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Nobel Laureate ‘Discovers’ Cause Of Opioid Crisis: Complete Economic Destruction Of The “White Working Class”

For several decades now the American Midwest has suffered from unprecedented economic decay courtesy of a persistent outsourcing of manufacturing jobs in the automotive and steel industries, among others. As we’ve noted frequently, that economic decay has resulted in a devastating surge in opioid overdoses that claim the lives of 100s of people each year. […]


Stephen Roach Warns “Complacency Will Be Tested In 2018”

Authored by Stephen Roach via Project Syndicate, Despite seemingly robust indicators, the world economy may not be nearly as resilient to shocks and systemic challenges as the consensus view seems to believe. In particular, the absence of a classic vigorous rebound from the Great Recession means that the global economy never recouped the growth lost […]


Bitcoin Tops $11,000 – Bundesbank Sees No Bubble, Stiglitz Says “Should Be Outlawed”

Well that re-escalated quickly… It's been quite a year…. $0000 – $1000: 1789 days $1000- $2000: 1271 days $2000- $3000: 23 days $3000- $4000: 62 days $4000- $5000: 61 days $5000- $6000: 8 days $6000- $7000: 13 days $7000- $8000: 14 days $8000- $9000: 9 days $9000-$10000: 2 days $10000-$11000: 1 day Big dip overnight […]


Gresham’s Law

Authored by Ted Rivelle via TCW.com, This year’s Nobel prize in economics was awarded to Richard Thaler, a pioneer of behavioral economics. But there is a tale told by a lesser known Nobel laureate, Kenneth Arrow. As a World War II weather officer, he was tasked with analyzing the reliability of the army’s long-range weather […]


“One Of The Biggest Fears I Have Is I Miss It”: There Is A Sudden Rush To Open Long-Vol Funds

Last month, Soc Gen analyst, Praveen Singh, analyzed evolving cross-asset volatility trends, and boldly went where so many have unsuccessfully gone before. Singh’s warning was that the market is "now entering dangerous volatility regimes." The crux of Soc Gen’s argument was mean reversion, notably that the current low level of volatility happens less than 2% […]


Goldman Is Allowing Its Clients To Bet On The Next Financial Crisis

Just over a decade ago, as the S&P was hitting all time highs and there was a line around the block of 30-some year old hedge fund managers, desperate to put other people’s money in various ultra risky investments just so they could pick a few excess bps of yield over Treasurys – a situation […]


“This Is Most Worrying”: In One Year, Central Bank Liquidity Will Collapse From $2 Trillion To Zero

Is it complacency, or simply trader paralysis? A question we first asked three months ago is getting a second wind this morning, when in a report by Deutsche Bank’s Alan Ruskin – “Vol: freeze or flight?” – the macro strategist points out that “the new 2017 Nobel laureate for Economics is not the only one […]


Nobel Laureate Richard Thaler: “We Seem To Be Living In The Riskiest Market Of Our Lives”

Robert Shiller isn’t the only Nobel Laureate who’s worried the US stock market is sleepwalking toward disaster. In an interview with Bloomberg’s Jeanna Smialek, Thaler, who was awarded the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences on Monday for his pioneering work in establishing that humans are “predictably irrational”, said that the stock market’s complacency in […]


Kevin Warsh May Be The Next Fed Head – Let’s See What He Really Thinks

Authored bvy Daniel Nevins via FFWiley.com, As reported earlier this morning by the Wall Street Journal, President Trump and Treasury Secretary Mnuchin met with Kevin Warsh yesterday to discuss the potential vacancy at the Fed next February. Warsh already has central banking experience, having sat on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) from February 2006 […]


We Are Already In Depression (If Borrowing Money Is Not Income)

Via Baker & Company Advisory Group, The U.S. economy is not as solid as it appears. Statistical anomalies hide profound weakness. I will examine actual GDP and actual employment. Warning: not for the faint of heart. Do you consider debt as income? Before you answer that, let’s perform a thought experiment. Imagine that you had taken […]


Does Government Spending Create More Economic Growth? (Spoiler Alert: No, Silly!)

Authored by Frank Shostak via The Mises Institute, After the 2007-2009 global financial crisis, fears of ballooning public debt and worries about the drag on economic growth pushed authorities in some countries to lower government spending, a tactic that economists now think may have slowed recovery. Note that in the United States the total debt […]


Draghi: Trillions In QE Have Made Economies “More Resilient”

When last night we previewed this week’s annual Jackson Hole symposium at which Mario Draghi is scheduled to speak just before the market close on Friday, we said that the ECB head is warming up for the trip by speaking at the Lindau economics symposium in Germany this morning “and as such he could front […]