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Is Christmas Inefficient?

Authored by Jeffrey Tucker via The Mises Institute, After hundreds of years of attacks on Christmas, economists have finally gotten into the act. Yale University’s Joel Waldfogel, writing in the American Economic Review, condemns what he calls “The Deadweight Loss of Christmas.” Once you cut through the calculus and graphs, his conclusion is clear: though Christmas […]


Moody’s Warns U.S. Office Real Estate At “Cyclical Tipping Point” That Will Devastate CMBS Market

We’ve frequently written about the growing supply problem in the major commercial real estate markets across the country (for example: NYC Commercial Real Estate Sales Plunge Over 50% As Owners Lever Up In The Absence Of Buyers).  Now it seems that Moody’s is also growing somewhat concerned that growing supply, combined with waning demand and […]


Democratization of Money vs. Economic Feudalism

The Fed is the Market, Until Someone Bigger Comes Along..  UPDATE:This editorial was written  3 days ago in reaction to reading the Zerohedge post As Bitcoin Nears $10,000 “Central Banks Kept Up At Night” by Vince Lanci “Free markets for free men”- patch worn on the Nymex floor during Iraqi war.  The reality: We were cheerleaders for Halliburton […]


Beware The Marginal Buyer, Borrower, And Renter

Authored by Charles Hugh Smith via OfTwoMinds blog, Bubbles always look unstoppable, yet they always burst. When times are good, the impact of the marginal buyer, borrower and renter on the market is often overlooked. By "marginal" I mean buyers, borrowers and renters who have to stretch their finances to the maximum to afford the […]


Great Voids Have A Way Of Filling

Authored by Sven Henrich via NorthmanTrader.com, I feel compelled to keep documenting reality to raise awareness of the ever larger market dangers which keep lurking underneath the current bubble. Indeed I keep seeing a great void not only in awareness but also in price discovery that have propelled markets to current levels leaving investors and […]


The Year Was 1989…

By Chris at www.CapitalistExploits.at These folks were probably worth more than Justin Bieber. And this guy was still alive… and even though dressed like a peacock, amazingly popular. 1989 was also the year the Japanese stock market topped out. Background Most economic crises are the result of an economic boom which leads to investors getting all […]


The Deflating Rally

Authored by Sven Henrich via NorthmanTrader.com, Record prices continue to be printed on US indices as the global multiple expansion on the heels of still ongoing record central bank intervention has yet to slow down in a significant way. All central banks were in essence dovish in recent days and weeks, whether the FOMC, the […]


One Bored Trader Finds More Ways To Get Into Trouble

Authored by Kevin Muir via The Macro Tourist blog, Another day, and another steady grind higher in US stock markets. In all my years trading, I can’t recall a non-summer or non-holiday period that has been as boring as the past couple of weeks. I mean, B-O-R-I-N-G. The ironic part of this snoozefest? There has […]


The Waiting Is The Hardest Part

Authored by Adama Taggart via PeakProsperity.com, Man, what an awful stretch of events. When I penned last week's article on tragedy, little did I expect something as horrible as the Las Vegas massacre would immediately follow. And nearly lost in the headlines was the untimely passing of rock legend, Tom Petty, one of my all-time […]


Kass: “Investors Seemingly Learned Nothing From History”

Authored by Doug Kass via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, “‘A bull market is like sex. It feels best just before it ends.'” – Warren Buffett Excuse me for being redundant, but the following Jim Rogers quote that I posted yesterday underscores Mark Twain’s famous quote that “history doesn’t repeat itself, but it often rhymes”: “When things are going right, […]


Is the Difference Now Permanent?

From the Slope of Hope: I will start off with a chart that, in a sea of tens of thousands of charts, stood out as shocking: What the chart represents is the percentage drop from whatever the record high was. In other words, it shows the percentage loss a person would have had if they […]


Germany & France send concerning message to the States!

  Germany & France send concerning message to the States! Could weakness in Europe send a concerning message to stock bulls in the states? Yes they could! Before getting started let me make this clear, stock markets in Germany, France and London remain in long-term up trends. Below looks price patterns that Germany and France are creating […]


Grant Williams: “History Is About To Repeat Itself Again… And It Might Get Ugly”

Real Vision's Grant Williams believes that the 76 million retiring Baby Boomers will trigger a major pension crisis.  “With that potentially bad situation we could face,” the seasoned asset manager and co-founder of Real Vision TV said in a recent extended Metal Masters interview (full interview below), “holding physical metal, somewhere safe, somewhere outside the […]


Existing Home Sales Slump To 11-Month Lows; NAR Warns “Prices Are Rising Way Too Fast”

For the first time since 2015, existing home sales fell in back to back months (-2.0% in June, -1.3% in July), dramatically missing expectations of a 0.5% bounce. Following the plunge in new home sales, existing home sales tumbled to their lowest SAAR since Aug 2016 as inventories dropped mdoestly (and home prices rose 6.2% […]