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Frontrunning: December 11

Hotly anticipated bitcoin futures ease off after 22 percent surge (Reuters) Bitcoin Futures Debut With 26% Rally, Trigger Cboe Trading Halts (BBG) Powell faces early test of policy view as tax cuts near approval (Reuters) Small Investors Face Higher Taxes Under Senate Proposal (WSJ) US, Japan and South Korea host joint missile tracking drills (DW) […]


Frontrunning: December 1

Tillerson, Cohn Could Leave White House in Wave of Senior Departures (WSJ) Senate grapples with tax cut plan’s impact on deficit (Reuters) Here’s Where the GOP Tax Plan Stands Right Now (BBG) Markets ignore best European factory data in 17 years (Reuters) Tax Debate Plays Out in TV Ads Targeting Key States Across U.S. (BBG) […]


Europe’s New ‘Values’ – Austerity, Bloodletting, And Incompetence

Authored by Raul Ilargi Meijer via The Automatic Earth blog, Punxsutawney Phil Hammond, the UK chancellor, presented his Budget yesterday and declared five more years of austerity for Britain. As was to be expected. One doesn’t even have to go into the details of the Budget to understand that it is a dead end street […]


Pound Slides, Then Rebounds, After Hammond Reveals Sharp Cuts To UK GDP Forecast

Update: after the GBP initially dropped on the lower GDP forecasts, it has since rallied after Hammond finished speaking , in what Citi said was a “relief rally” as there were no “banana skins and government safe. Relief trade here.” This was a risk event – while Budget Announcements are normally quite quiet affairs in […]


Budget Preview: Chancellor Philip Hammond’s Impossible Task To “Square The UK’s Circle”

At lunchtime today, Philip Hammond will give the weakened Conservative government’s first budget in the new parliament. Against a likely backdrop of downgrades for the economy from the OBR, the Chancellor will be under immense pressure to provide a sound plan going forward on many issues. As Statista's Martin Armstrong notes, the NHS has already had its […]


Frontrunning: November 20

Merkel faces worst political crisis of her career (FT) Europe Faces a Hamstrung Germany as Merkel’s Coalition Bid Fails (BBG) Merkel’s Failure Is Bad News for May (BBG) What’s Left For Noble Group Creditors: The Answer’s in Jamaica (BBG) Bitcoin’s White-Knuckle Ride Continues as It Dashes Past $8,000 (BBG) UK Preparing Enhanced Brexit Cash Offer […]


Goodbye Royal Marines

Authored by Matthew Jamison via The Strategic Culture Foundation, Over the course of the summer there was great fanfare and much to do from the British Secretary of State, Sir Michael Fallon MP, regarding the 'completion' of two new British aircraft carriers called HMS Queen Elizabeth and HMS Prince of Wales. Fallon, a thoroughly odious […]


“We’ve Never Seen Anything Like This” – Maria Slams Puerto Rico With 9-Foot Storm Surge, 155Mph Winds

Hurricane Maria made landfall near the city of Yabucoa, Puerto Rico, at around 6:15 am Wednesday, according to the National Hurricane Center, battering the densely populated eastern side of the island with torrential rains and 155 mph gusts as hundreds of thousands of people hunkered down in one of the island's 500 storm shelters in […]


Cable Sinks As EU-UK Postpone Next Round Of Brexit Talks

Having spiked overnight on the back of surging inflation, Cable just tumbled after it appears disagreements over the 'divorce' payments forced EU and UK to postpone the next round of Brexit talks… for a cooling off period? As we detailed previously, the EU is accusing UK of backtracking on its promise to pay an exorbitant […]


As Harvey Moves Inland, A New Hurricane Is Forming Over The Atlantic

Update: According to the NHS, Atlantic Tropical Storm Irma has formed, and could be a Hurricane by Friday. With top winds of 50 miles (80 kilometers) per hour, Irma formed 420 miles west of Cabo Verde moving west at 13 mph, the U.S. National Hurricane Center in an 11 a.m. N.Y. time advisory. According to […]


Harvey Expected To Make Landfall As Category 3 Hurricane: All The Latest Updates

Hurricane Harvey, which until this morning a Tropical Storm, is now set to be the first hurricane to strike the Texas coast since 2008. According to the NHS, which issued a hurricane warning from Port Mansfield to Matagorda, TX including Corpus Christi, Harvey is “rapidly intensifying”, and is forecast to be a “major hurricane.” The […]


Harvey To Make Landfall As Cat 3 Hurricane, Bring 40 Inches Of Rain: Latest Updates

Hurricane Harvey, which until this morning a Tropical Storm, is now set to be the first hurricane to strike the Texas coast since 2008. According to the NHS, which issued a hurricane warning from Port Mansfield to Matagorda, TX including Corpus Christi, Harvey is “rapidly intensifying”, and is forecast to be a “major hurricane.” The […]