the dollar rose across the board, gains accelerating through the European session with EURUSD […]


Kyle Bass Warns: Xi Has “Built The Chinese Economy On A Foundation Of Sand”

Earlier this week, Chinese leader Xi Jinping became the third ruler in the communist country’s history to have his named enshrined in its constitution – and the first to receive this honor while still alive. But as China celebrates its most popular, and most powerful, leader since at least Deng Xiaoping, Kyle Bass, hedge fund […]


Ray Dalio Is Shorting The Entire EU

Authored by Raul Ilargi Meijer via The Automatic Earth blog, A point BOE Governor Mark Carney made recently may be the biggest cog in the European Union’s wheel (or is it second biggest? Read on). That is, derivatives clearing. It’s one of the few areas where Brussels stands to lose much more than London, but […]


Dutch Central Bank Warns Of Market Calm Before The Storm:

With one foot out of the door of Germany’s finance ministry, the former head of the German economy, Wolfgang Schäuble, 75, delivered a fire and brimstone warning over the weekend, telling the FT in an interview that there was a danger of “new bubbles” forming due to the trillions of dollars that central banks have […]