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US Tax Cut and Rate Hikes Threaten China Currency

Authored by Valentin Schmid via The Epoch Times, Seven was the line in the sand. But the Chinese yuan never crossed that line vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar. It only crept up to 6.96 yuan per dollar on Dec. 16, 2016, before starting an impressive comeback, down to 6.5 in the middle of this year. Last […]

What President Trump & The West Can Learn From China

Authored by Antonius Aquinas via Acting-Man.com, Expensive Politics Instead of a demonstration of its overwhelming military might intended to intimidate tiny North Korea and pressure China to lean on its defiant communist neighbor, President Trump and the West should try to learn a few things from China. President Trump meets President Xi. The POTUS reportedly […]

Chinese Stocks Slide As Economic Slowdown Accelerates

Being the first data following The National Congress, we are expecting little in the way of disappointment from China's macro data. However, the slowdown in credit supply has been well telegraphed, and sure enough the data was not pretty with FAI growth at its weakest in 17 years, Retail Sales and Industrial Production both disappoint. […]

Warnings From The “China Beige Book”

Authored by James Rickards via The Daily Reckoning, Leland Miller, a good friend of mine, is the founder and proprietor of an economic research service called the “China Beige Book.” The name “beige book” was borrowed from the surveys conducted by regional Federal Reserve banks of economic conditions in their regions. (In the days before […]

It’s Official: October Was The Calmest Stock Market Month… Ever

As traders commemorated the 30th anniversary of Black Monday, amid the rising uncertainty of US tax reform, European sedition, MidEast tensions, ongoing Asian sabre-rattling, and global monetary policy hawkishness, US equity markets experienced the quietest month in their history. Despite historically being the most volatile month of the year…   The CBOE Volatility Index recorded the lowest […]

China’s Record Yield Curve Inversion “Spells Disaster”

Overnight we noted that the Chinese stock and bond markets 'turmoiled' as The National Congress came to an end and the forced repression of any weakness ended. Perhaps the most critical aspect of the moves was the push to new record levels of inversion in the Chinese sovereign bond curve. The Chinese yield curve has […]

“Daggers Are Falling From The Sky” – China Stocks, Bonds Tumble After National Congress Ends

Who could have seen this coming? After weeks of 'calm' – demanded by The People's Party – and well-managed 'National Team' ramps top 'prove' how much Xi's plan for the nesxt five years is being received, the end of China's National Congress has been met with… a plunge in stock and bond markets.     […]

“I’m Out Of The Game” – Traders Abandon China As ‘National Team’ Kills Equity Market

While all eyes have been focused on the collapse in US equity market volatility and its unending upward ramp in the face of 'event risk' large and small, the complacency has crossed the Pacific and crushed China's stock markets to a shadow of their former selves. While we noted yesterday the seasonal tendency towards lower […]

What Selloff: Futures Rebound, Nikkei Extends Record Winning Streak

European shares are modestly lower as investors monitor tense events in Spain and as focus turns to Thursday’s ECB meeting; US equity futures have rebounded from yesterday’s sharp but shallow selloff and are in the green amid rising odds of U.S. tax reform and the imminent unveiling of the next Fed chair while Asian shares […]

“Kill The Bulls” – Traders Puzzled By Last Minute Hong Kong Crash

Is this what sparked the global slide in stocks? After months of 'calm', well-managed market gains, Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index crashed almost 600 points in the last few minutes of the day – the biggest drop since the day of the US election in Nov 2016… Some big movers included Geely Automobile Holdings, which […]

Yield Curve Inverts, Yuan Slides As China GDP Growth Slows

Despite all the talk of deleveraging, China did anything but according to its most recent data but the lagged impact of the tumbling credit impulse is starting to show up in the broader macro data. Despite the National Congress being under way (and recent credit spikes and positive PBOC hints) GDP growth limped lower to […]

Big Blue Blasts Dow To (Another) New Record High As Chinese Yield Curve Inverts

Don't fight The Fed or The Machines… The Dow is now the 2nd most overbought in 22 years… 3rd most overbought in 62 years   Kicking off The National Congress last night, Xi's words did not manage to inspire the bond market as China's yield curve inverted once again…   But thanks to Big Blue's […]

Bitcoin Tumbles Most In A Month On CFTC ICO Anxiety, South Korea Tax Concerns

After soaring to new record highs near $6000 last week (as China returned to work following its Golden Week holiday), the start of the National Congress last night, combined with CFTC comments on ICO crackdowns has spooked cryptocurrencies with Bitcoin down 8% – its biggest drop in a month.. Crytpos are down across the board… […]

Global Stocks Just Shy Of Record Highs As Dollar, Yields Rise On Taylor Tension

Global markets traded near all-time highs on Tuesday, with S&P futures, Asian shares and European stocks all flat this morning, while oil continued to gain on Kurdish geopolitical concerns while most industrial metals fell.  The euro extended its recent slide and stocks drifted as Spain’s escalating hard-line response to the Catalonian secession threat fueled concern […]

Stocks Surge To Moar Record Highs But Taylor Chatter Spooks Bonds, Dollar, & Gold

Another day, another record high…   To begin – 'Murica, fuck yeah!!   North Korea headlines and 'John Taylor For Fed Head' headlines prompted some turmoil in FX markets, bond markets, and commodity markets… but stocks didn't even blink…   Trannies were worst with Small Caps clinging to unch but GS, AAPL, JPM, and TRV […]