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Full Preview Of Janet Yellen’s Last Ever Rate Hike

In previewing today's FOMC decision, which will also be Janet Yellen's last rate hike decision and press conference before she is replaced by Jay Powell, there is a TL/DR version, which is summarized by the chart below and which shows that according to the market, the probability of a rate hike today is 100%… which […]


Three Critical Dates For The Fed

Authored by James Rickards via DailyReckoning.com, I managed a track and field in team in high school. I was not the team coach, I was a student-manager who helped out with equipment, scheduling, training and other logistics. Back in the days before internet I was the kid in the locker room phoning in athlete times […]


Fed’s Kashkari Responds To Zero Hedge: “The Fed’s Job Is Not To Protect Investors”

Former Goldmanite and current Minneapolis Fed president, Neel Kashkari, conducted another #AskNeel session on Twitter where the dovish FOMC voter (he was the only one to dissent to the Fed’s rate hike decision earlier this year) received numerous questions. Among them was the following one from Zero Hedge: #AskNeel You have admitted the Fed has […]


Here Is Your Chance To #AskNeel Kashkari Anything

It’s that time again: Minneapolis Fed president, TARP creator and former Goldman and PIMCO employee Neel Kashkari is holding one of his periodic “open” twitter forums, where he will be taking questions from the general audience at 3:30pm ET. .@neelkashkariwill be taking questions starting at 2:30p CT. Use #AskNeel to participate. pic.twitter.com/3iCBjylw5c — Minneapolis Fed […]


The Yellen Put – Friend Or Foe?

Authored by Chris Whalen via The Institutional Risk Analyst, The term “Greenspan Put” was coined after the stock market crash of 1987 and the subsequent bailout of Long Term Capital Management in 1998. The Fed under Chairman Alan Greenspan lowered interest rates following the fabled event of default and life continued.  The idea of the Greenspan […]


Key Events In The Coming Week: Senate Tax Vote; Euro Inflation; GDP; OPEC, Fed Speakers

It’s a busy week as traders return from the long Thanksgiving holiday, with inflation releases in the Eurozone and Japan. We’ll also get the second estimate of US GDP, housing data and ISM manufacturing, UK monetary aggregates and PMIs in China. Finally, the Russia-OPEC meeting takes place in Vienna on November 30, while the Senate […]


Stocks Whipsawed As Europe, US Futures Rebound From China Selloff; Dollar Slides

The traditionally illiquid post-Thanksgiving week has started with a series of whipsaws across stocks and bonds, as European stocks turned positive after starting the day on the back foot, initially mirroring a slide in Chinese stocks and price action in U.S. equity futures as investors look to a possible – and absolutely critical – tax-plan […]


Knowing The Policy Stance Of An Incoming Fed Chairman, How It Paid To Do The Opposite

With the appointment of the next Fed Chairman imminent, the WSJ investigated whether knowing his/her identity and policy stance would have led to successful investment decisions. Spoiler alert – it’s often paid to do the opposite. As The Wall Street Journal reports, President Donald Trump’s The Apprentice-style hiring process for the Federal Reserve chair is […]


Key Events In The Coming Very Busy Week

With a full slate of central bank meetings, data (including payrolls Friday) and earnings next week there’s a little bit for everyone. On Thursday, according to Politico, we will also know who the next Fed Chair is as well as get a first look at a version of the House tax bill in the US, […]


Key Events In The Coming Week: ECB Taper, Q3 GDP And Durables

The main even this week will be the ECB’s taper announcement on Thursday where consensus expects the ECB to announce a QE extension of €30bn per month for 9 month until Sep-18, with potential extension after. Net purchases between now and Dec-17 will continue at €60bn per month as planned. To cope with rate hike […]


Trump Expected To Announce His Pick For Fed Chair In Next Two Weeks

In the latest update on Trump’s search for the next Fed Chair, Reuters reported that the search has narrowed down to 5 finalists – Yellen, Warsh, Taylor, Powell and Cohn (condolences to Jeff Gundlach: his dark horse candidate, Neel Kashkari did not make the cut) – and that after meeting Yellen on Thursday, Trump will […]


European Stocks On Edge Ahead Of Catalan Independence Call, S&P Futures Rise

S&P futures are again modestly in the green as European shares hold steady ahead of a meeting of the Catalan regional parliament and a possible declaration of independence by Catalan leader Puigdemont, while Asian shares rise a the second day. The dollar declined for the 3rd day, its losses accelerating across the board amid growing […]


Key Events In The Coming Week: CPI, Retail Sales And FOMC Minutes

In the traditionally quiet post-payrolls week, attention will focus on the US CPI report, retail sales and FOMC minutes as well as the Catalonia vote and Eurozone industrial production. Separately, we have UK construction, Chinese PMIs, Japanese BoP and inflation in the Scandies. A breakdown of the key events this week from BofA: FOMC minutes […]


Flatliners – Dead Market Walking

Authored by Sven Henrich via NorthmanTrader.com, In the movie Flatliners aspiring medical doctors tried to unlock the mysteries of death by, well, killing themselves. It was meant to be a controlled death of course, to flat line on the heart rate monitor for a few minutes to find out what wonders where to be found […]


Federal Reserve President Kashkari’s Masterful Distractions

Authored by MN Gordon via EconomicPrism.com, How is it that seemingly intelligent people, of apparent sound mind and rational thought, can stray so far off the beam?  How come there are certain professions that reward their practitioners for their failures? The central banking and monetary policy vocation rings the bell on both accounts.  Today we […]