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How The Asset Bubble Could End – Part 1

Authored by Pater Tenebrarum via Acting-Man.com, Another Shoeshine Boy Moment We recently pondered the markets while trying out our brand-new electric soup-cooling spoon (see below). We are pondering the markets quite often lately, because we believe tail risk has grown by leaps and bounds and we may be quite close to an important juncture, i.e.,  […]


Global Deflation Alert: Chinese Credit Creation Tumbles To 27 Month Low

At the end of November, we showed a troubling observation for China – and global – macro watchers from Axiom’s Gordon Johnson: for the first time ever, record Chinese credit creation had failed to stimulate the economy, and in fact the exact opposite appeared to be unfolding – economic growth is slowing across a number […]


How “Ghost Collateral” And “Yin-Yang” Property Deals Will Collapse China’s Credit Bubble

One lesson from the 2007-08 crisis was that the vast majority of financial market participants, never mind the general public, were unfamiliar with subprime mortgages until the crisis was underway. Even now, we doubt many have much understanding of repo, the divergence between LIBOR and Fed Funds from 9 August 2007 and Eurodollar liquidity. In […]


Second Cockroach: Canadian Mortgage Lender Crashes After Admitting Mortgage Fraud

Back in April/May, Canada's biggest mortgage lender, Home Capital Group, crashed its way into the headlines, coming clean over its balance sheet-full of liar loans, suffered a bank run, and was forced  to take emergency liquidty from taxpaying pensioners, and was eventually bailed out by good old Warren Buffett. "Probably nothing…" Well just when everyone […]


China’s Corporate Debt Unexpectedly Rises At Fastest Pace In Four Years, As A New Risk Emerges

Have you heard the one about the priest, the rabbi and China’s deleveraging? We forget how it goes, but it’s pretty damn funny, especially the last part after a Reuters report that following China’s repeated vows by Beijing it would reduce the country’s unprecedented sovereign, municipal, corporate and household leverage, China’s debt is not only […]


The Republican Tax Plan Will Crush These Housing Markets

For the past few weeks, Chuck Schumer and Nancy Pelosi have screamed to anyone who would listen that the GOP tax plan is nothing more than a tax break for millionaires and an attack on middle class working families.  But, as the Wall Street Journal points out this morning, America’s millionaire, billionaire, private jet owners […]


The Biggest Ponzi In Human History

Authored by Raul Ilargi Meijer via The Automatic Earth blog, Here’s the story in a nutshell: Ultra low interest rates mark a shift away from people’s wealth residing in their savings and pension plans, and into to so-called wealth residing in their homes, which are bought with ever growing levels of debt. When interest rates […]


What Bubble? Sacramento Housing Development Selling $425,000 Pads With No Money Down

There were plenty of bad actors that contributed to the housing crisis in 2009…the banks that underwrote mortgages for people that they knew couldn’t afford the home they were buying and then turned around and sold those loans to unsuspecting insurance companies via RMBS structures…the high school janitor making $50,000 a year who suddenly figured […]


Here We Go Again: Sacramento Sells $425,000 Pads With No Money Down

There were plenty of bad actors that contributed to the housing crisis in 2009…the banks that underwrote mortgages for people that they knew couldn’t afford the home they were buying and then turned around and sold those loans to unsuspecting insurance companies via RMBS structures…the high school janitor making $50,000 a year who suddenly figured […]


China’s Mortgage Debt Bubble Raises Spectre Of 2007 US Crisis

Authored by He Huifeng via The South China Morning Post, In an inglorious echo of 2007 America, many young homeowners in booming cities owe more than they earn, and some even falsify salary details to get bigger mortgages… Young Chinese like Eli Mai, a sales manager in Guangzhou, and Wendy Wang, an executive in Shenzhen, […]


More Bad News For Autos: Wells Fargo Car Loan Originations Crash To All Time Low

Joining the Q3 roster of banks that beat yet which all surprised investors with a cautionary red flag (for the other banks this involved a drop in FICC trading revenue and a sharp increase in loan loss reserves), moments ago Wells Fargo also reported better than expected Q3 EPS of $1.04 (exp. $1.03) which however […]


Government By Goldman

Authored by Gary Rivlin and Michael Hudson via The Intercept, in partnership with The Investigative Fund, Steve Bannon was in the room the day Donald Trump first fell for Gary Cohn. So were Reince Priebus, Jared Kushner, and Trump’s pick for secretary of Treasury, Steve Mnuchin. It was the end of November, three weeks after Trump’s […]


The Only ‘Real Europe’ Is Greece

Authored by Raul Ilargi Meijer via The Automatic Earth blog, European Commission president Jean-Claude Juncker, famous for his imbibition capacity and uttering -not necessarily in that order- the legendary words “when it becomes serious, you have to lie”, presented his State of the Union today. Which is of pretty much limited interest because, as Yanis […]


Mike Krieger Asks Which Is ‘Fraudulent’: Bitcoin Or JP Morgan?

Authored by Mike Krieger via Liberty Blitzkrieg blog, I’m really grateful JP Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon decided to once again lash out in anger at Bitcoin, as it provides us with ample opportunity to highlight a practice very near and dear to how the bank operates. Fraud. The way the news cycle works, any topic […]


China’s $9 Trillion Shadow Banking System Shrinks For The First Time In 9 Months

On the surface, the latest Chinese credit data reported overnight by the PBOC was not particularly memorable: new loans tumbled from the near record 1.540TN Yuan in June to only 825.5BN in July, just above the 820BN expected, while Total Social Financing also declined substantially from June’s 1.78TN to 1.22TN, also beating the 1TN estimate. […]