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This Is The “Dilemma From Hell Dacing CBs”

We present some somber reading on this holiday Sunday from Macquarie Capital’s Viktor Shvets, who in this exclusive to ZH readers excerpt from his year-ahead preview, explains why central banks can no longer exit the “doomsday highway” as a result of a “dilemma from hell” which no longer has a practical, real-world resolution, entirely as […]


This Is The “Dilemma From Hell Facing CBs”

We present some somber reading on this holiday Sunday from Macquarie Capital’s Viktor Shvets, who in this exclusive to ZH readers excerpt from his year-ahead preview, explains why central banks can no longer exit the “doomsday highway” as a result of a “dilemma from hell” which no longer has a practical, real-world resolution, entirely as […]


Is Financial Argmageddon Bullish For Stocks? One Bank’s Surprising Answer

Everyone knows that after nearly a decade of capital markets central planning by the world’s central banks, “good news is bad news.” But did you also know that financial armageddon has become the most bullish catalyst to buy stocks? That’s the understated take-home message from the year ahead preview by Macquarie’s Viktor Shvets published last […]


Fabrications Of Financial Media Superstars – Part One

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, Every day, the A-listers, those known around the world as household-name financial media royalty, are making public statements that if taken on the surface as actionable advice, are going to lead to unpleasant financial surprises. Not for them. For you. As authorities, no matter what they bloviate about on […]


Sam Zell Is Stumped: “For Amazon’s Value To Be Justified, It Has To Be Worth 25% Of The US Economy In 5 Years”

When it comes to the last financial crisis, few timed the peak quite as well as Sam Zell, who sold his Equity Office Properties Trust, the largest office REIT, to Blackstone in 2007, literally days before the bottom fell out of the market. So, with Goldman dying to know when the next crash will take […]


The “Fat Pitch” & Miss

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, While I remain long and invested in the markets on behalf of my clients, I focus and write about the significant risks that are currently present. I am fully aware a laissez-faire attitude towards these risks is ultimately likely to destroy large portions of my clients hard-earned, and irreplaceable, […]


Dow 500,000?

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, I genuinely admire Morgan Housel. I think he is a brilliant and talented writer. However, he sent out a tweet on Friday that really struck a chord with me. If you're less than 50 years old and the market returns at least 5% a year on average the Dow […]


Buffett’s Wrong – Why Market Valuations Are Not Justified By Low Interest Rates

As is his way, Billionaire investor Warren Buffett calmed an anxious nation earlier this month with his comments that: "Valuations make sense with interest rates where they are." And it seemed to work as stocks hit new record highs and Americans have never, ever been more sure that stocks will continue rising for the next […]


Rationality Versus The Market

Rationality Versus The Market Posted with permission and written by John Rubino, Dollar Collapse   The late stages of financial bubbles are always tough for rational analysts. Focused as they are on the numbers, such analysts are relatively immune to the emotion that drives the action at market extremes, so they find themselves making predictions […]


Bull Trap: The False Promise Of Tax Cuts

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, Last week, I did a fairly extensive analysis on the release of the 9-page “Trump Tax Cut” plan.  The most important aspect of that discussion was the difference between 1982, the last time there was permanent tax reform, as compared to today. “Comparing Trump’s economic policy proposals to those […]


Hussman Eyes The Market’s “Remarkable Moment Of Blissful Delusion”

"The present moment of blissful delusion is remarkable to witness. Take it in…" says John Hussman of Hussman Funds. In the following few words and updated charts, Hussman exposes the farce even further… The first chart below updates our variant of Robert Shiller’s cyclically-adjusted P/E (CAPE), where we’ve adjusted the measure to account for variation […]


Macquarie Lashes Out At Dimon: “Modern Finance”, Not Bitcoin, Is The Real Fraud

While the establishment including various central banks, China (which has a “modest” capital flight problem), commercial banks such as JPM and especially its CEO Jamie Dimon who called Bitcoin a ‘fraud” similar to the tulip bubble of the 17th century, have come out as harsh opponents of cryptocurrencies, some notable “minority oppinions” have emerged in […]


Amid Growing Risks And Diminishing Returns From Algos, Former Blackrock Elite Take On Mindless Robots

As ZeroHedge readers are keenly aware, 2008 kicked off the largest financial engineering experiment in history – namely, the beginning of 12.3 Trillion in QE and the lowest interest rates in 5,000 years. The plan, hatched by Bush-era Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke and Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson, created a ‘Fed Put’ underneath the markets first made popular […]


Stock Market Bubbles In Perspective (Or Why “This Won’t End Well”)

Authored by Howard Ma via Meritocracy Capital, Last week marked the 9th anniversary of the collapse of Lehman Brothers. It was one of the biggest milestones of the Global Financial Crisis (“GFC”) that began approximately a year earlier in 2007. Corporate earnings were abnormally weak during the GFC. I bring that up because a much […]


The Rule Of 20 & The Risk To Passive

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, The Rule Of 20 Byron Wien recently asked the question of where we are in terms of the economy and the market to a group of high-end investors. To wit: “The one issue that dominated the discussion at all four of the lunches was whether or not we were […]