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SocGen Thinks Emerging Markets Are Breaking Down: Here’s Why

With Goldman Sachs publishing at least one, and in most cases two or more weekly reports urging its clients to keep pouring capital into emerging market assets, whether equities, bonds or FX, it is no surprise that Emerging Markets remain the big winners in 2017, up 10% points more than developed this year. However, as […]


Asian ‘FANG’ Stocks Suffer Worst Week In History

Representing a major segment of EM stocks, TATS are the Asian 'FANGs', and they just suffered their worst week on record. Taiwan Semi, Alibaba, Tencent, and Samsung are TATS and account for over 16% of the MSCI EM Stock index (considerably more than FANG stocks represent in the S&P). TATS have traded lower for 4 […]


Tech Wreck Hits Asia – TATS Turmoil After FANG Flush

While FANGs cratered in US markets, the turmoil in tech stocks has spread to AsiaPac with Hong Kong down hard as TATS tumble to one-month lows at the open… Asia's "FANG"  equivalent – accounting for 16% of MSCI Emerging Market Stock index is TATS – Taiwan Semi, Alibaba, Tecent, and Samsung… All four names are […]


“Very Close To Irrational Exuberance”: Asian Equities Break Above All-Time High As Hang Seng Clears 30,000

Following the new all-time high in US equities, the MSCI Asia Pacific Index broke through its November 2007 peak to make an all-time high in Wednesday’s trading session. This was something we noted could happen yesterday in “SocGen: Asian Equities Are So Awesome, A China Minsky Moment Is ‘Manageable”. The dollar weakened slightly after outgoing […]


Finnish Fund Manager Launches ‘Buffett-In-A-Box’ A.I.-Based Fund… There’s Just One Thing

Amid the empty-vessel-driven "deep-learning", "artificial-intelligence", and "algorithmic" narratives-du-jour, more and more fund managers are jumping on the bandwagon. The latest is Finnish fund manager FIM, who is introducing the first investment fund in the Nordic region, where a self-learning algorithm gets to pick all the stocks. As Bloomberg reports, targeting returns of 3 percentage points […]


Asian Stocks Surpass 2007 Peak – Reach Record High 56 Months After US

In a milestone moment for Asia-Pacific equity markets, the main MSCI index just surpassed its 2007 peak for the first time – making a new record high ten years after the last… …and 56 months after US markets first breached their previous peak…   See… ‘Buy and hold’ works after all! http://WarMachines.com


Asian Stocks Surpass 2007 Peak, Hit Record High As Chinese Inflation Comes In Hot

China’s factory prices (PP) jumped last month despite authorities’ continued attempts to curb industrial production to combat pollution. China’s PPI rose 6.9% in October Y/Y, higher than the projected 6.6% while consumer prices climbed 1.9%, also higher than the median forecast of 1.8%, and above last month’s 1.6% Y/Y increase. As Bloomberg notes, during last […]


Momentum Hasn’t Been This Extreme Since The Peak Of The Dot.Com Bubble

The last month or so has seen 'momentum' dramatically outperform the market as retail flows chase 'what is working'… In fact this has very much been a year of momo…   But, as Bloomberg notes, U.S. stocks with the fastest-rising prices are showing the kind of strength they did in the 1990s, according to Jonathan Krinsky, […]


A Halting Development In The Global Equity Rally?

Via Dana Lyons' Tumblr, A key barometer of worldwide developed markets is bumping up against 9-year highs. While the U.S. stock rally is getting a lot of (deserved) attention here in the States, a perhaps underrated theme of 2017 has been the impressive improvement on the part of international markets. I say perhaps underrated because […]


Critical Threats To 2017’s Bull Market – Part 2: Over-hyped Risks?

With The Donald J. Industrial Average surpassing new record highs every day, questioning this bull market's continued existence remains heresy outside of dark little corners of the internet. However, continuing his series, Bloomberg's macro strategist Mark Cudmore dares to mention a few of the more prescient 'known unknowns' that could hamper the meltup for the […]


Critical Threats To 2017’s Bull Market – Part 1: Macro View

While the idea that anything could go wrong in global stock markets (especially US markets) is simply incomprehensible to most, Bloomberg's macro strategist Mark Cudmore dares to mention a few of the more prescient 'known unknowns' that could hamper the meltup for the rest of the year… Via Bloomberg, The base case for the last […]


SocGen: “Global Earnings Are Back To 2014 Levels; Stocks Are 15% Higher”

Is it QE or is it earnings? With the Dow starting off the final quarter with a bang, surging to new all time highs alongside the S&P, few care what is prompting the latest surge in risk assets, which is a problem because as One River CIO Eric Peters noted yesterday, we have gotten to […]


SocGen: US Equities Are The Worst Performing Regional Market In 2017

With both global equities, and US stocks trading at or just shy of all time highs, the prevailing consensus is that 2017 has been a good year for stock investors. Well, maybe not, especially not to EUR-denominated European investors, for whom the total return in the S&P is the lowest of all regional markets. As […]