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Demand Tumbles For 5Y Treasuries As Tailing Auction Leads To Highest Yield Since 2011

After yesterday’s ugly, tailing 2-Year auction, it is probably not a big surprise that today’s sale of $34 billion in 5Y Treasurys was just as ugly. The auction printed at a high yield of 2.245% – the highest since March 2011 – and well above last month’s 2.066% largely thank to the recent Fed rate […]

Demand Slides For 2Y Treasuries As Yield Surges To Highest Since Sept 2008

The last time the yield on a 2-Year TSY auction was as high as it was today – 1.922% to be specific, tailing the When Issued 1.899% by 0.3bps – was just a few days after Lehman Brothers failed, with one difference: back then it was sliding, while now the rate on 2Y paper is […]

3-Month Bills Turmoil Ahead Of March Debt Ceiling Showdown: Bid To Cover Plunges To 8 Year Lows

Despite the GOP’s tax reform victory, over the past few weeks, Congress once again punted on a formal decision how to keep government funded and what to do with America’s debt ceiling and as a result US legislators simply kicked the can on the agreement of raising the nation’s borrowing limit for another few months. […]

Is Christmas Inefficient?

Authored by Jeffrey Tucker via The Mises Institute, After hundreds of years of attacks on Christmas, economists have finally gotten into the act. Yale University’s Joel Waldfogel, writing in the American Economic Review, condemns what he calls “The Deadweight Loss of Christmas.” Once you cut through the calculus and graphs, his conclusion is clear: though Christmas […]

Durable Goods Orders Stumble In November – Business Spending Drops Most Since 2016

Headline durable goods orders rose 1.3% in November (prelim), missing expectations of a 2.0% rise, but core durable goods fell in the preliminary November print – the worst drop since April. Perhaps even more concerning is the 0.1% drop in capital goods new orders ex-aircraft and parts – i.e. business spending – this is the […]

Strong 30-Year Auction Sets The Stage For Yellen’s Final Rate Hike

After yesterday’s stellar 3Y morning auction, and disappointing 10Y afternoon auction, today’s reopening of the 29-Year, 11-month RZ3 Cusip was right down the middle. The bond stopped at a high yield of 2.804%, stopping through the When Issued 2.808% by 0.4bps, the third consecutive stop through in a row. The high yield was above November’s […]

Stellar 3Y Auction: Highest Bid To Cover Since Sept 2015, Foreign Demand Surges

Unlike last month’s ugly 3Y auction, today’s just concluded sale of $24 billion in 3 year paper was stellar, stopping through the When Issued 1.934% by 0.2bps, a surge in buyside demand as the Bid to Cover jumped from 2.76 to 3.15, the highest since September 2015, while Indirect Bidders took down the most since […]

Ugly, Tailing 7 Year Auction Spooks Market As Foreign Buyers Flee

After one poor and one mediocre auction, today’s sale of $28 billion in 7 year paper was a fiasco, stopping at 2.23%, a massive 1.7bps tail to the 2.213% When Issued, if below last month’s 2.28% courtesy of the ongoing yield curve flattening which increasingly include the belly of the curve. The internals were just […]

“Average”, Tailing 5Y Auction Sees Solid Support From Foreign Buyers

In today’s second auction, the Treasury sold $34 billion in 5 year paper, and like this morning’s 2Y auction, the results were rather lackluster, with the paper stopping at a high yield of 2.066%, above last month’s 2.055%, and the highest since April 2011, and just like the earlier 2Y sale, this auction also tailed […]

Tailing 2Y Auction Prices At Highest Yield Since September 2008 As Foreign Buyers Stay Away

With 2Y yields having jumped sharply in recent week, it was not surprising that today’s auction of $26 billion in 2Y paper would have a high yield, and sure enough, printing at a high yield 1.765%, the highest since September 2007, tailing the When Issued 1.763% by 0.2bps, and well above the six previous auction […]

Treasury Curve Flattens After Strong, Stopping Through 30Y Auction

After a mediocre 3Y, and a strong 10Y auction in the last two days, the Treasury concluded its refunding on the right foot – if with some blemishes – selling $15 billion in 30Y bonds at a 2.801% yield, stopping through the WI 2.802% by the smallest possible margin, and below last month’s 2.870%. There […]

Strong Foreign Demand Pushes Yield Lower In Stopping Through 10Y Auction

After yesterday’s mediocre 3Y auction, moments ago the US Treasury sold $23 billion in 10 year paper in a very well received auction. The high yield of 2.314% was fractionally lower than October’s 2.346%, and stopped through the When Issued 2.316% by 0.2bps. 94.01% of the bids at the high yield were accepted. This was […]

Bank Stocks, Dollar Slide Hit By Fresh Tax Reform Doubts

U.S. equity futures are little changed as European and Asian shares retreated, led by sliding bank stocks and a drop in the dollar as doubts over republican tax cuts and ongoing bond curve flattening hurt sentiment and prompted fresh questions over the viability of the US expansion. Investor concerns also returned to geopolitics as Trump […]

Tailing 3Y Auction Prices At Highest Yield Since April 2010

In the first of this week’s three auctions, the Treasury sold $24 billion in 3 Year paper in a medicore, tailing auction, which stopped at 1.75%, a 0.2bps tail to the 1.748% when issued, and the highest yield since 1.776% in April 2010. In addition to the tail, the internals were also mediocre, with the […]

Renting In The US Has Never Been More Unaffordable

Over the weekend, when looking at the record high ratio in median new home sale prices to household incomes in the US, we concluded that US homes have never been more unaffordable for the average American.   What about renting? Isn’t it intuitive that if buying a house has never been more expensive, then at […]