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Global Deflation Alert: Chinese Credit Creation Tumbles To 27 Month Low

At the end of November, we showed a troubling observation for China – and global – macro watchers from Axiom’s Gordon Johnson: for the first time ever, record Chinese credit creation had failed to stimulate the economy, and in fact the exact opposite appeared to be unfolding – economic growth is slowing across a number […]


“Everything’s Great!”

Authored by Kevin Muir via The Macro Tourist blog, So much for that call. I thought there was no way Yellen would put her fingers in her ears, close her eyes, and shout “nah nah nah – I can’t hear you” to the speculative fervour that has gripped markets. Well, there is no way to […]


One Bank Believes It Found The Identity Of Who Is “Propping Up The Bitcoin Market”

Back in May when the Chinese domination over Bitcoin was ending, we predicted that it would shift over to Japan, specifically, we said that “just as the Chinese bubble frenzy in bitcoin is fading, it may be replaced with a new one, in which thousands of Mrs. Watanabe traders shift their attention away from the […]


Stephen Roach Warns “Complacency Will Be Tested In 2018”

Authored by Stephen Roach via Project Syndicate, Despite seemingly robust indicators, the world economy may not be nearly as resilient to shocks and systemic challenges as the consensus view seems to believe. In particular, the absence of a classic vigorous rebound from the Great Recession means that the global economy never recouped the growth lost […]


ECB Unveils New, Higher Inflation Forecasts; Pushes Bund Yields Higher

While the rest of Draghi’s presser was uneventful, the two things investors were looking for were the ECB’s revised GDP and inflation forecasts. And while the first saw a modest improvement across the board relative to the September forecast as follows: 2017 at 2.4% vs 2.2% In Sept. 2018 at 2.3% vs 1.8% 2019 at […]


Watch Live: Mario Draghi Explains Why The ECB ‘Taper’ Is So Positive

Having left rates unchanged and confirmed the tapering of QE, there is only one thing left for the former Goldmanite to do – explain to the masses why this is all so positive and no reason at all to worry about rationality-shattering bond yields across the eurozone (and beyond). As expected, there was little surprise […]


ECB Keeps Rates Unchanged, Sees Current Policy Stance “Contributing To Favorable Liquidity Conditions”

As expected, there was little surprise in the ECB monetary policy decision, which kept all three key ECB rates unchanged, and which announced that rates will “remain at their present levels for an extended period of time, and well past the horizon of the net asset purchases.” As it unveiled before, QE will run at […]


What To Expect From The ECB

Submitted by RanSquawk ECB Monetary Policy Decision Due At 12:45 GMT, 13:45 CET, 07:45 EDT, On Thursday 14th December 2017, Press Conference Due At 13:30 GMT, 14:30 CET, 08:30 EDT Unanimous expectations look for the ECB to leave its three key rates unchanged.  As a reminder October’s announcement revealed that the Bank will be trimming […]


Pound Slides After BOE Holds Rates: Warns Q4 Economy “Slightly Softer”, Sees “Gradual And Limited” Rate Hikes

As previewed moments ago, the BOE decision was rather unexciting, and after its November rate hike – the first in a decade – which many speculated could be a “one and done”, the Bank of England unanimously kept rates unchanged at 0.50% as expected. The lack of dissenters meant this was the first time the […]


It’s Central Bank Bonanza Day: European Stocks Slide Ahead Of ECB; S&P Futs Hit Record High

One day after the Fed hiked rates by 25 bps as part of Janet Yellen’s final news conference, it is central bank bonanza day, with rate decisions coming from the rest of the world’s most important central banks, including the ECB, BOE, SNB, Norges Bank, HKMA, Turkey and others. And while US equity futures are […]


China Unexpectedly Hikes Rates Despite Disappointing Retail Sales Growth

China, somewhat unexpectedly, hikes rates this evening, minutes before dumping economic data that showed no major surprises other than a modest disappointment in retail sales growth. Of course, we had a suspicion that China might hike rates, as it has done in response to previous rates hikes by the Fed in 2017. So what time […]


Asset Prices Are ‘Prices’ Too…

Authored by Thorstein Polleit via The Mises Institute, We live in inflationary times. Some people might consider this statement controversial. This is because these days inflation is widely understood as a rise in the consumer price index (CPI) of more than 2 percent per year. However, there are convincing reasons to question this viewpoint. On […]


Jamie Dimon Says Corporations Will Fund Buybacks With Tax Cuts And That’s “Not A Bad Thing”

For at least half a decade now (How The Fed's Visible Hand Is Forcing Corporate Cash Mismanagement) we have warned about how the Fed’s flawed approach to monetary policy incentivizes corporations to fund share buybacks with massive amounts of debt… …While the corporate sector has spent record sums on share buybacks… Capex has experienced an […]


Gundlach Reveals His Favorite Trade For 2018

One day after Stanley Druckenmiller confessional to CNBC that as a result of central planning and markets that make no sense, the legendary hedge fund manager had a “terrible” year, and his “first down year in currencies ever” (he also said many not very nice things about bitcoin), it was Jeffrey Gundlach’s turn to confess […]


How Government Agents Troll Online to Divide and Confuse

Via The Daily Bell The real story of online deception isn’t about the Russians. Sure, the Russians certainly have their own programs to disrupt and steer online discourse. But how quickly the public has forgotten about the U.S. government’s own internet troll program. Edward Snowden leaked documents used by the “Five Eyes” alliance of governments. […]