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Millennials Saved Thanksgiving Weekend

While online spending surged, the overall picture for Thanksgiving weekend spending was more mixed as the traditional “bricks and mortar” retailers continued to struggle. Nevertheless, overall spending was about 4% higher. The National Retail Foundation (NRF) estimated that 174 million Americans shopped online or in stores over the period (Thursday to Monday), versus 164 million […]


Amazon Soars On Report Of “Unbelievable” Online Sales As Channel Checks Show Store Traffic Down 1%

While bricks and mortar retailers and malls may have decided to put their aggressive discounts on hold for the time being, seemingly content with their market share (losses), online retailers – and one in particular – continue to make staggering gains. Preliminary reports for Black Friday and Thanksgiving sales point to a promising start to […]


Which Days Offer The Biggest Discounts This Holiday Week

Earlier today we discussed that as part of Black Friday’s gradual decline into irrelevance (it is now the 3rd busiest day behind Christmas and Cyber Monday), brick and mortar retailers – seemingly reserved to losing to online vendors – have decided to reduce shopping discounts substantially; according to WSJ calculations, 2016 discounts were no less […]


“I Was Expecting Many More People”: Black Friday Tumbles To 3rd Spot In Busiest Shopping Days Of The Year

It has been an odd year for retail: with an estimated 6,000 store closures, and 65,000 fewer retail jobs than at the start of the year, many have said shorting retail, and especially malls, is the next “big short” trade. Indeed, one look at the performance of the mall heavy CMBX 6 BBB- tranche confirms […]


Geoblocking Prevalent For EU’s Online Shoppers

This week, the European Union agreed to end unjustified geoblocking after a late-night session. This relates to geoblocking the online trading of goods and services. As Statista's Niall McCarthy explains, the agreement means companies will not be able to prevent customers from visiting and doing business on their website due to being resident in another EU member […]


Retail Sales Growth Slows In October As Storm Surge Fades

Following September's unprecedented storm-related surge in retail sales (which was revised even higher), October was a fall back to reality with a 0.2% MoM rise (better than expected 0.0% though), pushing the YoY growth back down to 4.6%. Retail sales were up a modest 0.2% in October, following September's 1.9% revised (from 1.6%) gain. Compared […]


Dead Mall Stalking: One Hedge Fund Manager’s Tour Across Middle-America – Part 3

Via AdventuresInCapitalism.com, Part 1 here… Part 2 here… Ever since the first Sears catalog was published in 1888 (the Amazon.com of its day), pundits have called for the death of retail establishments. It’s easy to see why they would think that such a thing was happening—namely stores around them were closing in rapid succession. Of […]


One Analyst Throws Up On Today’s Retail Sales Data: Here’s Why

Two weeks ago we reported that July auto sales were a disaster: recall sales for bloated with inventory GM were down 15% YoY, Ford off 7% and Chrysler down 11% – despite record incentive spending – as overall auto sales declined and disappointed for yet another month. And yet, according to this morning’s retail sales […]


Retail Sales Rebound In July – Biggest Jump Since Dec 2016 On Record Auto Incentives

After declining for two straight months, US Retail Sales in July rebounded dramatically to a 0.6% MoM gain – the most since Dec 2016 – driven a surge in motor vehicles (record incentives) and department stores (more inventives?). Year-over-year saw upward revisions and a rebound to a 4.2% rise in July. The last two month's […]