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Squeezing The Consumer From Both Sides

Authored by 720Global's Michael Lebowitz via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, The Federal Reserve raised the Federal Funds rate on December 13, 2017, marking the fifth increase over the last two years.  Even with interest rates remaining at historically low levels, the Fed’s actions are resulting in greater interest expense for short-term and floating rate borrowers. The effect of […]


Gold Jumps To Key Technical Level As VIX Collapses

Traders are dumping equity protection and buting chaos protection as VIX tumbles near the year's lows and Gold jumps back towards its 100-day moving average – and its highest level in a month.   Gold is up 9 of the last 10 days, at its highest since early Dec and testing its 100DMA… ($1292)   […]


How To Survive Today’s Bubbly Market

Authored by James Rickards via Bonner & Partners, To paraphrase one of the great gems of Wall Street wisdom, “Nothing infuriates a man more than the sight of other people making money.” That’s a pretty good description of what happens during the late stage of a stock market bubble. The bubble participants are making money […]


How The Asset Bubble Could End – Part 2

Authored by Pater Tenebrarum via Acting-Man.com, Read Part 1 here… Contradictory Signals Special antennae that help traders catch upcoming opportunities. Available from the same outfit that sells the soup-cooling spoon (Acme Inc).   There is just one more positioning indicator we want to mention: after surging by around $126 billion since March of 2016, NYSE […]


Despite Overnight Ramp, Stocks Are Being Dumped At The Open (Again)

Sell the news… again… Nasdaq is now red on the week again…   VIX crashed to 8.90 as cash markets opened…   30Y yields back at the Nov 1st FOMC level…   Some are suggesting the extremely rapid long-squeeze in Treasuries is triggering Risk-Parity unwinds… http://WarMachines.com


Doug Kass’ 15 Surprises For 2018: FANG Crackdown, Gold All-Time-Highs, Stocks Slump

Authored Doug Kass of Seabreeze Partners Management, "The missing step in the standard Keynesian theory [is] the explicit consideration of capitalist finance within a cyclical and speculative context . . . finance sets the pace for the economy. As recovery approaches full employment . . . soothsayers will proclaim that the business cycle has been […]


Stocks, Yield Curve Slammed After China Hike, Draghi Taper, & Tax Tumult

Did Senators Lee and Rubio (and Hatch) just go full "Leeroy Jenkins"?   A surprise China rate hike (and disappointing retail sales) sparked weakness in Chinese stocks…   Mario Draghi managed to talk the Euro and Bund yields lower (despite attemptting to raise inflation forecasts)…   Since the FOMC meeting, Bonds and Bullion are well […]


Kolanovic Unveils His 2018 Outlook: The “Frogs Are Almost Boiled” So Start Hedging

Barely two months after JPMorgan’s Marko Kolanovic previewed the next financial crisis, which he dubbed the “Great Liquidity Crisis”, and which would be catalyzed by the following liquidity disrupting elements: Decreased AUM of strategies that buy value assets Tail risk of private assets Increased AUM of strategies that sell on “autopilot” Liquidity-provision trends Miscalculation of […]


‘Risk’ May Be Low But Uncertainty Over “Unknown Unknowns” Just Hit Record Highs

While the fear-tracking VIX has been languishing near record lows this year, a gauge of so-called ambiguity, meant to chronicle the degree of uncertainty investors have in the probabilities they use to make decisions, has been at all-time highs in recent months, indicating that there’s more fear built into the stock market than common measures […]


The Stock Market & The FOMC – An Astonishing Statistic

Authored by Pater Tenebrarum via Acting-Man.com, An Astonishing Statistic As the final FOMC announcement of the year approaches, we want to briefly return to the topic of how the meeting tends to affect the stock market from a statistical perspective. As long time readers may recall, the typical performance of the stock market in the […]


These Were The Biggest Market Shocks In 2017… And What 2018 Has In Store

With 2017 almost entirely in the rearview mirror, the most memorable – and we clearly use the term loosely – and certainly historic feature of the past year was the complete collapse in volatility. In fact, as Bank of America noted last week, by one measure the Dow traded in its tightest trading range in […]


Attention Derivatives Traders: Here Are “The Top 17 Themes To Remember From 2017”

Last week, as part of its must read 2018 Outlook piece, Bank of America’s derivatives team pointed out two particularly notable things: the first was BofA’s version of the (central-bank mediated) “feedback loop” diagram that keeps volatility record low and grinding even lower, as selling of vol has become a self-reinforcing dynamic, in which lower […]


BofA’s Derivatives Wizards Reveal “The Top 17 Themes To Remember From 2017”

Last week, as part of its must read 2018 Outlook piece, Bank of America’s derivatives team pointed out two particularly notable things: the first was BofA’s version of the (central-bank mediated) “feedback loop” diagram that keeps volatility record low and grinding even lower, as selling of vol has become a self-reinforcing dynamic, in which lower […]


Deutsche: “We Are Almost At The Point Beyond Which There Will Be No More Bubbles”

Whereas many Wall Street strategists enjoy simplifying their stream of consciousness when conveying their thoughts to their increasingly ADHD-afflicted audience, the same can not be said for Deutsche Bank’s Aleksandar Kocic, who has a troubling habit of requiring a background and competency in grad level post-modernist literature as a prerequisite for his articles among the […]


VIX Briefly Tops 10 After NYC Pipe Bomb Explosion

‘Panic-stricken’ traders briefly pushed VIX above 10 and S&P futures dipped a handful of points after an explosion hit midtown Manhattan… However, that dip was bought as the situation was ‘contained’… Everything is awesome again now though – nothing to see here. http://WarMachines.com